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Predictions / Honvéd vs Ryvex · match preview
Honvéd vs Ryvex: CS2 match prediction · CCT 2026 Europe Series 14 Closed Qualifier
Honvéd
World #218 · 31-43
VS
2026-11-09 18:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 14 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Ryvex
World #178 · 11-14
CCT 2026 Europe Series 14 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
54%46%
The call
Honvéd are favoured: our model gives them 54% against Ryvex. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Ryvex, firepower clearly favours Honvéd.
Likely mapsMirage · Ancient · Inferno
How the model gets there
One number from the signals below. Each row shows which side it pulls toward and how hard; the weights are learned from every match in our history (team strength and roster rating do most of the work), and the blend is shrunk toward the betting market based on how much data backs it, so a thin sample can never read as a lock.
HonvédpullRyvex
Team strength1403
144459/41 RYV
Track record31–43
11–1451/49 HON
Recent formLWLWL
WLWLL56/44 RYV
Roster rating1.11
190/10 HON
No odds on this match yet, so the model stands on its own data here. This read is 94% our own signal (175 maps of Honvéd, 65 of Ryvex).
Bottom line: Honvéd to beat Ryvex, barely: a coin flip with a lean. Everything below is the data behind that call.
Firepower
roster ratingsHonvéd · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.23iStar gap: the best player rates 0.23 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Ryvex · avg 1 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Honvéd
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Leo#790-21-2
Honvéd vs Leo
Oct 30LAncient11-13Mirage11-13Ryvex vs Leo
Oct 7LAncient13-9Nuke2-13Dust22-13
mellren#990-40-2
Ryvex vs mellren
Oct 7LAncient11-13Mirage7-13
The Last Resort#1312-02-7
Honvéd vs The Last Resort
Aug 14WDust216-12Inferno13-11
Noir Verse#1472-42-3
Phantom Academy#1492-12-0
Honvéd vs Phantom Academy
Jul 5WMirage1-13Dust216-14Ancient13-6Ryvex vs Phantom Academy
Oct 19WDust213-6Ancient13-8
PCIFIC#1500-20-2
Honvéd vs PCIFIC
Sep 13LMirage7-13Inferno5-13Ryvex vs PCIFIC
Oct 14LDust28-13Cache9-13
LPH#1582-12-1
Honvéd vs LPH
Jul 4WAncient9-13Nuke13-5Dust213-7Ryvex vs LPH
Nov 7WDust214-16Nuke13-4Ancient13-8
Privateer#1882-04-2
Honvéd vs Privateer
Jul 26WDust216-13Nuke13-10Map lab
Ryvex62%to win the Bo3 · most likely Ryvex 2-1
If the veto goes
Honvéd 38%how the series ends62% Ryvex
20%2-030%
19%2-132%
Honvéd52%23-25vsRyvex48%5-6
48%Win45%
54%CT60%
44%T32%
55%Pistol36%
81%Conv63%
Honvéd38%10-11vsRyvex62%11-7
48%Win61%
50%CT53%
46%T47%
64%Pistol56%
78%Conv65%
Honvéd37%6-14vsRyvex63%2-1
30%Win67%
42%CT47%
49%T63%
43%Pistol50%
82%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
HonvédMirageRyvex
54%CT side60%
44%T side32%
55%Pistol36%
81%After win63%
14%After loss14%
HonvédAncientRyvex
50%CT side53%
46%T side47%
64%Pistol56%
78%After win65%
0%After loss19%
HonvédInfernoRyvex
42%CT side47%
49%T side63%
43%Pistol50%
82%After win100%
17%After loss0%
Pistol rounds54% · 48% · Honvéd win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol80% · 68% · Honvéd keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol12% · 15% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Honvéd vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapHONRYV
AnubisHON ban44%4-5n/a0g
Honvéd on Anubis
L
Misa8–132mo agoLLavked9–132mo agoW
Teletubisie13–72mo agoL
SAW Youngsters8–133mo agoL
Inner Circle Academy4–133mo agoL
ex-RUSTEC2–133mo agoWMisa16–134mo agoWRUSTEC13–34mo agoRyvex on Anubis
no recent maps
CacheRYV ban36%5-922%2-7
MirageHON pick48%23-2545%5-6
AncientRYV pick48%10-1161%11-7
NukeHON ban50%3-330%3-7
Dust2RYV ban44%22-2829%4-10
Infernodecider30%6-1467%2-1
Each team's usual first ban: Honvéd Nuke · Ryvex Anubis.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Honvéd
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i25/73 (34%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 73 maps they won, 25 (34%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 34% of their wins were comebacks, not 34% of all games.vs RUSTECDust2from 10 downvs IllyriansMiragefrom 10 downvs The Last ResortInfernofrom 8 downvs brazylijski luzMiragefrom 6 downvs PrivateerNukefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i37/98 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 98 maps they lost, 37 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EntropyMirageled 10 · lost 3-13vs TitanFlowInfernoled 9 · lost 4-13vs 6666Mirageled 8 · lost 5-13vs BebopCacheled 7 · lost 11-13vs G2 AresInfernoled 7 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs RUSTECDust2from 10 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EntropyMirageled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs PUREDust216-14vs brazylijski luzAncient19-17vs TNCAncient15-19vs ex-MANAMirage13-16vs GenOneDust213-16
Ryvex
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/27 (48%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 27 maps they won, 13 (48%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 48% of their wins were comebacks, not 48% of all games.vs QuintessenceNukefrom 8 downvs The Last ResortInfernofrom 5 downvs The PigsDust2from 5 downvs PrivateerDust2from 4 downvs KUUSAMOAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/38 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 38 maps they lost, 16 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs benched godsCacheled 12 · lost 1-13vs LeoNukeled 11 · lost 2-13vs MAYBEAncientled 9 · lost 4-13vs PCIFICDust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs mellrenAncientled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs QuintessenceNukefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs benched godsCacheled 12 · lost 1-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs PrivateerDust225-22vs The Last ResortAncient19-17vs Noir VerseCache12-16vs KUUSAMONuke15-19vs The PigsDust219-16