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Matches / Upcoming / XI vs ex-VP.Prodigy

XI vs ex-VP.Prodigy: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe

XI
World #– · 4-8
VS
2026-09-09 17:30 UTC
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
ex-VP.Prodigy
World #– · 20-19
38%
Win probability
62%
27%
3.41.26Market · 3 booksBookmakerXIEX-GGBet3.41.26Sweatbet 3.41.26Thunderpick Row3.41.26
73%
The call

ex-VP.Prodigy are favoured: our model gives them 62% against XI. Bookmakers lean ex-VP.Prodigy at 73%. Strength slightly favours ex-VP.Prodigy, record slightly favours ex-VP.Prodigy, form slightly favours XI, firepower clearly favours ex-VP.Prodigy.

Likely mapsNuke · Dust2 · Cache

Recent form

XI

BERGComebackCB72d ago1-2struggletonyPistolsPist3/43mo ago0-2MASQ3mo ago8-13Wingman3mo ago0-2NEW VISIONPistolsPist3/43mo ago2-0Clutchain3mo ago2-1LFO 6PistolsPist3/43mo ago2-0B8 AcademyOvertimeOT3mo ago0-2STATEStompStomp0-135mo ago1-2TNCPistolsPist3/4StompStomp2-135mo ago0-2Sashi AcademyOvertimeOT5mo ago2-1Rebels5mo ago1-2

ex-VP.Prodigy

Clutchain3mo ago1-2ReThinkPistolsPist4/4OvertimeOT3mo ago0-2Atreides5mo ago0-2DONSTUOvertimeOT5mo ago0-2K276mo ago0-21winOvertimeOT6mo ago2-0Nuclear TigeRESPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT6mo ago2-0WHITEBIRD6mo ago1-2Nuclear TigeRESPistolsPist4/46mo ago2-0WW6mo ago1-2WHITEBIRDBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT6mo ago2-1ARCREDOvertimeOT6mo ago2-1OxujiPistolsPist3/46mo ago2-0Sashi6mo ago0-2Bushido WildcatsComebackCB67mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Rebels1-22-1
XI vs Rebels
Apr 19LDust24-13Nuke13-10Overpass8-13
ex-VP.Prodigy vs Rebels
Feb 15WOverpass13-5Nuke4-13Dust219-15
Clutchain2-11-2
XI vs Clutchain
Jun 8WAncient6-13
ex-VP.Prodigy vs Clutchain
Jun 5LDust213-10Nuke9-13Ancient11-13

Firepower

roster ratings

XI · avg 0.94 · top +0.09

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Jiace260.886967.8%66%1.03
Avou30.7168.962.9%67%0.92
Bakorino260.7866.863%55%0.92
Egelund260.963.365.8%38%0.92
emili0260.870.363.8%53%0.91

ex-VP.Prodigy · avg 1 · top +0.14

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
TriBorgg1971.0380.374.5%53%1.14
lasfas751.168.473.2%35%1.06
sun91.0571.570.3%68%1.02
rokilan750.8665.871%57%0.96
Stoynes90.7253.767.7%59%0.83

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, XI vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapXIEX-
InfernoXI ban0%0-233%3-6
XI on Inferno
LBERG4–132d agoLB8 Academy6–133mo ago
ex-VP.Prodigy on Inferno
LSashi3–136mo agoLECSTATIC8–137mo agoLkONO5–137mo agoWASTRAL13–117mo agoLMetizport3–137mo agoLAlliance2–137mo agoLFAVBET9–137mo agoWex-FUT Academy13–47mo ago
AncientEX- ban25%2-650%5-5
XI on Ancient
LBERG3–132d agoLstruggletony9–133mo agoWNEW VISION13–113mo agoLClutchain6–133mo agoWLFO 613–83mo agoLSTATE6–135mo agoLTNC11–135mo agoLSashi Academy13–165mo ago
ex-VP.Prodigy on Ancient
LClutchain11–133mo agoLReThink13–163mo agoLAtreides7–135mo agoLK276–136mo agoW1win22–206mo agoWNuclear TigeRES19–176mo agoLWHITEBIRD9–136mo agoWNuclear TigeRES13–116mo ago
NukeXI pick63%5-358%14-10
XI on Nuke
WBERG13–92d agoLstruggletony6–133mo agoLMASQ8–133mo agoWNEW VISION13–113mo agoLB8 Academy12–163mo agoWSTATE13–95mo agoWSashi Academy13–75mo agoWRebels13–105mo ago
ex-VP.Prodigy on Nuke
LClutchain9–133mo agoLDONSTU17–195mo agoWNuclear TigeRES13–116mo agoWNuclear TigeRES13–56mo agoWWW13–86mo agoWOxuji13–46mo agoWBushido Wildcats13–87mo agoLlos kogutos11–137mo ago
Dust2EX- pick33%1-250%10-10
XI on Dust2
LWingman10–133mo agoWLFO 613–83mo agoLRebels4–135mo ago
ex-VP.Prodigy on Dust2
WClutchain13–103mo agoLReThink11–133mo agoLAtreides8–135mo agoLK277–136mo agoLWHITEBIRD9–136mo agoLWW8–136mo agoWWHITEBIRD19–176mo agoLARCRED10–136mo ago
MirageXI bann/a0g40%4-6
XI on Mirage
no recent maps
ex-VP.Prodigy on Mirage
WWHITEBIRD13–76mo agoLWW10–136mo agoLWHITEBIRD11–136mo agoLlos kogutos8–137mo agoLOmega10–137mo agoWCSDIILIT13–37mo agoWBushido Wildcats13–47mo agoWMASONIC13–57mo ago
AnubisEX- ban50%1-167%4-2
XI on Anubis
LTNC2–135mo agoWSashi Academy13–55mo ago
ex-VP.Prodigy on Anubis
LDONSTU6–135mo agoWARCRED13–96mo agoWAlliance16–147mo agoWGenOne13–87mo agoWMASONIC13–107mo agoLEnjoy6–137mo ago
Cachedecidern/a0gn/a0g
XI on Cache
no recent maps
ex-VP.Prodigy on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: XI Mirage · ex-VP.Prodigy Ancient.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

ex-VP.Prodigy51%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: XI 52% toss-up · Dust2: ex-VP.Prodigy 55% toss-up · Cache: ex-VP.Prodigy 50% toss-upWhyex-VP.Prodigy hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesXI 49%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 24%  ·  ex-VP.Prodigy 51%: 2-0 26%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
XI 49%It’s nearly a coin-flip. ex-VP.Prodigy only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.51% ex-VP.Prodigy
Nuke
XI52%
ex-VP.Prodigy48%
5-3record14-10
63%win58%
62%CT win59%
40%T win47%
63%pistol58%
80%convert82%
Dust2
XI45%
ex-VP.Prodigy55%
1-2record10-10
33%win50%
42%CT win46%
48%T win53%
33%pistol58%
100%convert96%
Cache
XI50%
ex-VP.Prodigy50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record0-0
–win–
–CT win–
–T win–
–pistol–
–convert–

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
XIct
XIt
EX-ct
EX-t
XIpistol
XIconv
XIeco
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
Nukepool
62%58/93
40%33/82
59%149/254
47%122/259
63%10/16
80%8/10
0%0/6
58%28/48
82%23/28
15%3/20
Dust2pool
42%15/36
48%12/25
46%99/214
53%114/216
33%2/6
100%2/2
25%1/4
58%23/40
96%22/23
24%4/17
Cachepool
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
33%8/24
17%2/12
44%47/108
37%22/60
0%0/4
n/a
25%1/4
44%8/18
88%7/8
40%4/10
Ancientban
43%35/81
43%38/88
40%47/118
55%60/109
63%10/16
90%9/10
0%0/6
55%11/20
91%10/11
11%1/9
Mirageban
n/a
n/a
56%62/111
48%45/93
n/a
n/a
n/a
70%14/20
93%13/14
33%2/6
Anubisban
22%4/18
73%11/15
37%24/65
62%39/63
50%2/4
50%1/2
0%0/2
25%3/12
67%2/3
22%2/9
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
ex-VP.Prodigy wins more pistol rounds: 58% vs 55%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → ex-VP.Prodigy usually win the next round too (88% vs 83%). Lose the pistol → ex-VP.Prodigy fight back to win the next round more often (19% vs 10%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

XI

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/9 (67%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 6 (67%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 67% of their wins were comebacks, not 67% of all games.vs BERGNukefrom 7 downvs NEW VISIONNukefrom 5 downvs RebelsNukefrom 4 downvs Sashi AcademyNukefrom 3 downvs LFO 6Ancientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/17 (12%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 17 maps they lost, 2 (12%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs TNCAncientled 4 · lost 11-13vs MASQNukeled 3 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BERGNukefrom 7 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs TNCAncientled 4 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi23% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT23% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs Sashi AcademyAncient13-16vs B8 AcademyNuke12-16

ex-VP.Prodigy

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/50 (42%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 50 maps they won, 21 (42%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 42% of their wins were comebacks, not 42% of all games.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2from 6 downvs MASONICOverpassfrom 5 downvs MASONICAnubisfrom 5 downvs LAGUNANukefrom 5 downvs AllianceAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/47 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 47 maps they lost, 16 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EnjoyDust2led 7 · lost 17-19vs los kogutosMirageled 6 · lost 8-13vs WHITEBIRDMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs ReThinkAncientled 5 · lost 13-16vs MetizportOverpassled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2from 6 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EnjoyDust2led 7 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 12Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 12 went to overtime.vs GenOneNuke12-16vs PhantomOverpass19-22vs EnjoyDust217-19vs AllianceAnubis16-14vs RebelsDust219-15

XI vs ex-VP.Prodigy FAQ

Who is favored to win XI vs ex-VP.Prodigy?

ex-VP.Prodigy are favored with a 62% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for XI vs ex-VP.Prodigy?

Bookmakers price XI at 3.4 and ex-VP.Prodigy at 1.26 (implied 27% vs 73%).

When do XI and ex-VP.Prodigy play?

XI vs ex-VP.Prodigy is scheduled for 2026-09-09 17:30 UTC at ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe.