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Predictions / Olympus vs Overtake Sector · match preview
Olympus vs Overtake Sector: CS2 match prediction · CROSSFIRE Season 6
Olympus
World #– · 6-3
VS
2026-09-26 00:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
Overtake Sector
World #147 · 16-13
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
48%52%
The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 48–52. No odds yet. Firepower clearly favours Overtake Sector.
Likely mapsAncient · Mirage · Dust2
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
OlympuspullOvertake Sector
Team strength1537
155654/46 OVE
Track record6–3
16–1357/43 OLY
Recent formWLWWWWLWWW50/50
Roster rating1.09
1.1280/20 OVE
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 84% our own signal (21 maps of Olympus, 68 of Overtake Sector).
Bottom line: Overtake Sector to beat Olympus, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsOlympus · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| relan★ | 1.12 | 88.5 | 70.9% | 59% | 1.26 |
| Bizarre666 | 1.17 | 81 | 71.7% | 45% | 1.23 |
| awayy | 0.99 | 68.8 | 72.9% | 55% | 1.05 |
| k6rdon | 0.94 | 68.1 | 69.5% | 64% | 1 |
| Sanzh1k33 | 0.81 | 62.3 | 66.3% | 55% | 0.91 |
Overtake Sector · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Marsborne#910-20-6
Olympus vs Marsborne
Sep 11LAnubis9-13Ancient9-13Overtake Sector vs Marsborne
Sep 1LDust28-13Inferno9-13Jun 13LMirage7-13Inferno7-13May 25LMirage20-22Inferno11-13
LAG#943-21-4
DETONATE#2022-04-2
Olympus vs DETONATE
Sep 20WAncient13-11Inferno13-5Overtake Sector vs DETONATE
Sep 15WCache11-13Mirage13-3Inferno13-6Sep 6WCache13-9Mirage8-13Inferno13-4
Wanted Goons#2174-14-2
Overtake Sector vs Wanted Goons
Jul 1WAncient10-13Mirage13-11Dust213-3Jun 12WMirage13-6Ancient10-13Overpass13-7
Club 333#2270-21-2
Olympus vs Club 333
Jun 15LNuke8-13Inferno10-13Overtake Sector vs Club 333
Jul 4LInferno9-13Mirage13-8Dust27-13Map lab
Olympus67%to win the Bo3 · most likely Olympus 2-0
If the veto goes
Olympus 67%how the series ends33% Overtake Sector
38%2-012%
28%2-122%
Olympus77%4-1vsOvertake Sector23%4-8
80%Win33%
61%CT58%
48%T40%
40%Pistol38%
100%Conv100%
Olympus50%1-0vsOvertake Sector50%14-7
100%Win67%
58%CT65%
67%T47%
0%Pistol52%
–Conv77%
Olympus57%2-1vsOvertake Sector43%5-6
67%Win45%
63%CT50%
35%T54%
67%Pistol50%
75%Conv73%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
OlympusAncientOvertake Sector
61%CT side58%
48%T side40%
40%Pistol38%
100%After win100%
17%After loss13%
OlympusMirageOvertake Sector
58%CT side65%
67%T side47%
0%Pistol52%
–After win77%
0%After loss25%
OlympusDust2Overtake Sector
63%CT side50%
35%T side54%
67%Pistol50%
75%After win73%
0%After loss27%
Pistol rounds44% · 48% · Overtake Sector win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol88% · 81% · Olympus keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol10% · 22% · Overtake Sector fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Olympus vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Overtake Sector habitually bans Nuke, Olympus's strongest maps (Ancient, Nuke, Dust2 all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Nuke 29/29), not an opponent read, so expect Olympus to fight the veto for Ancient.
MapOLYOVE
CacheOLY bann/a0g75%3-1
Olympus on Cache
no recent maps
Overtake Sector on Cache
LDETONATE11–135d agoWFarmVille16–148d agoWDETONATE13–914d agoW
NuTorious13–1124d agoNukeOVE ban60%3-2n/a0g
Olympus on Nuke
LLAG10–131d agoW
Omen13–113d agoWWanted Goons13–35d agoLClub 3338–133mo agoWLAG13–83mo agoOvertake Sector on Nuke
no recent maps
AncientOLY pick80%4-133%4-8
MirageOVE pick100%1-067%14-7
InfernoOLY ban50%2-246%6-7
AnubisOVE ban33%1-280%4-1
Dust2decider67%2-145%5-6
Each team's usual first ban: Olympus Cache · Overtake Sector Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Olympus
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/13 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 13 maps they won, 5 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 5 downvs LAGAncientfrom 4 downvs OmenNukefrom 4 downvs DETONATEAncientfrom 4 downvs OmenDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/8 (63%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 8 maps they lost, 5 (63%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OmenAnubisled 9 · lost 10-13vs Club 333Infernoled 5 · lost 10-13vs Club 333Nukeled 3 · lost 8-13vs MarsborneAncientled 3 · lost 9-13vs LAGDust2led 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 5 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OmenAnubisled 9 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample
Overtake Sector
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/37 (46%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 37 maps they won, 17 (46%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 46% of their wins were comebacks, not 46% of all games.vs NuToriousMiragefrom 10 downvs F5Miragefrom 7 downvs Wanted GoonsMiragefrom 6 downvs VillainousMiragefrom 6 downvs EMPIREMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/31 (45%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 31 maps they lost, 14 (45%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs Wanted GoonsAncientled 4 · lost 10-13vs LAGMirageled 4 · lost 11-13vs NuToriousInfernoled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NuToriousMiragefrom 10 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MarsborneInfernoled 10 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs ex-AetherAncient12-16vs MarsborneMirage20-22vs BrahmasAnubis16-12vs VillainousMirage16-14vs Iowa StormboarAncient14-16