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Predictions / Bebop vs Noir Verse · match preview
Bebop vs Noir Verse: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier
BEB
Bebop
World #194 · 45-47
VS
2026-09-11 08:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Noir Verse
World #148 · 16-19
43%57%
The call
Noir Verse are favoured: our model gives them 57% against Bebop. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Noir Verse, form clearly favours Noir Verse, firepower clearly favours Noir Verse.
Likely mapsMirage · Cache · Dust2
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
BeboppullNoir Verse
Team strength1419
147061/39 NOI
Track record45–47
16–1953/47 BEB
Recent formLLLLL
LLWLL71/29 NOI
Roster rating1.05
1.1283/17 NOI
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 95% our own signal (231 maps of Bebop, 75 of Noir Verse).
Bottom line: Noir Verse to beat Bebop, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Recent form
Bebop
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
ASTRAL#714-01-0
Noir Verse vs ASTRAL
Jul 27WAnubis13-6
Bushido Wildcats#732-12-3
Bebop vs Bushido Wildcats
Jan 12WMirage19-15Dust28-13Nuke13-4
HAVU#1162-00-2
Bebop vs HAVU
Mar 12WMirage13-10Nuke13-9Noir Verse vs HAVU
Sep 1LCache9-13Nuke9-13
Honvéd#1383-34-2
Revise#1410-20-2
Bebop vs Revise
Aug 25LDust212-16Cache11-13Noir Verse vs Revise
Aug 21LAnubis9-13Mirage6-13
los kogutos2-00-2
Bebop vs los kogutos
Jan 9WNuke13-7Mirage13-8Noir Verse vs los kogutos
Aug 2LAnubis7-13Ancient7-13Firepower
roster ratingsBebop · avg 1.05 · top +0.08
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lov1kus | 205 | 1.1 | 78 | 72.9% | 54% | 1.13 |
| faydett | 226 | 0.93 | 75.1 | 71% | 54% | 1.05 |
| iDISBALANCE | 191 | 1.1 | 68.9 | 71.3% | 34% | 1.05 |
| redzed | 38 | 0.97 | 68 | 71.2% | 63% | 1.05 |
| wh1teout | 26 | 0.86 | 67.9 | 69.6% | 62% | 0.98 |
Noir Verse · avg 1.12 · top +0.11
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wh1temink | 7 | 1.12 | 79.7 | 73.4% | 66% | 1.23 |
| xeNji | 75 | 1.16 | 75.7 | 71.6% | 41% | 1.16 |
| Santuriano | 75 | 0.99 | 71.8 | 74% | 51% | 1.09 |
| Naginat | 75 | 0.94 | 79.5 | 70% | 65% | 1.08 |
| kirxttu | 75 | 0.99 | 69.3 | 73.5% | 50% | 1.02 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Bebop vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBEBNOI
AncientBEB ban39%9-1445%5-6
InfernoNOI ban45%10-120%0-2
MirageBEB pick59%40-2857%8-6
CacheNOI pick40%2-350%5-5
AnubisBEB ban40%4-645%5-6
NukeNOI ban49%24-2550%6-6
Dust2decider47%21-2443%6-8
Each team's usual first ban: Bebop Overpass · Noir Verse Inferno.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Noir Verse50%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: Bebop 52% toss-up · Cache: Noir Verse 56% toss-up · Dust2: Bebop 53% toss-upWhyBebop are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Dust2 & Mirage), so Noir Verse just need to steal one (~72% to grab at least one).OutcomesBebop 50%: 2-1 27%, 2-0 23% · Noir Verse 50%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 24%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Bebop 50%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Noir Verse only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.50% Noir Verse
Mirage
Bebop52%Noir Verse48%
40-28record8-6
59%win57%
53%CT win56%
50%T win52%
57%pistol54%
79%convert100%
Cache
Bebop44%Noir Verse56%
2-3record5-5
40%win50%
65%CT win53%
33%T win51%
50%pistol50%
80%convert100%
Dust2
Bebop53%Noir Verse47%
21-24record6-8
47%win43%
52%CT win56%
48%T win41%
57%pistol68%
86%convert89%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
BEBct
BEBt
NOIct
NOIt
BEBpistol
BEBconv
BEBeco
NOIpistol
NOIconv
NOIeco
Miragepool
53%345/657
50%385/763
56%81/145
52%67/129
57%78/136
79%62/78
10%6/58
54%15/28
100%15/15
8%1/13
Cachepool
65%39/60
33%16/49
53%48/90
51%61/120
50%5/10
80%4/5
20%1/5
50%10/20
100%10/10
0%0/10
Dust2pool
52%253/488
48%217/449
56%80/142
41%60/145
57%51/90
86%44/51
8%3/39
68%19/28
89%17/19
0%0/9
Ancientban
44%112/253
50%121/243
50%65/131
44%45/102
59%27/46
81%22/27
21%4/19
36%8/22
100%8/8
7%1/14
Infernoban
47%122/257
48%102/214
29%7/24
31%4/13
55%24/44
83%20/24
10%2/20
50%2/4
50%1/2
0%0/2
Anubisban
45%54/120
56%51/91
47%51/109
52%61/117
50%10/20
80%8/10
0%0/10
64%14/22
57%8/14
13%1/8
Nukeban
55%264/477
46%249/540
54%72/134
51%57/112
52%51/98
80%41/51
9%4/47
75%18/24
94%17/18
17%1/6
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Bebop 57%, Noir Verse 58%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → Noir Verse usually win the next round too (95% vs 82%). Lose the pistol → Bebop fight back to win the next round more often (10% vs 3%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Bebop
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i32/114 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 114 maps they won, 32 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 downvs HEROIC AcademyMiragefrom 7 downvs HonvédCachefrom 7 downvs HashirasAncientfrom 6 downvs AcendMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i39/117 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 117 maps they lost, 39 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HashirasAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13vs G2 AresDust2led 7 · lost 8-13vs ex-RUBYDust2led 6 · lost 12-16vs UrsaDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs UrsaInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Rune EatersMiragefrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HashirasAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 33Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 33 went to overtime.vs ALLINNERSMirage16-14vs MetizportMirage22-20vs Bushido WildcatsMirage19-15vs AcendOverpass12-16vs AcendMirage16-14
Noir Verse
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/35 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 35 maps they won, 10 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs SAW YoungstersMiragefrom 7 downvs AtreidesDust2from 7 downvs ex-Sashi AcademyAncientfrom 6 downvs ex-RUSTECCachefrom 6 downvs SAW YoungstersAnubisfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i10/40 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 40 maps they lost, 10 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs atputiesNukeled 6 · lost 13-16vs HonvédDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs EACMirageled 5 · lost 14-16vs MOUZ NXTCacheled 4 · lost 11-13vs Bushido WildcatsNukeled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs SAW YoungstersMiragefrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs atputiesNukeled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs WBTNuke19-17vs EACMirage14-16vs atputiesNuke13-16vs ex-RUSTECCache16-13vs SAW YoungstersMirage16-13