Matches / Upcoming / Vitality vs magic
Vitality vs magic: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026
Vitality
World #5 · 41-11
VS
2026-09-17 12:30 UTC
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
magic
World #17 · 45-23
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★
67%33%
79%
1.194.41Market · 9 books
21%The call
Vitality are favoured: our model gives them 67% against magic. Bookmakers lean Vitality at 79%. Strength slightly favours Vitality, record slightly favours Vitality, form slightly favours Vitality, firepower clearly favours Vitality.
Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsVitality · avg 1.19 · star gap +0.24iStar gap: the best player rates 0.24 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
magic · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Falcons#23-60-2
MOUZ#36-30-2
Vitality vs MOUZ
Sep 5LDust211-13Mirage7-13Jun 13WMirage13-9Dust27-13Inferno13-4Feb 16WDust213-5Inferno13-8+1 earlier meeting
magic vs MOUZ
May 17LMirage2-13Inferno7-13
Legacy#62-11-2
Vitality vs Legacy
Aug 30WNuke16-14Mirage9-13Dust213-8magic vs Legacy
Sep 8LAncient7-13Dust213-7Mirage14-16
FUT#76-21-2
FaZe#134-04-2
9z#145-24-2
The MongolZ#156-10-3
Vitality vs The MongolZ
Mar 21WMirage13-4Overpass16-13Feb 21WMirage16-13Dust213-3Feb 15WMirage10-13Dust213-4Nuke13-4
PARIVISION#195-02-0
magic vs PARIVISION
Sep 10WAncient13-11Inferno16-14Map lab
Vitality60%to win the Bo3 · most likely Vitality 2-0
If the veto goes
Vitality 60%how the series ends40% magic
41%2-012%
19%2-129%
Vitality74%25-6vsmagic26%17-13
81%Win57%
64%CT57%
61%T45%
52%Pistol48%
84%Conv64%
Vitality55%13-9vsmagic45%20-17
59%Win54%
61%CT59%
40%T45%
52%Pistol51%
87%Conv76%
Vitality40%2-1vsmagic60%6-1
67%Win86%
61%CT54%
52%T54%
67%Pistol43%
50%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
VitalityDust2magic
64%CT side57%
61%T side45%
52%Pistol48%
84%After win64%
40%After loss26%
VitalityMiragemagic
61%CT side59%
40%T side45%
52%Pistol51%
87%After win76%
19%After loss28%
VitalityCachemagic
61%CT side54%
52%T side54%
67%Pistol43%
50%After win100%
0%After loss38%
Pistol rounds53% · 49% · Vitality win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 74% · Vitality keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol30% · 28% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Vitality vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
magic habitually bans Nuke, Vitality's strongest maps (Overpass, Dust2, Inferno, Ancient, Nuke, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 67/69), not an opponent read, so expect Vitality to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapVITMAG
AncientVIT ban100%2-066%27-14
NukeMAG ban80%16-4n/a0g
Vitality on Nuke
L
FURIA6–1312d agoWLegacy16–1417d agoW9z13–618d agoW
Spirit16–1426d agoW
100 Thieves13–41mo agoL
Liquid9–132mo agoW
BetBoom13–113mo agoWFUT13–83mo agomagic on Nuke
no recent maps
Dust2VIT pick81%25-657%17-13
MirageMAG pick59%13-954%20-17
AnubisVIT ban46%6-767%10-5
InfernoMAG ban78%14-465%11-6
Cachedecider67%2-186%6-1
Each team's usual first ban: Vitality Ancient · magic Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Vitality
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/93 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 93 maps they won, 27 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Lynn VisionDust2from 12 downvs Natus VincereNukefrom 11 downvs LegacyNukefrom 8 downvs 9zNukefrom 7 downvs FURIAOverpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/32 (44%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 32 maps they lost, 14 (44%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FURIAMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs FalconsMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs B8Infernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Inner CircleCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs LegacyMirageled 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Lynn VisionDust2from 12 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FURIAMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs EYEBALLERSAnubis19-16vs AuroraAncient25-22vs The MongolZMirage16-13vs PARIVISIONInferno16-13vs The MongolZOverpass16-13
magic
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i37/100 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 100 maps they won, 37 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 9 downvs EACAncientfrom 8 downvs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 8 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 7 downvs Nuclear TigeRESMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i17/60 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 17 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BetBoomMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs The MongolZMirageled 7 · lost 23-25vs BIGOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13vs ECSTATICOverpassled 5 · lost 8-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasMirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Gentle MatesMiragefrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BetBoomMirageled 7 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 26Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 26 went to overtime.vs Fingers CrossedDust220-22vs BetBoomMirage12-16vs WHITEBIRDAncient16-14vs ECSTATICMirage16-13vs ECSTATICAncient14-16
Vitality vs magic FAQ
Who is favored to win Vitality vs magic?
Vitality are favored with a 67% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Vitality vs magic?
Bookmakers price Vitality at 1.19 and magic at 4.41 (implied 79% vs 21%).
When do Vitality and magic play?
Vitality vs magic is scheduled for 2026-09-17 12:30 UTC at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026.