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Predictions / Lavked vs HAVU · match preview
Lavked vs HAVU: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 12
LAV
Lavked
World #135 · 67-58
VS
2026-10-22 14:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · Best of 3
HAVU
World #108 · 39-52
CCT 2026 Europe Series 12 · Best of 3
55%45%
50%
1.821.85Market · 1 books
50%The call
Lavked are favoured: our model gives them 55% against HAVU. Bookmakers lean Lavked at 50%. Form slightly favours Lavked.
Likely mapsMirage · Nuke · Dust2
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
LavkedpullHAVU
Team strength1507150750/50
Track record67–58
39–5255/45 LAV
Recent formLWWWW
LLWLW67/33 LAV
Roster rating1.1
1.0755/45 LAV
Head-to-head2 maps2 maps50/50
Bookmakers imply 50% for Lavked (1.82 / 1.85); we land 5 points higher at 55%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 98% our own signal (294 maps of Lavked, 191 of HAVU). Head-to-head they've met 2 times: split 1–1.
Bottom line: Lavked to beat HAVU, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsLavked · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.02iStar gap: the best player rates 0.02 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| azukay★ | 0.99 | 75.7 | 71.9% | 58% | 1.12 |
| xm1nd | 1.18 | 72.9 | 72.6% | 37% | 1.12 |
| k4nfuz | 1.01 | 69.6 | 72.9% | 65% | 1.1 |
| 1NVISIBLEE | 0.92 | 80.8 | 68.5% | 57% | 1.08 |
| takanashi | 0.9 | 68.8 | 66.8% | 54% | 1.08 |
HAVU · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Lavked
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents2mo agoLAV Lavked2 : 0
HAVU!2mo agoLAV Lavked0 : 2 HAVU!
HAVU!⚠ Different lineup
Lavked
outsol
inFREXEMP, takanashi
HAVU
outpeku
in8Juho8
HAVU!⚠ Different lineup
Lavked
outYakuza, sol
inFREXEMP, azukay, takanashi
Nemiga#240-60-2
HAVU vs Nemiga
Mar 19LNuke14-16Overpass4-13
fnatic#344-30-2
Nuclear TigeRES#500-40-1
HAVU vs Nuclear TigeRES
Feb 8LAnubis3-13
Black Phoenix#553-40-4
Lavked vs Black Phoenix
Sep 18LAnubis3-13Dust26-13Aug 23WMirage16-13Nuke13-8Aug 6LDust26-13Anubis13-9Mirage13-16
Metizport#590-22-2
Lavked vs Metizport
Sep 11LInferno11-13Mirage14-16
ex-Zero Tenacity#672-35-7
HAVU vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Aug 28LCache8-13Nuke13-9Inferno13-16Mar 20WDust26-13Nuke13-11Mirage19-16Mar 10LDust210-13Nuke13-8Mirage11-13+1 earlier meeting
Phantom#685-50-3
Lavked vs Phantom
Jul 30LAncient4-13Nuke6-13May 25LMirage13-11Dust27-13Nuke7-13May 4WMirage13-11Dust210-13Ancient13-3+1 earlier meeting
FORZE Reload#800-22-0
Lavked vs FORZE Reload
Oct 16LAncient6-13Dust25-13HAVU vs FORZE Reload
Feb 14WOverpass19-15Nuke13-9Map lab
Lavked56%to win the Bo3 · most likely Lavked 2-1
If the veto goes
Lavked 56%how the series ends44% HAVU
22%2-027%
34%2-117%
Lavked56%45-34vsHAVU44%20-19
57%Win51%
56%CT54%
48%T45%
51%Pistol46%
80%Conv75%
Lavked39%32-25vsHAVU61%35-17
56%Win67%
57%CT59%
45%T51%
46%Pistol57%
84%Conv81%
Lavked67%29-30vsHAVU33%13-28
49%Win32%
51%CT43%
51%T48%
51%Pistol46%
83%Conv92%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
LavkedMirageHAVU
56%CT side54%
48%T side45%
51%Pistol46%
80%After win75%
14%After loss17%
LavkedNukeHAVU
57%CT side59%
45%T side51%
46%Pistol57%
84%After win81%
18%After loss31%
LavkedDust2HAVU
51%CT side43%
51%T side48%
51%Pistol46%
83%After win92%
16%After loss23%
Pistol rounds49% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol82% · 83% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol16% · 24% · HAVU fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Lavked vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
HAVU habitually bans Ancient, Lavked's strongest maps (Ancient all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 64/90), not an opponent read, so expect Lavked to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapLAVHAV
InfernoLAV ban26%5-1435%6-11
AncientHAV ban62%26-1625%2-6
MirageLAV pick57%45-3451%20-19
NukeHAV pick56%32-2567%35-17
CacheLAV ban0%0-138%3-5
AnubisHAV ban48%13-1443%3-4
Dust2decider49%29-3032%13-28
Each team's usual first ban: Lavked Inferno · HAVU Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Lavked
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i57/153 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 153 maps they won, 57 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs HYPERSPIRITDust2from 11 downvs PCIFICAnubisfrom 10 downvs ASTRALDust2from 8 downvs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 8 downvs ex-RUBYNukefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i42/139 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 139 maps they lost, 42 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16vs ex-6666Nukeled 10 · lost 8-13vs NemigaAnubisled 9 · lost 5-13vs ARCREDMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs UNiTYMirageled 8 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HYPERSPIRITDust2from 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 38Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 38 went to overtime.vs ex-RUBYAncient16-14vs ESCAncient13-16vs PhantomMirage16-14vs K27Dust212-16vs QUAZARNuke12-16
HAVU
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i32/86 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 86 maps they won, 32 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs Aurora Young BludNukefrom 7 downvs ex-Zero TenacityNukefrom 6 downvs EnjoyInfernofrom 6 downvs Strael BoraInfernofrom 5 downvs MetizportNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i37/100 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 100 maps they lost, 37 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Inner Circle AcademyAncientled 10 · lost 3-13vs INFINITEInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs ex-Zero TenacityInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs Inner Circle AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs WHITEBIRDNukeled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Aurora Young BludNukefrom 7 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Inner Circle AcademyAncientled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs BIGOverpass14-16vs TDKAnubis17-19vs FORZE ReloadOverpass19-15vs Aurora Young BludNuke16-13vs Aurora Young BludMirage16-14