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Matches / Upcoming / Banda Chuya vs JUMBO

Banda Chuya vs JUMBO: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe

Banda Chuya
World # · 0-4
VS
2026-09-09 17:30 UTC
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
JUMBO
World # · 1-5
49%
Win probability
51%
46%
1.991.71Market · 1 booksBookmakerBANJUMSweatbet 1.991.71
54%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 49–51. Bookmakers lean JUMBO at 54%. Record clearly favours JUMBO, form slightly favours JUMBO.

Likely mapsAncient · Dust2 · Cache

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.

Firepower

roster ratings

Banda Chuya · avg 0.92 · top +0.09

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
manio80.8174.771.3%58%1.01
run1c20.8382.360.3%66%0.98
Showk80.7764.763.7%58%0.9
ezox80.964.268.4%32%0.88
pendzelek60.7357.469.1%55%0.85

JUMBO · avg 0.92 · top +0.28

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
reNIK131.0978.365.8%61%1.2
DeDe90.9478.265.7%46%1.06
matusik130.8660.461.5%33%0.85
str0ngl60.659.161.7%57%0.77
kinyx60.6858.667.4%47%0.74

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Banda Chuya vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBANJUM
InfernoBAN bann/a0gn/a0g
Banda Chuya on Inferno
no recent maps
JUMBO on Inferno
no recent maps
AnubisJUM ban0%0-1n/a0g
Banda Chuya on Anubis
LThe Boys5132mo ago
JUMBO on Anubis
no recent maps
AncientBAN pick0%0-133%1-2
Dust2JUM pick0%0-140%2-3
MirageBAN ban0%0-40%0-3
NukeJUM ban0%0-10%0-2
Cachedecidern/a0gn/a0g
Banda Chuya on Cache
no recent maps
JUMBO on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: Banda Chuya Dust2 · JUMBO Overpass.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

JUMBO51%to win the seriesiMap edgesAncient: JUMBO 51% toss-up · Dust2: JUMBO 52% toss-up · Cache: JUMBO 50% toss-upWhyJUMBO hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesBanda Chuya 49%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 24%  ·  JUMBO 51%: 2-0 26%, 2-1 25%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Banda Chuya 49%It’s nearly a coin-flip. JUMBO only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.51% JUMBO
Ancient
Banda Chuya49%
JUMBO51%
0-1record1-2
0%win33%
50%CT win62%
33%T win33%
100%pistol83%
100%convert80%
Dust2
Banda Chuya48%
JUMBO52%
0-1record2-3
0%win40%
33%CT win51%
17%T win45%
0%pistol40%
convert100%
Cache
Banda Chuya50%
JUMBO50%
thin sample, read with caution
0-0record0-0
win
CT win
T win
pistol
convert

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
BANct
BANt
JUMct
JUMt
BANpistol
BANconv
BANeco
JUMpistol
JUMconv
JUMeco
Ancientpool
50%5/10
33%4/12
62%21/34
33%12/36
100%2/2
100%2/2
n/a
83%5/6
80%4/5
0%0/1
Dust2pool
33%4/12
17%1/6
51%26/51
45%24/53
0%0/2
n/a
50%1/2
40%4/10
100%4/4
17%1/6
Cachepool
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
n/a
Anubisban
17%1/6
33%4/12
n/a
n/a
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
45%20/44
33%14/42
47%14/30
12%3/26
50%4/8
50%2/4
25%1/4
17%1/6
100%1/1
0%0/5
Nukeban
45%5/11
42%5/12
12%2/17
31%5/16
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
JUMBO wins more pistol rounds: 56% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Banda Chuya usually win the next round too (100% vs 89%). Lose the pistol → Banda Chuya fight back to win the next round more often (50% vs 14%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Banda Chuya

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/0 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 0 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/8 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 8 maps they lost, 3 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs The BoysMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs Young TigeRESMirageled 4 · lost 6-13vs mellrenAncientled 3 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 0 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs The BoysMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

JUMBO

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/3 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 3 maps they won, 1 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs GluckAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/10 (40%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 10 maps they lost, 4 (40%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 1winDust2led 5 · lost 8-13vs MisaDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs BET-MAncientled 3 · lost 11-13vs 1winMirageled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs GluckAncientfrom 3 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 1winDust2led 5 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 0Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 0 went to overtime.none in the sample

Banda Chuya vs JUMBO FAQ

Who is favored to win Banda Chuya vs JUMBO?

JUMBO are favored with a 51% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Banda Chuya vs JUMBO?

Bookmakers price Banda Chuya at 1.99 and JUMBO at 1.71 (implied 46% vs 54%).

When do Banda Chuya and JUMBO play?

Banda Chuya vs JUMBO is scheduled for 2026-09-09 17:30 UTC at ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe.