Vitality vs magic: CS2 match prediction · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026

One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.

Bookmakers imply 79% for Vitality (1.19 / 4.41); we land 12 points lower at 67%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (125 maps of Vitality, 160 of magic).

Bottom line: Vitality to beat magic, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.