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Predictions / Villainous vs Zomblers · match preview
Villainous vs Zomblers: CS2 match prediction · CROSSFIRE Season 6
Villainous
World #206 · 7-12
VS
2026-09-26 00:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
Zomblers
World #209 · 24-24
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
42%58%
54%
1.711.99Market · 3 books
46%The call
Zomblers are favoured: our model gives them 58% against Villainous. Bookmakers lean Villainous at 54%. Strength slightly favours Zomblers, record slightly favours Zomblers, form slightly favours Zomblers, firepower clearly favours Zomblers.
Likely mapsInferno · Nuke · Mirage
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
VillainouspullZomblers
Team strength1454
153066/34 ZOM
Track record7–12
24–2458/42 ZOM
Recent formLWLLW
WWLLL61/39 ZOM
Roster rating1.07
1.0874/26 ZOM
Bookmakers imply 54% for Villainous (1.71 / 1.99); we land 12 points lower at 42%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 90% our own signal (41 maps of Villainous, 111 of Zomblers).
Bottom line: Zomblers to beat Villainous, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsVillainous · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Zomblers · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.13iStar gap: the best player rates 0.13 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pose1doNN★ | 1.27 | 78.9 | 75.5% | 40% | 1.21 |
| CoolComs | 1 | 79.7 | 72.7% | 61% | 1.15 |
| twigs | 1.02 | 67.2 | 74.8% | 38% | 1.1 |
| CAJUN | 0.79 | 72.3 | 68.8% | 52% | 0.97 |
| man327 | 0.89 | 63.9 | 72.8% | 49% | 0.95 |
Recent form
Villainous
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Voca#690-21-6
Villainous vs Voca
Sep 10LAnubis3-13Dust26-13
SportsBetExpert#710-22-1
Villainous vs SportsBetExpert
Jul 12LAnubis14-16Mirage7-13Zomblers vs SportsBetExpert
Feb 7WAncient13-7Inferno7-13Dust213-10
regain#1630-25-9
Villainous vs regain
Jun 30LAncient10-13Anubis3-13Zomblers vs regain
May 2WMirage13-11Ancient13-4Apr 28WMirage13-7Dust27-13Ancient13-10Apr 24LOverpass21-25Mirage9-13+3 earlier meetings
NuTorious#2022-04-0
Villainous vs NuTorious
Jul 12WAnubis13-8Inferno25-21FARFarmVille#2031-24-5
Villainous vs FarmVille
Sep 6LCache8-13Inferno13-9Mirage10-13Zomblers vs FarmVille
Aug 28WDust213-11Inferno13-11Apr 14WAncient5-13Dust213-10Overpass13-5Apr 10LMirage8-13Dust28-13+1 earlier meeting
Wanted Goons#2302-20-2
Zomblers vs Wanted Goons
Mar 23LAncient7-13Nuke18-22INCIncognito1-22-0
Villainous vs Incognito
Sep 5LInferno2-13Mirage13-5Ancient4-13Zomblers vs Incognito
Aug 27WNuke13-9Mirage13-5BABBabag2-02-0
Villainous vs Babag
Sep 7WDust213-1Anubis13-7Zomblers vs Babag
Sep 20WDust213-9Inferno13-11Map lab
Zomblers52%to win the Bo3 · most likely Zomblers 2-1
If the veto goes
Villainous 48%how the series ends52% Zomblers
24%2-025%
24%2-127%
Villainous42%5-6vsZomblers58%12-10
45%Win55%
51%CT54%
38%T47%
32%Pistol52%
71%Conv87%
Villainous57%2-0vsZomblers43%12-10
100%Win55%
58%CT57%
63%T49%
75%Pistol61%
33%Conv85%
Villainous48%3-5vsZomblers52%10-14
38%Win42%
51%CT54%
50%T43%
63%Pistol71%
90%Conv79%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
VillainousInfernoZomblers
51%CT side54%
38%T side47%
32%Pistol52%
71%After win87%
20%After loss29%
VillainousNukeZomblers
58%CT side57%
63%T side49%
75%Pistol61%
33%After win85%
0%After loss12%
VillainousMirageZomblers
51%CT side54%
50%T side43%
63%Pistol71%
90%After win79%
33%After loss7%
Pistol rounds48% · 62% · Zomblers win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol75% · 83% · Zomblers keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol23% · 17% · Villainous fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Villainous vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapVILZOM
AncientVIL ban0%0-467%10-5
AnubisZOM ban50%5-50%0-2
InfernoVIL pick45%5-655%12-10
NukeZOM pick100%2-055%12-10
Dust2VIL ban33%1-245%9-11
CacheZOM ban50%1-1n/a0g
Zomblers on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: Villainous Dust2 · Zomblers Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Villainous
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/17 (18%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 17 maps they won, 3 (18%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 18% of their wins were comebacks, not 18% of all games.vs BrahmasInfernofrom 5 downvs CelestialInfernofrom 4 downvs BrahmasNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/23 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 23 maps they lost, 6 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 6 · lost 14-16vs SportsBetExpertAnubisled 5 · lost 14-16vs Iowa StormboarAncientled 4 · lost 13-16vs Wanted GoonsAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BrahmasInfernofrom 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 6 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi23% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT23% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs SportsBetExpertAnubis14-16vs NuToriousInferno25-21vs Overtake SectorMirage14-16vs Iowa StormboarAncient13-16
Zomblers
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/55 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 55 maps they won, 14 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs EMPIREDust2from 7 downvs MarsborneAncientfrom 6 downvs mouseMiragefrom 6 downvs EMPIRENukefrom 5 downvs regainMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/56 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 20 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Chicken CoopInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs AetherMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs InControlMirageled 5 · lost 9-13vs regainInfernoled 5 · lost 9-13vs LAGInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EMPIREDust2from 7 down · won 19-17
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Chicken CoopInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs InControlNuke19-17vs VocaMirage16-14vs InControlDust216-13vs InControlDust217-19vs EMPIRENuke16-14