Matches / Upcoming / Lavked vs Leo
Lavked vs Leo: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 8
LAV
Lavked
World #124 · 55-42
VS
2026-09-07 14:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · Best of 3
Leo
World #132 · 43-43
54%46%
47%
1.971.72Market · 2 books
53%The call
Lavked are favoured: our model gives them 54% against Leo. Bookmakers lean Leo at 53%. Firepower slightly favours Leo, head-to-head slightly favours Lavked.
Likely mapsNuke · Dust2 · Ancient
Recent form
Lavked
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Leo
100 Thieves#333-21-2
Leo vs 100 Thieves
Jun 18LNuke13-5Dust210-13Ancient12-16
fnatic#384-31-2
1win#431-20-2
Lavked vs 1win
Jun 3LOverpass8-13Mirage13-8Anubis8-13Leo vs 1win
Jan 31LInferno9-13Ancient8-13
GenOne#534-12-5
Nuclear TigeRES#540-42-0
Leo vs Nuclear TigeRES
Feb 18WDust219-16Ancient13-5
Phantom#565-54-5
Bushido Wildcats#691-25-3
Lavked vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 22LNuke8-13Mirage13-10Dust24-13
ex-Zero Tenacity#742-32-2
Firepower
roster ratingsLavked · avg 1.09 · top +0.09
| Player | Mp | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| azukay | 21 | 1.11 | 77.3 | 74.3% | 63% | 1.18 |
| xm1nd | 207 | 1.17 | 72.5 | 72.4% | 37% | 1.11 |
| k4nfuz | 202 | 1 | 68.6 | 72.8% | 66% | 1.09 |
| 1NVISIBLEE | 231 | 0.9 | 80 | 68% | 58% | 1.07 |
| sol | 232 | 0.91 | 67.1 | 71.7% | 52% | 1.02 |
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Lavked vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapLAVLEO
InfernoLAV ban21%3-1146%6-7
MirageLEO ban58%38-2850%5-5
NukeLAV pick60%30-2058%21-15
Dust2LEO pick52%22-2058%34-25
CacheLAV ban0%0-133%1-2
Lavked on Cache
L
megoshort14–161mo agoAnubisLEO ban47%8-932%12-25
Ancientdecider64%21-1247%18-20
Each team's usual first ban: Lavked Inferno · Leo Mirage.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Lavked56%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: Lavked 52% toss-up · Dust2: Leo 55% toss-up · Ancient: Lavked 65% clearWhyLavked hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesLavked 56%: 2-1 33%, 2-0 23% · Leo 44%: 2-0 27%, 2-1 17%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Lavked 56%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Lavked only lead because their Ancient is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.44% Leo
Nuke
Lavked52%Leo48%
30-20record21-15
60%win58%
57%CT win57%
47%T win49%
47%pistol57%
85%convert80%
Dust2
Lavked45%Leo55%
22-20record34-25
52%win58%
52%CT win53%
52%T win53%
50%pistol52%
81%convert82%
Ancient
Lavked65%Leo35%
21-12record18-20
64%win47%
53%CT win51%
55%T win48%
55%pistol33%
86%convert88%
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
LAVct
LAVt
LEOct
LEOt
LAVpistol
LAVconv
LAVeco
LEOpistol
LEOconv
LEOeco
Nukepool
57%271/476
47%239/512
57%213/374
49%181/367
47%47/100
85%39/46
17%9/53
57%41/72
80%33/41
13%4/31
Dust2pool
52%239/460
52%201/390
53%315/596
53%327/622
50%42/84
81%34/42
19%8/42
52%61/118
82%50/61
18%10/57
Ancientpool
53%174/330
55%196/355
51%193/382
48%182/382
55%36/66
86%31/36
23%7/30
33%25/76
88%22/25
8%4/50
Infernoban
45%70/156
33%35/107
48%74/153
54%61/112
39%11/28
64%7/11
12%2/17
54%14/26
86%12/14
33%4/12
Mirageban
56%380/676
47%360/766
55%65/119
35%31/89
47%62/132
79%49/62
14%10/70
50%10/20
80%8/10
10%1/10
Cacheban
75%9/12
25%3/12
51%18/35
52%13/25
50%1/2
0%0/1
100%1/1
50%3/6
100%3/3
33%1/3
Anubisban
45%81/179
48%81/168
42%150/353
47%194/410
56%19/34
68%13/19
13%2/15
45%33/74
82%27/33
17%7/41
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Lavked 50%, Leo 48%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (84% vs 83%). Lose the pistol → Lavked fight back to win the next round more often (19% vs 13%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Lavked
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i45/125 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 125 maps they won, 45 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 downvs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 8 downvs ex-RUBYNukefrom 7 downvs OLDBOYS PLMiragefrom 7 downvs UNiTYMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/106 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 106 maps they lost, 27 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16vs ARCREDMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs UNiTYMirageled 8 · lost 7-13vs SPARTAInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs fnaticMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 28Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 28 went to overtime.vs ex-RUBYAncient16-14vs ESCAncient13-16vs PhantomMirage16-14vs K27Dust212-16vs QUAZARNuke12-16
Leo
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/100 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 100 maps they won, 26 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs PhantomNukefrom 7 downvs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 6 downvs QWENTRYDust2from 6 downvs ASTRALDust2from 5 downvs AimhausDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i33/101 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 101 maps they lost, 33 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs WWAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs UrsaAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs PhantomAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13vs MisaDust2led 6 · lost 13-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PhantomNukefrom 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAnubis14-16vs WWNuke17-19vs WWAnubis14-16vs BIGAnubis14-16vs Bushido WildcatsNuke19-16
Lavked vs Leo FAQ
Who is favored to win Lavked vs Leo?
Lavked are favored with a 54% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Lavked vs Leo?
Bookmakers price Lavked at 1.97 and Leo at 1.72 (implied 47% vs 53%).
When do Lavked and Leo play?
Lavked vs Leo is scheduled for 2026-09-07 14:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 8.