Predictions
Confident picks
Today
Predictions / Voca vs Villainous · match preview
Voca vs Villainous: CS2 match prediction · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier
Voca
World #92 · 46-24
VS
2026-09-09 23:00 UTC
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Villainous
World #209 · 6-9
80%20%
89%
1.038.4Market · 2 books
11%The call · high confidence
Voca are favoured: our model gives them 80% against Villainous. Bookmakers lean Voca at 89%. Strength clearly favours Voca, record slightly favours Voca, form clearly favours Voca, firepower clearly favours Voca.
Likely mapsMirage · Anubis · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
VocapullVillainous
Team strength1656
148282/18 VOC
Track record46–24
6–965/35 VOC
Recent formWWWWW
WLLLL71/29 VOC
Roster rating1.18
1.0979/21 VOC
Bookmakers imply 89% for Voca (1.03 / 8.4); we land 9 points lower at 80%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 88% our own signal (158 maps of Voca, 32 of Villainous).
Bottom line: Voca to beat Villainous, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
Voca
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
SportsBetExpert#723-20-2
Villainous vs SportsBetExpert
Jul 12LAnubis14-16Mirage7-13
Overtake Sector#1502-11-3
Voca vs Overtake Sector
Aug 29WAnubis11-13Dust213-10Ancient13-5
regain#1626-00-2
Villainous vs regain
Jun 30LAncient10-13Anubis3-13FARFarmVille#1812-01-2
Voca vs FarmVille
Aug 27WMirage13-9Cache13-11Villainous vs FarmVille
Sep 6LCache8-13Inferno13-9Mirage10-13
NuTorious#2042-02-0
Voca vs NuTorious
Jul 10WAncient13-5Mirage13-10Villainous vs NuTorious
Jul 12WAnubis13-8Inferno25-21Firepower
roster ratingsVoca · avg 1.18 · top +0.09
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Voca vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Villainous habitually bans Dust2, Voca's strongest maps (Ancient, Mirage, Dust2, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 11/15), not an opponent read, so expect Voca to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapVOCVIL
InfernoVOC ban33%1-250%5-5
Dust2VIL ban67%24-1250%1-1
MirageVOC pick69%29-1340%2-3
AnubisVIL pick17%1-571%5-2
NukeVOC ban71%10-4100%1-0
AncientVIL ban64%18-100%0-4
Cachedecider20%1-450%1-1
Each team's usual first ban: Voca Inferno · Villainous Dust2.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Villainous62%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: Voca 70% clear · Anubis: Villainous 86% clear · Cache: Villainous 57%WhyVillainous hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesVoca 38%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 10% · Villainous 62%: 2-1 37%, 2-0 26%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Voca 38%Villainous are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Villainous 2-1.62% Villainous
Mirage
Voca70%Villainous30%
29-13record2-3
69%win40%
60%CT win54%
56%T win49%
58%pistol50%
90%convert100%
Anubis
Voca14%Villainous86%
1-5record5-2
17%win71%
35%CT win58%
57%T win63%
33%pistol57%
75%convert100%
Cache
Voca43%Villainous57%
1-4record1-1
20%win50%
61%CT win64%
28%T win33%
30%pistol75%
100%convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
VOCct
VOCt
VILct
VILt
VOCpistol
VOCconv
VOCeco
VILpistol
VILconv
VILeco
Miragepool
60%218/364
56%261/465
54%32/59
49%23/47
58%49/84
90%43/48
14%5/35
50%5/10
100%5/5
40%2/5
Anubispool
35%20/57
57%41/72
58%41/71
63%39/62
33%4/12
75%3/4
25%2/8
57%8/14
100%8/8
50%3/6
Cachepool
61%28/46
28%15/54
64%14/22
33%7/21
30%3/10
100%3/3
0%0/7
75%3/4
100%3/3
0%0/1
Infernoban
35%11/31
48%11/23
52%53/102
38%35/92
67%4/6
50%2/4
0%0/2
25%5/20
60%3/5
20%3/15
Dust2ban
57%213/376
56%195/348
75%18/24
20%2/10
51%37/72
86%32/37
17%6/35
75%3/4
67%2/3
0%0/1
Nukeban
63%92/147
57%68/119
50%6/12
78%7/9
54%15/28
53%8/15
62%8/13
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
Ancientban
62%185/299
55%140/256
31%11/36
45%21/47
57%32/56
90%28/31
21%5/24
38%3/8
100%3/3
20%1/5
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Villainous wins more pistol rounds: 57% vs 53%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Villainous usually win the next round too (100% vs 89%). Lose the pistol → Villainous fight back to win the next round more often (42% vs 14%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Voca
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/96 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 96 maps they won, 24 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs NRGMiragefrom 7 downvs 3DMAXDust2from 6 downvs NuToriousMiragefrom 6 downvs New LegendsAncientfrom 6 downvs MarsborneOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/59 (29%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 59 maps they lost, 17 (29%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RaveAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs M80Anubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs 3DMAXAncientled 5 · lost 16-19vs Overtake SectorAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs MarsborneNukeled 4 · lost 20-22
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NRGMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RaveAncientled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi24% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT24% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs NRGDust214-16vs MarsborneOverpass16-14vs NRGMirage15-19vs ZomblersMirage14-16vs Johnny SpeedsMirage12-16
Villainous
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/15 (20%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 15 maps they won, 3 (20%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 20% of their wins were comebacks, not 20% of all games.vs BrahmasInfernofrom 5 downvs CelestialInfernofrom 4 downvs BrahmasNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/16 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 16 maps they lost, 4 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 6 · lost 14-16vs SportsBetExpertAnubisled 5 · lost 14-16vs Iowa StormboarAncientled 4 · lost 13-16vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BrahmasInfernofrom 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 6 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi19% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT19% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs SportsBetExpertAnubis14-16vs NuToriousInferno25-21vs Overtake SectorMirage14-16vs Iowa StormboarAncient13-16