Matches / Upcoming / Alter Ego vs Kaleido
Alter Ego vs Kaleido: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1
High confidence
Our model gives Alter Ego a 69% chance to beat Kaleido at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1. Bookmakers price Alter Ego at 1.65 and Kaleido at 2.14 (implied 56% vs 44%).
FormatBO3Form16-10 · 6-9PistolsAlter Ego 55%Likely mapsDust2 · Ancient · Anubis
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Alter Ego
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
TYLOO#260-20-2
Alter Ego vs TYLOO
Apr 27LMirage5-13Nuke1-13Kaleido vs TYLOO
May 26LMirage1-13Inferno9-13
Lynn Vision#322-60-2
Alter Ego vs Lynn Vision
May 11LDust210-13Overpass7-13Mar 12LOverpass13-6Dust29-13Nuke15-19Mar 9WNuke16-14+1 earlier meeting
Kaleido vs Lynn Vision
May 13LDust24-13Ancient5-13
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#710-21-2
Alter Ego vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
May 12LAnubis7-13Dust28-13Kaleido vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
May 14LAnubis5-13Ancient16-13Inferno12-16
Rare Atom#1014-01-2
Kaleido vs Rare Atom
Apr 28LMirage13-9Dust210-13Inferno3-13
The Huns#1062-00-2
Alter Ego vs The Huns
Aug 26WNuke13-10Dust213-0Kaleido vs The Huns
Jul 10LAncient10-13Dust211-13
5star#1453-34-4
NEXVOID#1563-23-3
Last Bullet4-22-1
Alter Ego vs Last Bullet
May 1WDust213-9Nuke13-10Apr 28Lseries0-1Mar 22WOverpass10-13Mirage13-7Dust213-6Kaleido vs Last Bullet
May 11WDust213-16Ancient13-4Mirage13-5Firepower
roster ratingsAlter Ego · avg 1.2 · top +0.24
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| adeX | 15 | 1.47 | 89.5 | 73.9% | 31% | 1.44 |
| laxiee | 15 | 1.13 | 85.1 | 75.1% | 60% | 1.26 |
| PokemoN | 57 | 1 | 76.5 | 72.4% | 61% | 1.15 |
| BnTeT | 55 | 0.99 | 73.4 | 74.1% | 46% | 1.14 |
| Gratisfaction | 57 | 0.94 | 66 | 70.5% | 41% | 1 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Alter Ego vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Kaleido habitually bans Nuke, Alter Ego's strongest maps (Dust2, Nuke, Ancient, Inferno all ≥60%).
That's a standing habit (Nuke 13/16), not an opponent read, so expect Alter Ego to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapALTKAL
InfernoALT ban 67%2-1 22%2-7
NukeKAL ban 69%9-4 50%1-1
Dust2ALT pick 71%12-5 25%2-6
AncientKAL pick 67%4-2 67%6-3
MirageALT ban 50%4-4 83%5-1
CacheKAL ban n/a0g 0%0-2
Alter Ego on Cache
no recent maps
Anubisdecider 0%0-5 0%0-1
Each team's usual first ban: Alter Ego Inferno · Kaleido Nuke.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Alter Ego64%to win the seriesiMap edgesDust2: Alter Ego 83% clear · Ancient: Kaleido 51% toss-up · Anubis: Kaleido 54% toss-upWhyKaleido are favoured on 2 of 3 maps, but only barely: the other maps are near 50/50 (Anubis & Ancient), so Alter Ego just need to steal one (~72% to grab at least one).OutcomesAlter Ego 64%: 2-0 41%, 2-1 23% · Kaleido 36%: 2-1 28%, 2-0 8%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Alter Ego 64%Alter Ego are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Alter Ego 2-0.36% Kaleido
Dust2
Alter Ego83%Kaleido17%
12-5record2-6
71%win25%
58%CT win45%
54%T win54%
56%pistol50%
67%convert100%
Ancient
Alter Ego49%Kaleido51%
4-2record6-3
67%win67%
68%CT win56%
41%T win53%
67%pistol39%
100%convert71%
Anubis
Alter Ego46%Kaleido54%
0-5record0-1
0%win0%
48%CT win33%
34%T win17%
40%pistol0%
75%convert–
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
ALTct
ALTt
KALct
KALt
ALTpistol
ALTconv
ALTeco
KALpistol
KALconv
KALeco
Dust2pool
58%97/167
54%95/177
45%38/85
54%44/81
56%19/34
67%12/18
27%4/15
50%8/16
100%8/8
0%0/8
Ancientpool
68%45/66
41%18/44
56%46/82
53%57/107
67%8/12
100%7/7
0%0/4
39%7/18
71%5/7
27%3/11
Anubispool
48%27/56
34%18/53
33%4/12
17%1/6
40%4/10
75%3/4
50%3/6
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
Infernoban
25%9/36
70%21/30
42%41/97
49%48/97
33%2/6
50%1/2
25%1/4
39%7/18
100%7/7
36%4/11
Nukeban
53%71/135
53%72/137
42%10/24
53%10/19
65%17/26
94%16/17
11%1/9
0%0/4
n/a
0%0/4
Mirageban
58%46/79
46%42/92
57%29/51
55%36/66
69%11/16
82%9/11
0%0/5
33%4/12
100%4/4
13%1/8
Cacheban
n/a
n/a
25%6/24
11%1/9
n/a
n/a
n/a
0%0/4
n/a
0%0/4
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Alter Ego wins more pistol rounds: 55% vs 42%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Kaleido usually win the next round too (87% vs 76%). Lose the pistol → Alter Ego fight back to win the next round more often (28% vs 14%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Alter Ego
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/35 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 35 maps they won, 9 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs NEXVOIDInfernofrom 7 downvs FlyQuestOverpassfrom 4 downvs Last BulletNukefrom 4 downvs Lynn VisionNukefrom 3 downvs Rare AtomDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/24 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 24 maps they lost, 9 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Lynn VisionNukeled 6 · lost 15-19vs 5starMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs Lynn VisionDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs Last BulletOverpassled 5 · lost 10-13vs Lynn VisionDust2led 4 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NEXVOIDInfernofrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Lynn VisionNukeled 6 · lost 15-19
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs Lynn VisionNuke16-14vs Rare AtomMirage16-14vs FlyQuestDust216-13vs Lynn VisionNuke15-19vs The QUBEOverpass14-16
Kaleido
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/17 (47%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 17 maps they won, 8 (47%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 47% of their wins were comebacks, not 47% of all games.vs 5starAncientfrom 6 downvs Rare AtomMiragefrom 5 downvs NEXVOIDOverpassfrom 4 downvs 5starAncientfrom 4 downvs LEGAMAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/21 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 21 maps they lost, 5 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs NEXVOIDAncientled 6 · lost 14-16vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERInfernoled 5 · lost 12-16vs The HunsDust2led 3 · lost 11-13vs 5starInfernoled 3 · lost 9-13vs 5starInfernoled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 5starAncientfrom 6 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs NEXVOIDAncientled 6 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs Last BulletDust213-16vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERAncient16-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERInferno12-16vs NEXVOIDAncient14-16vs LEGAMAncient16-12
Alter Ego vs Kaleido FAQ
Who is favored to win Alter Ego vs Kaleido?
Alter Ego are favored with a 69% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Alter Ego vs Kaleido?
Bookmakers price Alter Ego at 1.65 and Kaleido at 2.14 (implied 56% vs 44%).
When do Alter Ego and Kaleido play?
Alter Ego vs Kaleido is scheduled for 2026-08-27 13:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Asia-Pacific Cup 1.