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Matches / Upcoming / ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer

ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6

ex-Zero Tenacity
World #74 · 56-57
VS
2026-09-08 11:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · Best of 3
Privateer
World #186 · 4-13
91%
Win probability
9%
85%
1.076.1Market · 2 booksBookmakerEX-PRIGGBet1.076.1Sweatbet 1.076.1
15%
The call · high confidence

ex-Zero Tenacity are favoured: our model gives them 91% against Privateer. Bookmakers lean ex-Zero Tenacity at 85%. Strength clearly favours ex-Zero Tenacity, record clearly favours ex-Zero Tenacity, form clearly favours ex-Zero Tenacity, firepower clearly favours ex-Zero Tenacity.

Likely mapsInferno · Nuke · Dust2

Recent form

ex-Zero Tenacity

SPARTAStompStomp2-131d ago0-2INOX Division2d ago1-2Black Phoenix5d ago2-0Bushido WildcatsOvertimeOT8d ago2-1INOX Division8d ago0-2PhantomPistolsPist3/48d ago2-0INOX DivisionPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT8d ago2-0STATEPistolsPist4/49d ago2-0SINNERSPistolsPist3/49d ago2-0HAVUComebackCB6OvertimeOT10d ago2-1OGPistolsPist3/410d ago2-0FOKUSUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT11d ago2-0WBTPistolsPist3/411d ago2-0HonvédOvertimeOT12d ago2-0HYPERSPIRITUpsetUpset12d ago1-2

Privateer

BERGOvertimeOT1d ago0-2HAVU1d ago0-2Inner Circle AcademyStompStomp2-132d ago1-2RyvexPistolsPist6/6OvertimeOT13d ago1-2The Last ResortOvertimeOT18d ago0-2Phantom AcademyStompStomp1-1323d ago0-2Fire Flux24d ago0-2eternal premiumBlew leadBL724d ago0-2OG24d ago0-2HonvédBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT1mo ago0-2ROUNDS1mo ago2-1Misa2mo ago0-2megoshortOvertimeOT2mo ago2-1The Last Resort2mo ago0-2Glitchtech UK2mo ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
OG#592-00-2
ex-Zero Tenacity vs OG
Aug 28WCache13-7Dust213-7
Privateer vs OG
Aug 14LMirage5-13Dust23-13
The Last Resort#1130-20-6
ex-Zero Tenacity vs The Last Resort
Apr 23LInferno7-13Overpass10-13
Privateer vs The Last Resort
Aug 20LNuke14-16Dust29-13Jul 19LNuke10-13Dust23-13Jul 18LNuke10-13Ancient13-7Cache6-13
Inner Circle Academy#1160-21-2
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Inner Circle Academy
Aug 17LAnubis7-13Nuke8-13
Privateer vs Inner Circle Academy
Sep 5LNuke2-13Dust213-11Ancient5-13
HAVU#1207-50-2
ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU
Aug 28WCache13-8Nuke9-13Inferno16-13Mar 20LDust213-6Nuke11-13Mirage16-19Mar 10WDust213-10Nuke8-13Mirage13-11
+1 earlier meeting
Privateer vs HAVU
Sep 6LDust23-13Nuke8-13
Honvéd#1352-00-2
ex-Zero Tenacity vs Honvéd
Aug 26WMirage13-7Cache16-13
Privateer vs Honvéd
Jul 26LDust213-16Nuke10-13
megoshort0-22-1
ex-Zero Tenacity vs megoshort
Mar 9Lseries0-2
Privateer vs megoshort
Jul 23WInferno13-9Mirage14-16Ancient13-8

Firepower

roster ratings

ex-Zero Tenacity · avg 1.15 · top +0.06

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
VLDN541.1577.677.7%52%1.21
Cjoffo2711.170.672.6%64%1.15
brutmonster2621.1474.970.6%37%1.14
Kind02591.0578.672.2%49%1.13
Dragon951.0679.371.8%51%1.11

Privateer · avg 0.94 · top +0.07

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Prime390.9166.566.6%62%1.01
Frazehh390.9169.864%41%0.98
JAUSTERE170.8770.767.8%52%0.97
M1n1maL390.7762.164.8%64%0.87
Ariant0290.7666.564%59%0.85

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ex-Zero Tenacity vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapEX-PRI
AncientEX- bann/a0g29%2-5
ex-Zero Tenacity on Ancient
no recent maps
Privateer on Ancient
LBERG4–131d agoLInner Circle Academy5–132d agoLPhantom Academy1–1323d agoLROUNDS10–131mo agoWmegoshort13–82mo agoWThe Last Resort13–72mo agoLVoracity14–162mo ago
AnubisPRI ban46%11-13n/a0g
ex-Zero Tenacity on Anubis
WBlack Phoenix13–85d agoWFOKUS16–1311d agoWWBT13–1011d agoWHYPERSPIRIT13–712d agoLCYBERSHOKE Prospects4–1314d agoLbenched gods1–1318d agoLInner Circle Academy7–1321d agoLJust Players14–163mo ago
Privateer on Anubis
no recent maps
InfernoEX- pick63%29-17100%2-0
ex-Zero Tenacity on Inferno
WBushido Wildcats13–78d agoWINOX Division13–38d agoWSTATE13–99d agoWHAVU16–1310d agoLHYPERSPIRIT11–1312d agoWGenOne13–516d agoWEnjoy13–719d agoLBIG Academy8–133mo ago
Privateer on Inferno
WROUNDS13–81mo agoWmegoshort13–92mo ago
NukePRI pick52%29-2731%4-9
ex-Zero Tenacity on Nuke
LINOX Division8–132d agoWBushido Wildcats13–58d agoLINOX Division5–138d agoWPhantom13–58d agoWSTATE13–99d agoLHAVU9–1310d agoWJust Players13–615d agoWMASONIC13–617d ago
Privateer on Nuke
LBERG12–161d agoLHAVU8–131d agoLInner Circle Academy2–132d agoWRyvex13–813d agoLThe Last Resort14–1618d agoLFire Flux5–1324d agoLHonvéd10–131mo agoWROUNDS13–111mo ago
MirageEX- ban43%17-2320%1-4
ex-Zero Tenacity on Mirage
WSINNERS13–79d agoWHonvéd13–712d agoLJust Players5–1315d agoWG2 Ares13–719d agoWex-RUSTEC13–820d agoLbrazylijski luz7–133mo agoWillwill13–103mo agoWUrsa13–113mo ago
Privateer on Mirage
LRyvex11–1313d agoLPhantom Academy7–1323d agoLOG5–1324d agoLmegoshort14–162mo agoWGlitchtech UK13–72mo ago
CachePRI ban80%12-30%0-1
ex-Zero Tenacity on Cache
LSPARTA6–131d agoWINOX Division13–32d agoLINOX Division7–138d agoWINOX Division16–138d agoWSINNERS13–99d agoWHAVU13–810d agoWOG13–710d agoWWBT13–311d ago
Privateer on Cache
LThe Last Resort6–132mo ago
Dust2decider52%33-3020%2-8
ex-Zero Tenacity on Dust2
LSPARTA2–131d agoLINOX Division6–132d agoWBlack Phoenix13–75d agoLBushido Wildcats14–168d agoWPhantom13–88d agoWOG13–710d agoWFOKUS13–1111d agoWBlack Phoenix13–1113d ago
Privateer on Dust2
LHAVU3–131d agoWInner Circle Academy13–112d agoLRyvex22–2513d agoLThe Last Resort9–1318d agoLFire Flux5–1324d agoLOG3–1324d agoLHonvéd13–161mo agoLMisa5–132mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: ex-Zero Tenacity Ancient · Privateer Anubis.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

ex-Zero Tenacity71%to win the seriesiMap edgesInferno: Privateer 55% toss-up · Nuke: ex-Zero Tenacity 68% clear · Dust2: ex-Zero Tenacity 77% clearWhyex-Zero Tenacity hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).Outcomesex-Zero Tenacity 71%: 2-1 40%, 2-0 31%  ·  Privateer 29%: 2-0 17%, 2-1 12%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
ex-Zero Tenacity 71%ex-Zero Tenacity are the clearer side here: the most likely result is ex-Zero Tenacity 2-1.29% Privateer
Inferno
ex-Zero Tenacity45%
Privateer55%
29-17record2-0
63%win100%
54%CT win63%
55%T win58%
60%pistol50%
85%convert100%
Nuke
ex-Zero Tenacity68%
Privateer32%
29-27record4-9
52%win31%
55%CT win51%
48%T win43%
56%pistol42%
79%convert73%
Dust2
ex-Zero Tenacity77%
Privateer23%
33-30record2-8
52%win20%
52%CT win45%
52%T win36%
52%pistol45%
78%convert67%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
EX-ct
EX-t
PRIct
PRIt
EX-pistol
EX-conv
EX-eco
PRIpistol
PRIconv
PRIeco
Infernopool
54%232/430
55%282/516
63%15/24
58%11/19
60%55/92
85%47/55
32%12/37
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
Nukepool
55%299/540
48%269/565
51%65/127
43%66/153
56%63/112
79%50/63
29%14/49
42%11/26
73%8/11
13%2/15
Dust2pool
52%325/631
52%336/649
45%45/100
36%30/83
52%65/126
78%51/65
16%10/61
45%9/20
67%6/9
18%2/11
Ancientban
n/a
n/a
61%41/67
24%17/70
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%7/14
43%3/7
14%1/7
Anubisban
42%106/250
52%128/245
n/a
n/a
42%20/48
80%16/20
11%3/28
n/a
n/a
n/a
Mirageban
50%221/443
43%170/395
48%26/54
42%22/52
40%32/80
78%25/32
21%10/48
50%5/10
60%3/5
40%2/5
Cacheban
56%67/120
61%109/179
33%4/12
29%2/7
57%17/30
94%16/17
15%2/13
50%1/2
100%1/1
0%0/1
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
ex-Zero Tenacity wins more pistol rounds: 55% vs 44%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → ex-Zero Tenacity usually win the next round too (81% vs 73%). Lose the pistol → ex-Zero Tenacity fight back to win the next round more often (24% vs 14%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

ex-Zero Tenacity

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/137 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 137 maps they won, 40 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs WBTCachefrom 10 downvs STATEInfernofrom 7 downvs KOLESIEDust2from 7 downvs HEROIC AcademyMiragefrom 6 downvs LavkedDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i42/131 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 131 maps they lost, 42 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs STATEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16vs HashirasInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13vs HAVUNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs Subtop De FranceDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs benched godsDust2led 6 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WBTCachefrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs STATEOverpassled 6 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 22Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 22 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsInferno16-14vs los kogutosNuke14-16vs ex-RUBYAnubis16-19vs ASTRALAnubis16-14vs STATEOverpass13-16

Privateer

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i1/11 (9%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 11 maps they won, 1 (9%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 9% of their wins were comebacks, not 9% of all games.vs megoshortInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/27 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 27 maps they lost, 8 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxNukeled 8 · lost 5-13vs HonvédNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs megoshortMirageled 5 · lost 14-16vs BERGNukeled 5 · lost 12-16vs RyvexDust2led 4 · lost 22-25
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs megoshortInfernofrom 3 down · won 13-9
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxNukeled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs VoracityAncient14-16vs megoshortMirage14-16vs HonvédDust213-16vs The Last ResortNuke14-16vs RyvexDust222-25

ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer FAQ

Who is favored to win ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer?

ex-Zero Tenacity are favored with a 91% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer?

Bookmakers price ex-Zero Tenacity at 1.07 and Privateer at 6.1 (implied 85% vs 15%).

When do ex-Zero Tenacity and Privateer play?

ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer is scheduled for 2026-09-08 11:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6.

ex-Zero Tenacity vs Privateer Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER