Matches / Upcoming / Spirit Academy Green vs OLDBOYS PL

Spirit Academy Green vs OLDBOYS PL: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe

Spirit Academy Green
World # · 2-1
VS
2026-09-18 17:30 UTC
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
OLDBOYS PL
World # · 14-6
ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe · Best of 3
47%
Win probability · thin data
53%
33%
2.861.38Market · 7 booksBookmakerSPIOLDGranaWin2.81.351xBit2.861.381xbet2.861.38ColdBet2.861.38Spinbet2.861.38Vivatbet2.861.38betlabel2.861.38
67%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 47–53. Bookmakers lean OLDBOYS PL at 67%. Strength slightly favours OLDBOYS PL, form slightly favours OLDBOYS PL, firepower clearly favours Spirit Academy Green.

Likely mapsAnubis · Nuke · Ancient

Firepower

roster ratings

Spirit Academy Green · avg 1.26 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
hyp3else1.5782.878.8%36%1.4
maun1.2786.977.8%66%1.36
flytex1.2183.775.8%60%1.28
d3nks0.9577.674.9%61%1.17
sae1.168.669.8%69%1.11

OLDBOYS PL · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
rallen1.169074.3%49%1.23
ToM2231.1182.874.8%50%1.18
MICHU1.077373.1%62%1.12
hades1.0968.975.2%29%1.09
Goofy0.9671.871.9%41%1.07

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.

Map lab

Spirit Academy Green50%to win the Bo3 · most likely Spirit Academy Green 2-0
If the veto goes
Spirit Academy Green 50%how the series ends50% OLDBOYS PL
25%2-025%
25%2-125%
Map 1AnubisSpirit Academ… pick
Spirit Academy Green51%1-0vsOLDBOYS PL49%4-2
100%Win67%
83%CT49%
50%T61%
50%Pistol25%
0%Conv100%
Map 2NukeOLDBOYS PL pick
Spirit Academy Green50%0-0thinOLDBOYS PL50%10-2
Win83%
CT72%
T49%
Pistol58%
Conv100%
Map 3Ancientdecider
Spirit Academy Green50%0-0thinOLDBOYS PL50%8-4
Win67%
CT58%
T51%
Pistol58%
Conv93%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Spirit Academy GreenAnubisOLDBOYS PL
83%CT side49%
50%T side61%
50%Pistol25%
0%After win100%
0%After loss11%
Spirit Academy GreenNukeOLDBOYS PL
CT side72%
T side49%
Pistol58%
After win100%
After loss20%
Spirit Academy GreenAncientOLDBOYS PL
CT side58%
T side51%
Pistol58%
After win93%
After loss10%
Pistol rounds50% · 52% · level, no edge
After a won pistol0% · 97% · OLDBOYS PL keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol0% · 14% · OLDBOYS PL fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Spirit Academy Green vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSPIOLD
InfernoSPI bann/a0g100%1-0
Spirit Academy Green on Inferno
no recent maps
OLDBOYS PL on Inferno
WROUNDS13103mo ago
Dust2OLD ban100%1-033%2-4
AnubisSPI pick100%1-067%4-2
NukeOLD pickn/a0g83%10-2
CacheSPI ban0%0-1100%1-0
Spirit Academy Green on Cache
LFire Flux12167d ago
OLDBOYS PL on Cache
WLPH1344d ago
MirageOLD ban67%2-150%5-5
Ancientdecidern/a0g67%8-4
Each team's usual first ban: Spirit Academy Green Inferno · OLDBOYS PL Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Spirit Academy Green

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i0/4 (0%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 4 maps they won, 0 (0%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 0% of their wins were comebacks, not 0% of all games.none in the sample
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/2 (100%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 2 maps they lost, 2 (100%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxMirageled 10 · lost 3-13vs Fire FluxCacheled 5 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 2 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.none in the sample
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxMirageled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi0% · 1Close maps (≤3) · OT0% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 1 went to overtime.vs Fire FluxCache12-16

OLDBOYS PL

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i10/32 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 32 maps they won, 10 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs DONSTUNukefrom 8 downvs Falcons ForceNukefrom 6 downvs ArchAnubisfrom 5 downvs WBT AcademyNukefrom 5 downvs EnjoyAncientfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/18 (44%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 18 maps they lost, 8 (44%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs LavkedMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs ArchDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs NAVI JuniorNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs QWENTRYAncientled 5 · lost 17-19vs ArchDust2led 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs DONSTUNukefrom 8 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs LavkedMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi40% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT40% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs Aurora Young BludMirage16-14vs QWENTRYAncient17-19vs Rune EatersAncient16-14vs DONSTUNuke16-12vs ArchMirage14-16

Spirit Academy Green vs OLDBOYS PL FAQ

Who is favored to win Spirit Academy Green vs OLDBOYS PL?

OLDBOYS PL are favored with a 53% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Spirit Academy Green vs OLDBOYS PL?

Bookmakers price Spirit Academy Green at 2.86 and OLDBOYS PL at 1.38 (implied 33% vs 67%).

When do Spirit Academy Green and OLDBOYS PL play?

Spirit Academy Green vs OLDBOYS PL is scheduled for 2026-09-18 17:30 UTC at ESEA Advanced Season 58 Europe.

Spirit Academy Green vs OLDBOYS PL Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER