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Predictions / Iowa Stormboar vs FarmVille · match preview
Iowa Stormboar vs FarmVille: CS2 match prediction · CROSSFIRE Season 6
Iowa Stormboar
World #170 · 11-10
VS
2026-09-17 01:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
FarmVille
World #193 · 20-21
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
59%41%
55%
1.692.08Market · 6 books
45%The call
Iowa Stormboar are favoured: our model gives them 59% against FarmVille. Bookmakers lean Iowa Stormboar at 55%. Strength slightly favours Iowa Stormboar, firepower slightly favours FarmVille.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Iowa StormboarpullFarmVille
Team strength1530
148260/40 IOW
Track record11–1020–2150/50
Recent formLWLWW
LLWWL56/44 IOW
Roster rating1.08
1.0762/38 FAR
Bookmakers imply 55% for Iowa Stormboar (1.69 / 2.08); we land 4 points higher at 59%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 92% our own signal (47 maps of Iowa Stormboar, 92 of FarmVille).
Bottom line: Iowa Stormboar to beat FarmVille, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsIowa Stormboar · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.37iStar gap: the best player rates 0.37 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
FarmVille · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.18iStar gap: the best player rates 0.18 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Iowa Stormboar
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
SportsBetExpert#690-40-2
FarmVille vs SportsBetExpert
Sep 11LDust26-13Inferno8-13
Marsborne#912-40-1
Iowa Stormboar vs Marsborne
Sep 12WMirage13-11Ancient13-10Aug 27LNuke9-13Inferno2-13Jun 14LDust29-13Anubis9-13FarmVille vs Marsborne
Sep 4Lseries6-13
LAG#941-40-6
Overtake Sector#1475-20-2
Iowa Stormboar vs Overtake Sector
Sep 10WDust213-10Mirage1-13Ancient16-14Sep 4WMirage13-4Jun 13WDust24-13Mirage13-7Ancient13-9FarmVille vs Overtake Sector
Sep 12LCache14-16Ancient14-16
EMPIRE#1711-22-1
Iowa Stormboar vs EMPIRE
Aug 29LCache13-4Nuke8-13Inferno10-13FarmVille vs EMPIRE
Apr 8WDust213-6Anubis13-2Inferno16-19
Beyond Limits#2012-02-1
Iowa Stormboar vs Beyond Limits
Sep 6WDust216-14Mirage13-11FarmVille vs Beyond Limits
Sep 7WDust213-9Inferno11-13Anubis13-7
DETONATE#2023-30-1
FarmVille vs DETONATE
Sep 6LInferno9-13
Villainous#2082-02-1
Iowa Stormboar vs Villainous
Aug 28WInferno13-7Ancient16-13FarmVille vs Villainous
Sep 6WCache13-8Inferno9-13Mirage13-10Map lab
FarmVille54%to win the Bo3 · most likely FarmVille 2-0
If the veto goes
Iowa Stormboar 46%how the series ends54% FarmVille
20%2-031%
26%2-123%
Iowa Stormboar46%7-6vsFarmVille54%7-5
54%Win58%
63%CT61%
41%T44%
46%Pistol38%
83%Conv78%
Iowa Stormboar43%4-3vsFarmVille57%14-8
57%Win64%
47%CT54%
46%T52%
21%Pistol52%
100%Conv91%
Iowa Stormboar53%1-1vsFarmVille47%1-2
50%Win33%
45%CT61%
65%T44%
75%Pistol67%
100%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Iowa StormboarMirageFarmVille
63%CT side61%
41%T side44%
46%Pistol38%
83%After win78%
7%After loss20%
Iowa StormboarDust2FarmVille
47%CT side54%
46%T side52%
21%Pistol52%
100%After win91%
10%After loss24%
Iowa StormboarCacheFarmVille
45%CT side61%
65%T side44%
75%Pistol67%
100%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds41% · 49% · FarmVille win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol89% · 89% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol8% · 21% · FarmVille fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Iowa Stormboar vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapIOWFAR
InfernoIOW ban17%1-541%9-13
NukeFAR ban40%4-6n/a0g
Iowa Stormboar on Nuke
LLAG6–133d agoLEMPIRE8–1318d agoLMarsborne9–1320d agoW
Shimmer13–721d agoLLAG4–132mo agoL
NRG13–162mo agoW
Festina Lente13–83mo agoWDETONATE13–23mo agoFarmVille on Nuke
no recent maps
MirageIOW pick54%7-658%7-5
Dust2FAR pick57%4-364%14-8
AnubisIOW ban33%1-250%3-3
AncientFAR ban83%5-144%7-9
Cachedecider50%1-133%1-2
Each team's usual first ban: Iowa Stormboar Inferno · FarmVille Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Iowa Stormboar
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/23 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 23 maps they won, 7 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs Beyond LimitsDust2from 7 downvs Beyond LimitsMiragefrom 5 downvs ShimmerDust2from 4 downvs VillainousAncientfrom 4 downvs Overtake SectorAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/24 (21%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 24 maps they lost, 5 (21%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs M80Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs MarsborneAnubisled 5 · lost 9-13vs NRGNukeled 3 · lost 13-16vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 3 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Beyond LimitsDust2from 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs M80Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs DETONATEMirage14-16vs NRGNuke13-16vs VillainousAncient16-13vs Beyond LimitsDust216-14vs Overtake SectorAncient16-14
FarmVille
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/43 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 43 maps they won, 17 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs Club 333Dust2from 8 downvs regainInfernofrom 5 downvs Reign AboveAnubisfrom 5 downvs ZomblersInfernofrom 4 downvs Fisher CollegeAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/44 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 44 maps they lost, 20 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs regainDust2led 10 · lost 14-16vs Fisher CollegeMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs regainAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs AetherInfernoled 5 · lost 16-19vs LAGInfernoled 5 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Club 333Dust2from 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs regainDust2led 10 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi48% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT48% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs SakuraAncient14-16vs AetherInferno16-19vs LAGInferno16-19vs Outfit 49Inferno13-16vs F5Overpass17-19