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Predictions / WBT vs ENCE · match preview
WBT vs ENCE: CS2 match prediction · Elisa BreakOut Series 2
WBT
World #108 · 24-18
VS
2026-10-15 12:00 UTC
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
ENCE
World #112 · 41-36
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
62%38%
57%
1.62.16Market · 1 books
43%The call
WBT are favoured: our model gives them 62% against ENCE. Bookmakers lean WBT at 57%. Form slightly favours ENCE, firepower clearly favours WBT, head-to-head clearly favours WBT.
Likely mapsMirage
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
WBTpullENCE
Team strength1499
151152/48 ENC
Track record24–1841–3650/50
Recent formLWLLL
LWWLL60/40 ENC
Roster rating1.09
1.0874/26 WBT
Head-to-head2 maps
0 maps75/25 WBT
Bookmakers imply 57% for WBT (1.6 / 2.16); we land 5 points higher at 62%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (98 maps of WBT, 167 of ENCE). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: WBT leads 1–0.
Bottom line: WBT to beat ENCE, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsWBT · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DemQQ★ | 1.13 | 79.3 | 77% | 53% | 1.26 |
| Smash | 0.97 | 78.9 | 72.7% | 50% | 1.13 |
| s4ltovsk1yy | 1.09 | 65.4 | 74.4% | 34% | 1.09 |
| tyr1k | 0.96 | 74.3 | 70.8% | 57% | 1.04 |
| Psycho | 0.87 | 62.1 | 69.2% | 57% | 0.93 |
ENCE · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.02iStar gap: the best player rates 0.02 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
WBT
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Eternal Fire#390-40-4
CYBERSHOKE#900-22-3
WBT vs CYBERSHOKE
Jul 19LAncient11-13Dust22-13LAVLavked#1220-24-1
WBT vs Lavked
Mar 23LMirage7-13Dust27-13
Noir Verse#1242-31-2
ENCE vs Noir Verse
Aug 19LNuke13-9Mirage6-13Anubis2-13JUSJust Players#1452-04-3
WBT vs Just Players
Jul 10WDust213-4Mirage13-10
MOUZ NXT#1462-12-4
WBT vs MOUZ NXT
Aug 2WCache11-13Anubis13-2Mirage13-2
BERG#1922-12-0
WBT vs BERG
Aug 30WAnubis13-6Ancient11-13Nuke13-4ENCE vs BERG
Aug 17WNuke13-5MAIMai Tai2-02-1
WBT vs Mai Tai
Aug 18WAnubis13-6Ancient13-10ENCE vs Mai Tai
Aug 18WNuke13-4Ancient8-13Anubis16-14Map lab
ENCE60%to win the map · most likely ENCE 1-0
If the veto goes
WBT40%7-8vsENCE60%24-18
47%Win57%
52%CT54%
47%T51%
57%Pistol54%
94%Conv79%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
WBTMirageENCE
52%CT side54%
47%T side51%
57%Pistol54%
94%After win79%
8%After loss8%
Pistol rounds57% · 54% · WBT win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol94% · 79% · WBT keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol8% · 8% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo1, WBT vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
ENCE habitually bans Dust2, WBT's strongest maps (Dust2, Overpass all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Dust2 39/77), not an opponent read, so expect WBT to fight the veto for Anubis.
MapWBTENC
InfernoWBT ban50%1-153%9-8
Dust2ENC ban65%13-738%8-13
CacheWBT ban13%1-744%4-5
AncientENC ban53%10-937%7-12
NukeWBT ban56%5-463%19-11
AnubisENC ban50%11-1155%11-9
Each team's usual first ban: WBT Inferno · ENCE Dust2.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
WBT
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/50 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 50 maps they won, 16 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs ENCENukefrom 8 downvs ArchOverpassfrom 6 downvs Inner Circle AcademyAnubisfrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersMiragefrom 5 downvs Inner Circle AcademyDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/48 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 48 maps they lost, 19 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MisaAnubisled 10 · lost 6-13vs ex-Zero TenacityCacheled 10 · lost 3-13vs Nice TryInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs Virtus.proDust2led 7 · lost 6-13vs Eternal FireCacheled 7 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ENCENukefrom 8 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MisaAnubisled 10 · lost 6-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs Noir VerseNuke17-19vs MisaAnubis20-22vs LPHNuke16-13vs PermittaDust219-17vs Virtus.proAnubis16-13
ENCE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/86 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 86 maps they won, 29 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs EntropyAncientfrom 7 downvs INFURITYNukefrom 6 downvs eLITenergyNukefrom 5 downvs fnaticAncientfrom 5 downvs 100 ThievesAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i30/81 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 81 maps they lost, 30 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs fnaticOverpassled 10 · lost 14-16vs WBTNukeled 8 · lost 8-13vs SangalCacheled 8 · lost 11-13vs illwillMirageled 7 · lost 13-16vs illwillAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EntropyAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs fnaticOverpassled 10 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs PARIVISIONAnubis20-22vs fnaticAncient19-17vs illwillMirage13-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust213-16vs fnaticOverpass14-16