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Predictions / Voca vs HAVU · match preview
Voca vs HAVU: CS2 match prediction · Elisa BreakOut Series 2
Voca
World #58 · 54-30
VS
2026-10-16 12:00 UTC
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
HAVU
World #107 · 36-49
Elisa BreakOut Series 2 · Best of 1
70%30%
67%
1.382.74Market · 1 books
33%The call
Voca are favoured: our model gives them 70% against HAVU. Bookmakers lean Voca at 67%. Strength slightly favours Voca, record slightly favours Voca, firepower slightly favours HAVU.
Likely mapsNuke
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
VocapullHAVU
Team strength1633
150767/33 VOC
Track record54–30
36–4965/35 VOC
Recent formLWWLW
WLLWL53/47 VOC
Roster rating1.16
1.0766/34 HAV
Bookmakers imply 67% for Voca (1.38 / 2.74); we land 3 points higher at 70%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 98% our own signal (182 maps of Voca, 180 of HAVU).
Bottom line: Voca to beat HAVU, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsVoca · avg 1.16 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
HAVU · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Voca
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Liquid#251-21-2
Voca vs Liquid
Sep 12LDust213-6Anubis10-13Nuke8-13HAVU vs Liquid
Mar 31LNuke13-6Mirage8-13Dust27-13
Ninjas in Pyjamas#260-10-1
Voca vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Mar 12LDust25-13HAVU vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Oct 2LInferno10-13
BC.Game#681-30-1
HAVU vs BC.Game
Jul 31LMirage9-13
SportsBetExpert#693-20-1
HAVU vs SportsBetExpert
Oct 2LMirage9-13
Sashi#1321-00-1
Voca vs Sashi
Oct 2WNuke13-9HAVU vs Sashi
Mar 29LNuke11-13
KOLESIE1-00-1
Voca vs KOLESIE
Mar 8WMirage13-9HAVU vs KOLESIE
May 21LMirage9-13Map lab
HAVU52%to win the map · most likely HAVU 1-0
If the veto goes
Voca48%12-6vsHAVU52%33-16
67%Win67%
60%CT59%
55%T51%
58%Pistol57%
62%Conv82%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
VocaNukeHAVU
60%CT side59%
55%T side51%
58%Pistol57%
62%After win82%
60%After loss33%
Pistol rounds58% · 57% · level, no edge
After a won pistol62% · 82% · HAVU keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol60% · 33% · Voca fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo1, Voca vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
HAVU habitually bans Ancient, Voca's strongest maps (Ancient, Mirage, Dust2, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 60/84), not an opponent read, so expect Voca to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapVOCHAV
InfernoVOC ban33%1-238%6-10
AncientHAV ban64%23-1333%2-4
AnubisVOC ban33%3-643%3-4
Dust2HAV ban65%26-1433%13-27
CacheVOC ban13%1-720%1-4
MirageHAV ban70%31-1350%19-19
Each team's usual first ban: Voca Inferno · HAVU Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Voca
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/109 (24%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 109 maps they won, 26 (24%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 24% of their wins were comebacks, not 24% of all games.vs NRGMiragefrom 7 downvs 3DMAXDust2from 6 downvs NuToriousMiragefrom 6 downvs New LegendsAncientfrom 6 downvs MarsborneOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/70 (27%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 70 maps they lost, 19 (27%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs RaveAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs M80Anubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs 3DMAXAncientled 5 · lost 16-19vs M80Ancientled 5 · lost 11-13vs Overtake SectorAnubisled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NRGMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs RaveAncientled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini6.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs NRGDust214-16vs MarsborneOverpass16-14vs NRGMirage15-19vs ZomblersMirage14-16vs Johnny SpeedsMirage12-16
HAVU
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/81 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 81 maps they won, 29 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs Aurora Young BludNukefrom 7 downvs ex-Zero TenacityNukefrom 6 downvs EnjoyInfernofrom 6 downvs Strael BoraInfernofrom 5 downvs MetizportNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i35/94 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 94 maps they lost, 35 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs INFINITEInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs ex-Zero TenacityInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs Inner Circle AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs WHITEBIRDNukeled 5 · lost 11-13vs OramondInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Aurora Young BludNukefrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs INFINITEInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs BIGOverpass14-16vs TDKAnubis17-19vs FORZE ReloadOverpass19-15vs Aurora Young BludNuke16-13vs Aurora Young BludMirage16-14