Matches / Upcoming / DETONATE vs Villainous
DETONATE vs Villainous: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1
Our model gives Villainous a 69% chance to beat DETONATE at ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1. Bookmakers price DETONATE at 3.49 and Villainous at 1.25 (implied 26% vs 74%).
FormatBO3Form2-4 · 4-4PistolsVillainous 50%Likely mapsAnubis · Inferno · Cache
Model read: track record · HLTV rank · firepower · form, weighted by sample size. All figures respect the data-range filter.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
NuTorious#1700-22-0
DETONATE vs NuTorious
Aug 26LInferno10-13Mirage11-13Villainous vs NuTorious
Jul 12WAnubis13-8Inferno25-21Firepower
roster ratingsDETONATE · avg 0.99 · top +0.09
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, DETONATE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapDETVIL
AncientDET ban 100%1-0 0%0-1
DETONATE on Ancient
W
Wanted Goons16–143mo agoVillainous on Ancient
L
regain10–132mo agoDust2VIL ban 0%0-1 0%0-1
DETONATE on Dust2
L
Iowa Stormboar5–133mo agoVillainous on Dust2
L
Club 3337–132mo agoAnubisDET pick 25%1-3 60%3-2
InfernoVIL pick 0%0-2 67%4-2
NukeDET ban 33%1-2 100%1-0
Villainous on Nuke
WBrahmas13–83mo agoMirageVIL ban 67%2-1 0%0-2
Cachedecider n/a0g 100%1-0
DETONATE on Cache
no recent maps
Villainous on Cache
WCelestial13–92mo agoEach team's usual first ban: DETONATE Overpass · Villainous Dust2.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Villainous63%to win the seriesiMap edgesAnubis: Villainous 65% clear · Inferno: Villainous 61% · Cache: Villainous 50% toss-upWhyVillainous hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesDETONATE 37%: 2-1 23%, 2-0 14% · Villainous 63%: 2-0 40%, 2-1 23%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
DETONATE 37%Villainous are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Villainous 2-0.63% Villainous
Anubis
DETONATE35%Villainous65%
1-3record3-2
25%win60%
38%CT win56%
48%T win60%
25%pistol60%
100%convert100%
Inferno
DETONATE39%Villainous61%
0-2record4-2
0%win67%
29%CT win58%
33%T win45%
50%pistol33%
50%convert75%
Cache
DETONATE50%Villainous50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record1-0
–win100%
–CT win80%
–T win42%
–pistol100%
–convert100%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
DETct
DETt
VILct
VILt
DETpistol
DETconv
DETeco
VILpistol
VILconv
VILeco
Anubispool
38%14/37
48%23/48
56%29/52
60%25/42
25%2/8
100%2/2
0%0/6
60%6/10
100%6/6
25%1/4
Infernopool
29%4/14
33%8/24
58%38/65
45%25/56
50%2/4
50%1/2
0%0/2
33%4/12
75%3/4
25%2/8
Cachepool
n/a
n/a
80%8/10
42%5/12
n/a
n/a
n/a
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
Ancientban
25%3/12
75%9/12
42%5/12
45%5/11
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
Dust2ban
33%2/6
25%3/12
58%7/12
0%0/8
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
50%1/2
0%0/1
0%0/1
Nukeban
50%18/36
21%4/19
50%6/12
78%7/9
17%1/6
100%1/1
0%0/5
100%2/2
50%1/2
n/a
Mirageban
58%21/36
43%15/35
42%10/24
45%9/20
83%5/6
80%4/5
0%0/1
75%3/4
100%3/3
100%1/1
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Villainous wins more pistol rounds: 50% vs 33%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Villainous usually win the next round too (92% vs 75%). Lose the pistol → Villainous fight back to win the next round more often (25% vs 0%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
DETONATE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/5 (60%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 5 maps they won, 3 (60%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 60% of their wins were comebacks, not 60% of all games.vs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 9 downvs Iowa StormboarMiragefrom 5 downvs Wanted GoonsAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/9 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 9 maps they lost, 3 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Festina LenteAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13vs NuToriousInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs NuToriousMirageled 3 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Wanted GoonsAncientfrom 9 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Festina LenteAnubisled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi43% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT43% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs Wanted GoonsAncient16-14vs Iowa StormboarMirage16-14
Villainous
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/9 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 3 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs BrahmasInfernofrom 5 downvs CelestialInfernofrom 4 downvs BrahmasNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/8 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 8 maps they lost, 3 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 6 · lost 14-16vs SportsBetExpertAnubisled 5 · lost 14-16vs SportsBetExpertMirageled 3 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BrahmasInfernofrom 5 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Overtake SectorMirageled 6 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi24% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT24% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs SportsBetExpertAnubis14-16vs NuToriousInferno25-21vs Overtake SectorMirage14-16
DETONATE vs Villainous FAQ
Who is favored to win DETONATE vs Villainous?
Villainous are favored with a 69% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for DETONATE vs Villainous?
Bookmakers price DETONATE at 3.49 and Villainous at 1.25 (implied 26% vs 74%).
When do DETONATE and Villainous play?
DETONATE vs Villainous is scheduled for 2026-08-27 01:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1.