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Predictions / B8 vs GamerLegion · match preview
B8 vs GamerLegion: CS2 match prediction · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
B8
World #16 · 38-33
VS
2026-09-17 10:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
GamerLegion
World #20 · 32-25
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
77%23%
54%
1.732.05Market · 2 books
46%The call · high confidence
B8 are favoured: our model gives them 77% against GamerLegion. Bookmakers lean B8 at 54%. Strength clearly favours B8, form clearly favours B8, firepower clearly favours B8, head-to-head slightly favours B8.
Likely mapsMirage · Inferno · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
B8pullGamerLegion
Team strength1669
156172/28 B8
Track record38–33
32–2551/49 GAM
Recent formLWWWL
LLLLW79/21 B8
Roster rating1.09
1.0295/5 B8
Head-to-head2 maps
1 maps60/40 B8
Bookmakers imply 54% for B8 (1.73 / 2.05); we land 23 points higher at 77%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (153 maps of B8, 121 of GamerLegion). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: B8 leads 1–0.
Bottom line: B8 to beat GamerLegion, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsB8 · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
GamerLegion · avg 1.02 · star gap +0.16iStar gap: the best player rates 0.16 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
B8
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
MOUZ#30-21-2
B8 vs MOUZ
May 22LOverpass8-13Ancient20-22GamerLegion vs MOUZ
Aug 19LMirage11-13Ancient22-19Nuke11-13
FURIA#42-53-3
Vitality#52-30-4
Legacy#62-02-1
B8 vs Legacy
Apr 8WDust213-9Ancient13-4GamerLegion vs Legacy
May 16WAncient13-9Mirage3-13Inferno13-6
Aurora#90-42-3
Natus Vincere#102-61-7
Astralis#111-24-3
B8 vs Astralis
Apr 5LMirage12-16Nuke13-8Ancient8-13GamerLegion vs Astralis
Jun 6LAncient4-13May 14WMirage13-3Ancient13-8May 2WOverpass13-8Inferno16-14+1 earlier meeting
Alliance#210-10-2
B8 vs Alliance
Jul 3LAncient6-13GamerLegion vs Alliance
Mar 27LAnubis14-16Inferno7-13Map lab
GamerLegion64%to win the Bo3 · most likely GamerLegion 2-0
If the veto goes
B8 36%how the series ends64% GamerLegion
14%2-037%
22%2-127%
B846%20-22vsGamerLegion54%15-14
48%Win52%
59%CT53%
46%T47%
58%Pistol48%
88%Conv75%
B831%8-11vsGamerLegion69%16-9
42%Win64%
52%CT52%
40%T50%
53%Pistol38%
90%Conv74%
B844%2-1vsGamerLegion56%2-0
67%Win100%
64%CT35%
45%T83%
50%Pistol50%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
B8MirageGamerLegion
59%CT side53%
46%T side47%
58%Pistol48%
88%After win75%
6%After loss20%
B8InfernoGamerLegion
52%CT side52%
40%T side50%
53%Pistol38%
90%After win74%
11%After loss26%
B8CacheGamerLegion
64%CT side35%
45%T side83%
50%Pistol50%
100%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds56% · 44% · B8 win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol89% · 76% · B8 keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol7% · 22% · GamerLegion fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, B8 vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
GamerLegion habitually bans Dust2, B8's strongest maps (Dust2, Ancient, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 42/57), not an opponent read, so expect B8 to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapB8GAM
AnubisB8 ban0%0-225%1-3
Dust2GAM ban61%17-1110%1-9
MirageB8 pick48%20-2252%15-14
InfernoGAM pick42%8-1164%16-9
NukeB8 ban50%7-750%11-11
AncientGAM ban60%21-1462%13-8
Cachedecider67%2-1100%2-0
Each team's usual first ban: B8 Anubis · GamerLegion Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
B8
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i30/79 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 79 maps they won, 30 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs BESTIAMiragefrom 7 downvs GamerLegionNukefrom 7 downvs PhantomMiragefrom 6 downvs BIGDust2from 6 downvs VitalityInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/74 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 74 maps they lost, 27 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 3DMAXNukeled 9 · lost 11-13vs NemigaAncientled 6 · lost 17-19vs AuroraMirageled 5 · lost 13-16vs PhantomNukeled 5 · lost 14-16vs Natus VincereInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BESTIAMiragefrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 3DMAXNukeled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs paiNDust212-16vs The MongolZNuke17-19vs AuroraMirage13-16vs Natus VincereAncient19-17vs Natus VincereMirage14-16
GamerLegion
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/64 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 19 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs AstralisInfernofrom 8 downvs JiJieHaoAncientfrom 7 downvs BC.GameInfernofrom 5 downvs VenomNukefrom 4 downvs AuroraInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/57 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 57 maps they lost, 18 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MOUZNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs B8Nukeled 7 · lost 11-13vs AcendMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs VitalityDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs G2Infernoled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs AstralisInfernofrom 8 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MOUZNukeled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs VenomTrain16-14vs AuroraInferno16-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasMirage16-12vs AvantiAncient16-12vs SINNERSMirage16-19