

Voca are favoured: our model gives them 70% against Phantom. Bookmakers lean Phantom at 52%. Strength slightly favours Voca, record slightly favours Voca, form clearly favours Voca, firepower clearly favours Voca.
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
Bookmakers imply 48% for Voca (1.9 / 1.78); we land 22 points higher at 70%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 98% our own signal (182 maps of Voca, 245 of Phantom).
Bottom line: Voca to beat Phantom, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
NRG#304-132-1
100 Thieves#380-21-4
FOKUS#493-12-3
EYEBALLERS#500-11-2
BESTIA#732-00-2
Johnny Speeds#790-20-2
Sashi#1321-02-3CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo1, Voca vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.