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Matches / Upcoming / BERG vs OLDBOYS PL

BERG vs OLDBOYS PL: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe

BERG
World #216 · 8-14
VS
2026-09-16 17:30 UTC
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
OLDBOYS PL
World #– · 13-6
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
40%
Win probability
60%
29%
3.231.31Market · 7 booksBookmakerBEROLDGranaWin3.181.291xBit3.231.311xbet3.231.31ColdBet3.231.31Spinbet3.231.31Vivatbet3.231.31betlabel3.231.31
71%
The call

OLDBOYS PL are favoured: our model gives them 60% against BERG. Bookmakers lean OLDBOYS PL at 71%. Strength clearly favours OLDBOYS PL, record clearly favours OLDBOYS PL.

Likely mapsAncient · Nuke · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

BERG · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
KiMaRR★1.018272.7%56%1.09
Rezst0.9773.369.8%53%1.08
nopzy0.9373.567.5%65%1.07
Askan0.9871.668.7%42%1.06
kdaN0.8465.567.6%53%0.94

OLDBOYS PL · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.08iStar gap: the best player rates 0.08 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
rallen★1.1289.173.6%49%1.19
ToM2231.1182.474.4%50%1.18
MICHU1.0472.572.4%62%1.09
Goofy0.957171.6%41%1.06
hades172.471%32%1.04

Recent form

BERG

NEXORA2d ago2-0Falcons Force7d ago0-2mellrenPistolsPist4/49d ago0-2PrivateerOvertimeOT10d ago2-0mellrenOvertimeOT10d ago0-2XIPistolsPist5/6Blew leadBL711d ago2-1AzuolasPistolsPist6/617d ago1-2WBT17d ago1-2ENCE1mo ago0-2Mai TaiStompStomp1-131mo ago0-2HAVU1mo ago0-2los kogutosStompStomp2-13OvertimeOT1mo ago1-2SINQU REHTIPistolsPist3/43mo ago2-0Leo3mo ago0-2AimhausPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-23mo ago2-0

OLDBOYS PL

LPH2d ago2-1NAVI JuniorUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL66d ago1-2WBT AcademyOvertimeOT11d ago2-0ArchOvertimeOT3mo ago1-2DONSTUComebackCB8OvertimeOT3mo ago2-1Falcons ForceComebackCB63mo ago2-0ROUNDS3mo ago2-0ArchBlew leadBL6StompStomp2-134mo ago1-2BIG AcademyPistolsPist3/45mo ago0-2Rune EatersOvertimeOT5mo ago2-0DONSTU5mo ago2-1rottweilers5mo ago2-1LavkedBlew leadBL75mo ago0-2MASONICStompStomp13-25mo ago2-0QWENTRYOvertimeOT6mo ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Falcons Force#1310-22-0
BERG vs Falcons Force
Sep 9LInferno9-13Nuke11-13
OLDBOYS PL vs Falcons Force
Jun 10WNuke13-10Mirage13-9
BIG Academy0-20-2
BERG vs BIG Academy
Jun 27LAnubis5-13Overpass5-13
OLDBOYS PL vs BIG Academy
Apr 27LMirage4-13Dust29-13

Map lab

OLDBOYS PL75%to win the Bo3 · most likely OLDBOYS PL 2-0
If the veto goes
BERG 25%how the series ends75% OLDBOYS PL
5%2-054%
21%2-121%
Map 1AncientBERG pick
BERG38%5-5vsOLDBOYS PL62%7-4
50%Win64%
54%CT57%
47%T49%
65%Pistol55%
77%Conv92%
Map 2NukeOLDBOYS PL pick
BERG12%3-8vsOLDBOYS PL88%9-2
27%Win82%
45%CT72%
40%T47%
55%Pistol55%
75%Conv100%
Map 3Cachedecider
BERG50%1-0vsOLDBOYS PL50%1-0
100%Win100%
92%CT80%
25%T75%
50%Pistol50%
100%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

BERGAncientOLDBOYS PL
54%CT side57%
47%T side49%
65%Pistol55%
77%After win92%
0%After loss10%
BERGNukeOLDBOYS PL
45%CT side72%
40%T side47%
55%Pistol55%
75%After win100%
10%After loss20%
BERGCacheOLDBOYS PL
92%CT side80%
25%T side75%
50%Pistol50%
100%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Pistol rounds59% · 54% · BERG win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol77% · 96% · OLDBOYS PL keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol6% · 14% · OLDBOYS PL fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BERG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBEROLD
Dust2BER bann/a0g33%2-4
BERG on Dust2
no recent maps
OLDBOYS PL on Dust2
LArch9–133mo agoLArch10–134mo agoLBIG Academy9–135mo agoWDONSTU13–105mo agoLrottweilers11–135mo agoWQWENTRY13–116mo ago
InfernoOLD ban50%3-3100%1-0
BERG on Inferno
LFalcons Force9–137d agoLmellren9–139d agoWXI13–411d agoW666613–113mo agoWExilium13–26mo agoLAaB13–166mo ago
OLDBOYS PL on Inferno
WROUNDS13–103mo ago
AncientBER pick50%5-564%7-4
BERG on Ancient
WNEXORA13–82d agoWPrivateer13–410d agoLmellren7–1310d agoWXI13–311d agoLAzuolas10–1317d agoWWBT13–1117d agoLMai Tai1–131mo agoLHAVU11–131mo ago
OLDBOYS PL on Ancient
LLPH6–132d agoWNAVI Junior13–76d agoWDONSTU13–113mo agoLArch2–134mo agoWRune Eaters16–145mo agoWDONSTU13–55mo agoWrottweilers13–85mo agoLQWENTRY17–196mo ago
NukeOLD pick27%3-882%9-2
BERG on Nuke
LFalcons Force11–137d agoWPrivateer16–1210d agoLXI9–1311d agoLAzuolas9–1317d agoLWBT4–1317d agoLENCE5–131mo agoLlos kogutos2–131mo agoLLeo5–133mo ago
OLDBOYS PL on Nuke
WLPH13–102d agoLNAVI Junior10–136d agoWWBT Academy13–811d agoWDONSTU16–123mo agoWFalcons Force13–103mo agoWROUNDS13–43mo agoWrottweilers13–85mo agoLLavked8–135mo ago
AnubisBER ban25%1-367%4-2
BERG on Anubis
LWBT6–1317d agoWSINQU REHTI13–53mo agoLASTRAL5–133mo agoLBIG Academy5–133mo ago
OLDBOYS PL on Anubis
WWBT Academy19–1711d agoWArch13–103mo agoLDONSTU9–133mo agoWArch13–94mo agoWMASONIC13–25mo agoLex-GANK9–137mo ago
MirageOLD ban38%3-550%5-5
BERG on Mirage
Lmellren8–139d agoLmellren14–1610d agoWAzuolas13–617d agoLMai Tai9–131mo agoLHAVU6–131mo agoLlos kogutos7–131mo agoWSINQU REHTI13–73mo agoWAimhaus13–53mo ago
OLDBOYS PL on Mirage
LNAVI Junior9–136d agoLArch14–163mo agoWFalcons Force13–93mo agoLBIG Academy4–135mo agoWRune Eaters13–85mo agoLLavked11–135mo agoLQWENTRY7–136mo agoWEnjoy13–116mo ago
Cachedecider100%1-0100%1-0
BERG on Cache
WNEXORA13–72d ago
OLDBOYS PL on Cache
WLPH13–42d ago
Each team's usual first ban: BERG Dust2 · OLDBOYS PL Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

BERG

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i4/16 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 16 maps they won, 4 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs PrivateerNukefrom 5 downvs WBTAncientfrom 4 downvs SINQU REHTIAnubisfrom 3 downvs PrivateerAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i9/25 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 25 maps they lost, 9 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs XINukeled 7 · lost 9-13vs Mai TaiMirageled 5 · lost 9-13vs mellrenMirageled 5 · lost 8-13vs Falcons ForceInfernoled 4 · lost 9-13vs mellrenMirageled 4 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PrivateerNukefrom 5 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs XINukeled 7 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini6.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi22% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT22% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs AaBInferno13-16vs los kogutosAncient16-13vs mellrenMirage14-16vs PrivateerNuke16-12

OLDBOYS PL

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/30 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 30 maps they won, 10 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs DONSTUNukefrom 8 downvs Falcons ForceNukefrom 6 downvs ArchAnubisfrom 5 downvs WBT AcademyNukefrom 5 downvs EnjoyAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/18 (44%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 18 maps they lost, 8 (44%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LavkedMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs ArchDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs NAVI JuniorNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs QWENTRYAncientled 5 · lost 17-19vs ArchDust2led 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs DONSTUNukefrom 8 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LavkedMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi42% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT42% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs Aurora Young BludMirage16-14vs QWENTRYAncient17-19vs Rune EatersAncient16-14vs DONSTUNuke16-12vs ArchMirage14-16

BERG vs OLDBOYS PL FAQ

Who is favored to win BERG vs OLDBOYS PL?

OLDBOYS PL are favored with a 60% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for BERG vs OLDBOYS PL?

Bookmakers price BERG at 3.23 and OLDBOYS PL at 1.31 (implied 29% vs 71%).

When do BERG and OLDBOYS PL play?

BERG vs OLDBOYS PL is scheduled for 2026-09-16 17:30 UTC at ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe.

BERG vs OLDBOYS PL Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER