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Predictions / Lavked vs ENCE · match preview
Lavked vs ENCE: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9
LAV
Lavked
World #105 · 57-45
VS
2026-09-20 11:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
ENCE
World #120 · 33-32
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
51%49%
42%
2.211.61Market · 9 books
58%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 51–49. Bookmakers lean ENCE at 58%. Strength slightly favours Lavked, head-to-head clearly favours ENCE.
Likely mapsMirage · Nuke · Anubis
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
LavkedpullENCE
Team strength1507
147158/42 LAV
Track record57–45
33–3253/47 LAV
Recent formLWLLWLLWWL50/50
Roster rating1.08
1.0956/44 ENC
Head-to-head0 maps
2 maps75/25 ENC
Bookmakers imply 42% for Lavked (2.21 / 1.61); we land 9 points higher at 51%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 97% our own signal (244 maps of Lavked, 143 of ENCE). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: ENCE leads 1–0.
Bottom line: Lavked to beat ENCE, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsLavked · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| azukay★ | 1.06 | 74 | 73.7% | 60% | 1.13 |
| xm1nd | 1.17 | 72.6 | 72.5% | 37% | 1.12 |
| k4nfuz | 1 | 68.9 | 72.9% | 65% | 1.09 |
| 1NVISIBLEE | 0.91 | 80.3 | 68.2% | 58% | 1.07 |
| sol | 0.91 | 67.1 | 71.8% | 52% | 1.01 |
ENCE · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Lavked
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Alliance#211-22-0
Lavked vs Alliance
May 8LNuke13-3Inferno7-13Dust213-16ENCE vs Alliance
Feb 11WMirage13-5Overpass13-10
100 Thieves#353-22-0
ENCE vs 100 Thieves
Feb 25WAncient13-6Anubis13-8
Nemiga#390-40-2
ENCE vs Nemiga
Jan 29LDust29-13Ancient11-13
fnatic#424-31-4
Nuclear TigeRES#470-41-2
ENCE vs Nuclear TigeRES
Jan 17LAncient9-13Anubis13-6Dust23-13
WBT#702-00-2
Lavked vs WBT
Mar 23WMirage13-7Dust213-7ENCE vs WBT
Aug 16LNuke8-13Anubis6-13
ASTRAL#794-02-0
ENCE vs ASTRAL
Feb 26WDust213-9Nuke13-6
CYBERSHOKE#872-02-3
Lavked vs CYBERSHOKE
May 2WMirage13-10Ancient13-4Map lab
ENCE54%to win the Bo3 · most likely ENCE 2-1
If the veto goes
Lavked 46%how the series ends54% ENCE
25%2-024%
21%2-130%
Lavked53%39-29vsENCE47%19-16
57%Win54%
56%CT54%
47%T51%
48%Pistol54%
77%Conv83%
Lavked48%30-20vsENCE52%15-9
60%Win63%
57%CT59%
47%T52%
47%Pistol44%
85%Conv90%
Lavked41%9-11vsENCE59%11-9
45%Win55%
44%CT51%
47%T53%
55%Pistol48%
68%Conv84%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
LavkedMirageENCE
56%CT side54%
47%T side51%
48%Pistol54%
77%After win83%
14%After loss6%
LavkedNukeENCE
57%CT side59%
47%T side52%
47%Pistol44%
85%After win90%
17%After loss22%
LavkedAnubisENCE
44%CT side51%
47%T side53%
55%Pistol48%
68%After win84%
11%After loss5%
Pistol rounds49% · 49% · level, no edge
After a won pistol78% · 86% · ENCE keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol15% · 11% · Lavked fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Lavked vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapLAVENC
InfernoLAV ban25%4-1246%6-7
Dust2ENC ban52%23-2140%6-9
MirageLAV pick57%39-2954%19-16
NukeENC pick60%30-2063%15-9
CacheLAV ban0%0-150%4-4
AncientENC ban63%22-1337%7-12
Each team's usual first ban: Lavked Inferno · ENCE Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Lavked
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i47/130 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 130 maps they won, 47 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 downvs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 8 downvs ex-RUBYNukefrom 7 downvs OLDBOYS PLMiragefrom 7 downvs UNiTYMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/112 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 112 maps they lost, 29 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16vs ARCREDMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs UNiTYMirageled 8 · lost 7-13vs SPARTAInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs fnaticMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 29Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 29 went to overtime.vs ex-RUBYAncient16-14vs ESCAncient13-16vs PhantomMirage16-14vs K27Dust212-16vs QUAZARNuke12-16
ENCE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i23/72 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 72 maps they won, 23 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs EntropyAncientfrom 7 downvs eLITenergyNukefrom 5 downvs fnaticAncientfrom 5 downvs 100 ThievesAnubisfrom 5 downvs HonvédDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/71 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 27 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs fnaticOverpassled 10 · lost 14-16vs WBTNukeled 8 · lost 8-13vs illwillMirageled 7 · lost 13-16vs illwillAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs JiJieHaoOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EntropyAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs fnaticOverpassled 10 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs PARIVISIONAnubis20-22vs fnaticAncient19-17vs illwillMirage13-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust213-16vs fnaticOverpass14-16