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Predictions / 6yuBoJlbl vs megoshort · match preview
6yuBoJlbl vs megoshort: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 13
6yuBoJlbl
World #166 · 6-6
VS
2026-11-08 15:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 · Best of 3
megoshort
World #163 · 33-42
CCT 2026 Europe Series 13 · Best of 3
62%38%
The call
6yuBoJlbl are favoured: our model gives them 62% against megoshort. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours 6yuBoJlbl, record slightly favours 6yuBoJlbl, firepower slightly favours 6yuBoJlbl.
Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Cache
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
6yuBoJlblpullmegoshort
Team strength1514
145962/38 6YU
Track record6–6
33–4258/42 6YU
Recent formWLLWL
LLWWL56/44 6YU
Roster rating1.1
1.2466/34 6YU
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 88% our own signal (32 maps of 6yuBoJlbl, 175 of megoshort).
Bottom line: 6yuBoJlbl to beat megoshort, but it's closer than it looks. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratings6yuBoJlbl · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.29iStar gap: the best player rates 0.29 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
megoshort · avg 1.24 · star gap +0.13iStar gap: the best player rates 0.13 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
6yuBoJlbl
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
mellren#992-02-1
6yuBoJlbl vs mellren
Oct 26WAncient13-7Mirage13-7megoshort vs mellren
Sep 26WInferno13-6Ancient5-13Mirage13-9LAVLavked#2032-02-2
6yuBoJlbl vs Lavked
Oct 3WMirage13-10Dust219-17Map lab
megoshort52%to win the Bo3 · most likely megoshort 2-1
If the veto goes
6yuBoJlbl 48%how the series ends52% megoshort
35%2-08%
12%2-144%
6yuBoJlbl86%8-1vsmegoshort14%18-24
89%Win43%
63%CT54%
57%T38%
67%Pistol39%
58%Conv82%
6yuBoJlbl41%2-3vsmegoshort59%22-19
40%Win54%
44%CT52%
52%T50%
30%Pistol55%
100%Conv91%
6yuBoJlbl22%1-4vsmegoshort78%7-3
20%Win70%
47%CT61%
42%T46%
60%Pistol50%
100%Conv80%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
6yuBoJlblMiragemegoshort
63%CT side54%
57%T side38%
67%Pistol39%
58%After win82%
17%After loss16%
6yuBoJlblAncientmegoshort
44%CT side52%
52%T side50%
30%Pistol55%
100%After win91%
14%After loss8%
6yuBoJlblCachemegoshort
47%CT side61%
42%T side46%
60%Pistol50%
100%After win80%
25%After loss20%
Pistol rounds55% · 47% · 6yuBoJlbl win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol76% · 86% · megoshort keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol18% · 13% · 6yuBoJlbl fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, 6yuBoJlbl vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
Map6YUMEG
Anubis6YU bann/a0g45%5-6
6yuBoJlbl on Anubis
no recent maps
NukeMEG ban0%0-2n/a0g
megoshort on Nuke
no recent maps
Mirage6YU pick89%8-143%18-24
AncientMEG pick40%2-354%22-19
Inferno6YU ban0%0-340%10-15
Dust2MEG ban75%6-227%9-24
Cachedecider20%1-470%7-3
Each team's usual first ban: 6yuBoJlbl Anubis · megoshort Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
6yuBoJlbl
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/17 (53%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 17 maps they won, 9 (53%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 53% of their wins were comebacks, not 53% of all games.vs HYPERSPIRITMiragefrom 9 downvs MAYBEMiragefrom 7 downvs ex-6666Dust2from 6 downvs Saint SinnersMiragefrom 6 downvs 9INEDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/15 (47%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 15 maps they lost, 7 (47%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LFO 10Mirageled 9 · lost 4-13vs INOX DivisionNukeled 8 · lost 5-13vs HYPERSPIRITDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs 9INECacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs INOX DivisionInfernoled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs HYPERSPIRITMiragefrom 9 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LFO 10Mirageled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs LavkedDust219-17vs INOX DivisionDust216-12vs IllyriansCache12-16vs 9INEDust216-12vs 9INEAncient14-16
megoshort
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/77 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 77 maps they won, 29 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs TNCMiragefrom 8 downvs ex-MANADust2from 8 downvs DONSTUAnubisfrom 7 downvs QWENTRYMiragefrom 6 downvs los kogutosDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i34/96 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 96 maps they lost, 34 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxMirageled 10 · lost 3-13vs mellrenAncientled 8 · lost 5-13vs Black PhoenixInfernoled 8 · lost 9-13vs AMOverpassled 7 · lost 9-13vs Noir VerseAnubisled 7 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs TNCMiragefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxMirageled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 26Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 26 went to overtime.vs PrestigeInferno16-13vs TrickedAncient13-16vs STATETrain19-17vs Eternal FireMirage13-16vs Aurora Young BludOverpass14-16