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Predictions / Iowa Stormboar vs Addice · match preview
Iowa Stormboar vs Addice: CS2 match prediction · CROSSFIRE Season 6
Iowa Stormboar
World #177 · 13-11
VS
2026-09-26 00:00 UTC
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
Addice
World #– · 2-0
CROSSFIRE Season 6 · Best of 3
46%54%
The call
Addice are favoured: our model gives them 54% against Iowa Stormboar. No odds yet. Record slightly favours Addice, firepower clearly favours Addice.
Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Nuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Iowa StormboarpullAddice
Team strength1534
151454/46 IOW
Track record13–11
2–062/38 ADD
Recent formWLWLWWW50/50
Roster rating1.09
1.2499/1 ADD
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 63% our own signal (54 maps of Iowa Stormboar, 6 of Addice; thin sample, treat it as a lean, not a lock).
Bottom line: Addice to beat Iowa Stormboar, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsIowa Stormboar · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.34iStar gap: the best player rates 0.34 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Addice · avg 1.24 · star gap +0.18iStar gap: the best player rates 0.18 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Iowa Stormboar
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponentsNo prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.
Map lab
Addice53%to win the Bo3 · most likely Addice 2-0
If the veto goes
Iowa Stormboar 47%how the series ends53% Addice
22%2-028%
25%2-125%
Iowa Stormboar48%8-7vsAddice52%1-0
53%Win100%
61%CT100%
43%T42%
43%Pistol50%
85%Conv100%
Iowa Stormboar46%6-3vsAddice54%2-0
67%Win100%
54%CT64%
52%T79%
28%Pistol75%
100%Conv100%
Iowa Stormboar50%4-6thinAddice50%0-0
40%Win–
55%CT–
46%T–
60%Pistol–
92%Conv–
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
Iowa StormboarMirageAddice
61%CT side100%
43%T side42%
43%Pistol50%
85%After win100%
6%After loss0%
Iowa StormboarDust2Addice
54%CT side64%
52%T side79%
28%Pistol75%
100%After win100%
17%After loss0%
Iowa StormboarNukeAddice
55%CT side–
46%T side–
60%Pistol–
92%After win–
13%After loss–
Pistol rounds44% · 67% · Addice win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol90% · 100% · Addice keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol11% · 0% · Iowa Stormboar fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Iowa Stormboar vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Addice habitually bans Ancient, Iowa Stormboar's strongest maps (Ancient, Dust2 all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 2/2), not an opponent read, so expect Iowa Stormboar to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapIOWADD
InfernoIOW ban17%1-5100%1-0
Iowa Stormboar on Inferno
L
SportsBetExpert1–1317d agoL
EMPIRE10–1325d agoW
Villainous13–726d agoL
Marsborne2–1327d agoL
LAG5–132mo agoL
NRG6–132mo agoAddice on Inferno
Wmy life be like13–41d agoAncientADD ban83%5-1n/a0g
Iowa Stormboar on Ancient
WMarsborne13–1011d agoW
Overtake Sector16–1413d agoWVillainous16–1326d agoW
Festina Lente13–33mo agoWOvertake Sector13–93mo agoL
M805–134mo agoAddice on Ancient
no recent maps
MirageIOW pick53%8-7100%1-0
Dust2ADD pick67%6-3100%2-0
AnubisIOW ban25%1-30%0-1
Iowa Stormboar on Anubis
LMarsborne5–132d agoLLAG2–1310d agoLMarsborne9–133mo agoW
DETONATE13–93mo agoAddice on Anubis
Lmy life be like5–131d agoCacheADD ban50%2-20%0-1
Iowa Stormboar on Cache
W
Wanted Goons16–13todayLFarmVille4–135d agoLSportsBetExpert7–1317d agoWEMPIRE13–425d agoAddice on Cache
LBucketJonsBoys10–132d agoNukedecider40%4-6n/a0g
Iowa Stormboar on Nuke
LLAG6–1310d agoLEMPIRE8–1325d agoLMarsborne9–1327d agoW
Shimmer13–728d agoLLAG4–132mo agoLNRG13–162mo agoWFestina Lente13–83mo agoWDETONATE13–23mo agoAddice on Nuke
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: Iowa Stormboar Inferno · Addice Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Iowa Stormboar
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/27 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 27 maps they won, 9 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs Beyond LimitsDust2from 7 downvs Beyond LimitsMiragefrom 5 downvs ShimmerDust2from 4 downvs VillainousAncientfrom 4 downvs Overtake SectorAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/27 (19%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 27 maps they lost, 5 (19%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs M80Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs DETONATEMirageled 5 · lost 10-13vs MarsborneAnubisled 5 · lost 9-13vs NRGNukeled 3 · lost 13-16vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 3 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Beyond LimitsDust2from 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs M80Mirageled 5 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini6.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs DETONATEMirage14-16vs NRGNuke13-16vs VillainousAncient16-13vs Beyond LimitsDust216-14vs Overtake SectorAncient16-14
Addice
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/4 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 4 maps they won, 1 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs BucketJonsBoysMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i1/2 (50%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 1 (50%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs my life be likeAnubisled 9 · lost 5-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BucketJonsBoysMiragefrom 5 down · won 13-7
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs my life be likeAnubisled 9 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini7.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi17% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT17% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample