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Vitality vs Inner Circle: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · BLAST Open Porto 2026

Vitality
★
2026-08-27 09:00 UTC
BLAST Open Porto 2026
Inner Circle
Our model gives Vitality a 55% chance to beat Inner Circle at BLAST Open Porto 2026. Bookmakers price Vitality at 1.17 and Inner Circle at 4.63 (implied 80% vs 20%).
Vitality
1.17odds
Inner Circle
4.63odds
Our read55%
45%
Market80%
20%
median decimal odds · 12 booksBookmakerVITINN1red1.086.3Epicbet1.086.3Stake1.086.3duelbits1.086.3Sweatbet 1.125.7GranaWin1.164.51xBit1.184.631xbet1.184.63ColdBet1.184.63Spinbet1.184.63Vivatbet1.184.63betlabel1.184.63
FormatBO3Tier★Form37-9 · 37-26PistolsInner Circle 56%Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Cache
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.

Recent form

Vitality

SpiritOvertimeOT6d ago1-2FaZePistolsPist3/47d ago2-0Lynn VisionPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-211d ago2-0B8UpsetUpsetBlew leadBL613d ago1-2100 Thieves15d ago13-4LiquidUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/41mo ago0-2Falcons2mo ago1-2BetBoom2mo ago2-0MOUZPistolsPist5/63mo ago2-19z3mo ago1-2FUTPistolsPist5/6StompStomp13-23mo ago2-1Natus Vincere3mo ago1-2B84mo ago2-0FaZeOvertimeOT4mo ago2-0BetBoom4mo ago1-2

Inner Circle

HOTU18d ago1-2Iberian Soul18d ago2-1ASTRAL20d ago2-0NIOPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-020d ago2-0Virtus.proPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0magicPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0GenOne2mo ago2-0Acend2mo ago3-1SharksOvertimeOT2mo ago2-1WalczakiPistolsPist3/42mo ago2-0SashiOvertimeOT2mo ago2-19INEComebackCB6OvertimeOT2mo ago2-1SharksOvertimeOT2mo ago0-2AMPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-22mo ago2-0Echo2mo ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Spirit#14-20-2
Vitality vs Spirit
Aug 21LAnubis11-13Nuke16-14Mirage3-13Apr 19WMirage16-13Nuke13-10Dust213-5
Inner Circle vs Spirit
Jan 18LAncient8-13Dust25-13
FUT#64-21-2
Vitality vs FUT
Jun 11WAnubis5-13Overpass13-2Nuke13-8Apr 29WMirage13-6Dust211-13Nuke13-11
Inner Circle vs FUT
Apr 4LDust213-9Mirage6-13Ancient3-13
FaZe#104-02-0
Vitality vs FaZe
Aug 20WDust213-11Cache13-6May 13WNuke16-14Dust213-5
Inner Circle vs FaZe
Apr 6WNuke13-9Mirage13-9
BetBoom#153-22-1
Vitality vs BetBoom
Jun 14WOverpass13-8Nuke13-11May 12LAnubis10-13Overpass13-8Nuke8-13
Inner Circle vs BetBoom
Feb 28WMirage13-9Nuke5-13Ancient13-9
B8#173-20-2
Vitality vs B8
Aug 14LMirage16-12Inferno11-13Dust24-13May 13WMirage13-5Dust213-8
Inner Circle vs B8
Apr 7LDust211-13Mirage6-13
Liquid#220-20-2
Vitality vs Liquid
Jul 24LAnubis10-13Nuke9-13
Inner Circle vs Liquid
Mar 30LMirage13-16Ancient2-13
3DMAX#232-02-1
Vitality vs 3DMAX
Feb 2WInferno13-6Dust213-6
Inner Circle vs 3DMAX
Jan 15WAncient13-9Nuke13-16Dust213-6
EYEBALLERS#402-02-0
Vitality vs EYEBALLERS
Jan 18WAnubis19-16Overpass13-8
Inner Circle vs EYEBALLERS
Mar 1WAncient13-6Anubis13-5

Firepower

roster ratings

Vitality · avg 1.19 · top +0.26

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
ZywOo1131.5788.778.4%42%1.45
flameZ1121.1378.576.5%55%1.25
ropz1121.2474.676.8%53%1.17
mezii112167.376.6%55%1.08
apEX1130.8872.771.9%54%1.01

Inner Circle · avg 1.12 · top +0.1

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Dawy1481.148575.4%54%1.22
headtr1ck921.3172.676.8%35%1.15
cptkurtka0231480.977372.5%62%1.11
zeRRoFIX1481.0473.973.5%56%1.08
onic1480.966.471.4%53%1.02

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Vitality vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Inner Circle habitually bans Inferno, Vitality's strongest maps (Overpass, Dust2, Inferno, Mirage, Ancient, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 56/62), not an opponent read, so expect Vitality to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapVITINN
AncientVIT ban 100%2-0 59%20-14
Vitality on Ancient
WFURIA13–104mo agoWAurora25–227mo ago
Inner Circle on Ancient
LHOTU10–1318d agoWIberian Soul13–1118d agoWASTRAL13–620d agoWNIO13–120d agoWmagic13–62mo agoWGenOne13–42mo agoWAcend13–82mo agoW9INE16–132mo ago
InfernoINN ban 78%14-4 n/a0g
Vitality on Inferno
WLynn Vision13–511d agoLB811–1313d agoWFalcons13–112mo agoWMOUZ13–43mo agoW9z13–43mo agoLNatus Vincere3–133mo agoWG216–135mo agoWNatus Vincere13–75mo ago
Inner Circle on Inferno
no recent maps
Dust2VIT pick 81%21-5 69%24-11
Vitality on Dust2
WFaZe13–117d agoWLynn Vision13–211d agoLB84–1313d agoLFalcons11–132mo agoLMOUZ7–133mo agoL9z11–133mo agoWNatus Vincere13–113mo agoWB813–84mo ago
Inner Circle on Dust2
WVirtus.pro13–92mo agoWmagic13–42mo agoWGenOne13–92mo agoWAcend13–102mo agoWWalczaki13–52mo agoWSashi16–122mo agoL9INE10–132mo agoWAM13–22mo ago
MirageINN pick 65%13-7 48%16-17
Vitality on Mirage
LSpirit3–136d agoWB816–1213d agoWMOUZ13–93mo agoL9z9–133mo agoWB813–54mo agoWBC.Game13–74mo agoWGamerLegion13–14mo agoWG216–134mo ago
Inner Circle on Mirage
WASTRAL13–620d agoWNIO13–020d agoWVirtus.pro13–92mo agoLAcend11–132mo agoLSharks11–132mo agoLSharks13–162mo agoWEcho13–62mo agoLFOKUS14–163mo ago
AnubisVIT ban 45%5-6 54%7-6
Vitality on Anubis
LSpirit11–136d agoLLiquid10–131mo agoLFalcons11–132mo agoLFUT5–133mo agoLNatus Vincere11–133mo agoLBetBoom10–134mo agoWNatus Vincere13–114mo agoWNatus Vincere13–105mo ago
Inner Circle on Anubis
LHOTU11–1318d agoLIberian Soul6–1318d agoWSharks19–162mo agoWWalczaki13–92mo agoWSharks13–43mo agoLAlliance8–135mo agoLBASEMENT BOYS11–135mo agoW9INE13–75mo ago
NukeINN ban 82%14-3 53%10-9
Vitality on Nuke
WSpirit16–146d agoW100 Thieves13–415d agoLLiquid9–131mo agoWBetBoom13–112mo agoWFUT13–83mo agoWFaZe16–144mo agoLBetBoom8–134mo agoWNatus Vincere16–124mo ago
Inner Circle on Nuke
WHOTU13–318d agoWSharks13–42mo agoWSashi16–142mo agoW9INE13–72mo agoLSharks17–192mo agoWSpirit Academy13–72mo agoWFOKUS13–63mo agoLWildcard7–133mo ago
Cachedecider 100%1-0 100%1-0
Vitality on Cache
WFaZe13–67d ago
Inner Circle on Cache
WIberian Soul13–718d ago
Each team's usual first ban: Vitality Ancient · Inner Circle Inferno.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

Vitality64%to win the seriesiMap edgesDust2: Vitality 64% · Mirage: Vitality 65% · Cache: Vitality 50% toss-upWhyVitality hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesVitality 64%: 2-0 41%, 2-1 23%  ·  Inner Circle 36%: 2-1 23%, 2-0 13%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Vitality 64%Vitality are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Vitality 2-0.36% Inner Circle
Dust2
Vitality64%
Inner Circle36%
21-5record24-11
81%win69%
62%CT win56%
61%T win57%
50%pistol47%
81%convert76%
Mirage
Vitality65%
Inner Circle35%
13-7record16-17
65%win48%
63%CT win55%
41%T win53%
55%pistol64%
86%convert85%
Cache
Vitality50%
Inner Circle50%
1-0record1-0
100%win100%
67%CT win75%
71%T win50%
100%pistol100%
50%convert50%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
VITct
VITt
INNct
INNt
VITpistol
VITconv
VITeco
INNpistol
INNconv
INNeco
Dust2pool
62%145/233
61%172/282
56%190/342
57%219/386
50%26/52
81%21/26
46%12/26
47%33/70
76%25/33
35%13/37
Miragepool
63%141/225
41%78/189
55%181/332
53%195/365
55%22/40
86%19/22
17%3/18
64%42/66
85%35/41
25%6/24
Cachepool
67%8/12
71%5/7
75%9/12
50%4/8
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
Ancientban
58%14/24
48%11/23
53%183/346
50%182/366
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
54%37/68
81%30/37
23%7/31
Infernoban
61%117/191
51%94/183
n/a
n/a
53%19/36
79%15/19
41%7/17
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
45%51/113
54%71/132
56%75/135
50%71/142
41%9/22
78%7/9
46%6/13
62%16/26
75%12/16
0%0/10
Nukeban
73%136/186
43%72/167
59%128/216
43%76/178
59%20/34
75%15/20
57%8/14
47%18/38
50%9/18
20%4/20
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Inner Circle wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 53%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (82% vs 80%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (34% vs 31%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Vitality

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/85 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 85 maps they won, 24 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs Lynn VisionDust2from 12 downvs Natus VincereNukefrom 11 downvs FURIAOverpassfrom 6 downvs SpiritNukefrom 6 downvs GamerLegionDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i11/26 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 26 maps they lost, 11 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FURIAMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs FalconsMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs B8Infernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs The MongolZMirageled 4 · lost 10-13vs 9zDust2led 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Lynn VisionDust2from 12 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FURIAMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs EYEBALLERSAnubis19-16vs AuroraAncient25-22vs The MongolZMirage16-13vs PARIVISIONInferno16-13vs The MongolZOverpass16-13

Inner Circle

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/85 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 85 maps they won, 24 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs Eternal FireAncientfrom 6 downvs FaZeMiragefrom 6 downvs 9INEAncientfrom 6 downvs CYBERSHOKEMiragefrom 5 downvs 9INEAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/63 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 63 maps they lost, 21 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NemesisMirageled 6 · lost 16-19vs K27Anubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs Friendly CampersAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13vs AcendMirageled 6 · lost 13-16vs FOKUSDust2led 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Eternal FireAncientfrom 6 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NemesisMirageled 6 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 24Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 24 went to overtime.vs FAVBETNuke17-19vs NemesisMirage16-19vs 3DMAXNuke13-16vs WHITEBIRDOverpass16-13vs WHITEBIRDDust214-16

Vitality vs Inner Circle FAQ

Who is favored to win Vitality vs Inner Circle?

Vitality are favored with a 55% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Vitality vs Inner Circle?

Bookmakers price Vitality at 1.17 and Inner Circle at 4.63 (implied 80% vs 20%).

When do Vitality and Inner Circle play?

Vitality vs Inner Circle is scheduled for 2026-08-27 09:00 UTC at BLAST Open Porto 2026.