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Predictions / FaZe vs BC.Game · match preview
FaZe vs BC.Game: CS2 match prediction · Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7
FaZe
World #17 · 30-31
VS
2026-10-22 13:00 UTC
Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · Best of 3 · ★
BC.Game
World #51 · 27-27
Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · Best of 3 · ★
66%34%
47%
1.961.75Market · 6 books
53%The call
FaZe are favoured: our model gives them 66% against BC.Game. Bookmakers lean BC.Game at 53%. Strength slightly favours FaZe, firepower clearly favours FaZe, head-to-head slightly favours FaZe.
Likely mapsNuke · Cache · Dust2
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
FaZepullBC.Game
Team strength1638
159759/41 FAZ
Track record30–31
27–2751/49 FAZ
Recent formWWLWW
LWWWW54/46 FAZ
Roster rating1.13
1.1582/18 FAZ
Head-to-head2 maps
1 maps60/40 FAZ
Bookmakers imply 47% for FaZe (1.96 / 1.75); we land 19 points higher at 66%: that gap is where we think the value is. This read is 96% our own signal (146 maps of FaZe, 99 of BC.Game). Head-to-head they've met 1 time: FaZe leads 1–0.
Bottom line: FaZe to beat BC.Game, and we're comfortable saying so. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsFaZe · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
BC.Game · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
FaZe
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Vitality#20-40-4
Falcons#61-20-1
FaZe vs Falcons
Feb 15LAnubis9-13Dust213-11Ancient4-13BC.Game vs Falcons
May 20LDust211-13
Legacy#72-02-0
FaZe vs Legacy
Aug 13WCache13-6Mirage13-8BC.Game vs Legacy
Jan 28WOverpass16-13Inferno13-1
MIBR#120-14-5
Ninjas in Pyjamas#190-22-0
FaZe vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30LAncient11-13Nuke10-13BC.Game vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
Jan 30WDust216-14Dust213-7Nuke13-9
The MongolZ#202-10-2
FaZe vs The MongolZ
Jul 31WNuke16-12Mirage7-13Ancient13-8BC.Game vs The MongolZ
Apr 4LDust23-13Ancient11-13
HEROIC#254-10-2
BC.Game vs HEROIC
Oct 15LCache6-13Nuke9-13
Alliance#292-22-1
Map lab
FaZe54%to win the Bo3 · most likely FaZe 2-0
If the veto goes
FaZe 54%how the series ends46% BC.Game
30%2-020%
24%2-126%
FaZe60%16-7vsBC.Game40%13-9
70%Win59%
63%CT61%
49%T48%
61%Pistol52%
78%Conv78%
FaZe50%8-3vsBC.Game50%8-3
73%Win73%
58%CT59%
58%T56%
50%Pistol50%
91%Conv100%
FaZe47%13-13vsBC.Game53%9-8
50%Win53%
52%CT54%
48%T51%
56%Pistol56%
86%Conv84%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
FaZeNukeBC.Game
63%CT side61%
49%T side48%
61%Pistol52%
78%After win78%
11%After loss19%
FaZeCacheBC.Game
58%CT side59%
58%T side56%
50%Pistol50%
91%After win100%
18%After loss9%
FaZeDust2BC.Game
52%CT side54%
48%T side51%
56%Pistol56%
86%After win84%
22%After loss33%
Pistol rounds57% · 53% · FaZe win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 85% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol17% · 21% · BC.Game fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, FaZe vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFAZBC.
InfernoFAZ ban0%0-640%4-6
AncientBC. ban42%13-1823%3-10
NukeFAZ pick70%16-759%13-9
CacheBC. pick73%8-373%8-3
AnubisFAZ ban31%4-90%0-6
MirageBC. ban63%17-1064%7-4
Dust2decider50%13-1353%9-8
Each team's usual first ban: FaZe Inferno · BC.Game Mirage.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
FaZe
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i25/74 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 74 maps they won, 25 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs The MongolZNukefrom 9 downvs paiNDust2from 6 downvs aimclubOverpassfrom 6 downvs DramaNukefrom 6 downvs PUREMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/71 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 71 maps they lost, 27 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PARIVISIONAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs NemigaMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs Inner CircleMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs NAVI JuniorAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs EnvyDust2led 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The MongolZNukefrom 9 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PARIVISIONAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs paiNNuke13-16vs paiNDust216-13vs AstralisInferno14-16vs Passion UANuke16-12vs Passion UADust214-16
BC.Game
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/48 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 48 maps they won, 16 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs LegacyOverpassfrom 9 downvs ROUNDSCachefrom 8 downvs MIBRAncientfrom 6 downvs ENCEMiragefrom 5 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/50 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 50 maps they lost, 18 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs MIBRAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs MIBRAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs GamerLegionInfernoled 5 · lost 10-13vs illwillDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs BASEMENT BOYSNukeled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs LegacyOverpassfrom 9 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs MIBRAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 12Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 12 went to overtime.vs LegacyOverpass16-13vs Ninjas in PyjamasDust216-14vs ECSTATICNuke13-16vs ENCENuke16-13vs 100 ThievesNuke12-16