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Matches / Upcoming / MOUZ NXT vs KUUSAMO

MOUZ NXT vs KUUSAMO: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 6

MOUZ NXT
World #156 · 52-59
VS
2026-09-07 13:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 6 · Best of 3
KUUSAMO
World #160 · 4-10
57%
Win probability
43%
69%
1.363.02Market · 7 booksBookmakerMOUKUUGranaWin1.332.961xBit1.363.021xbet1.363.02ColdBet1.363.02Spinbet1.363.02Vivatbet1.363.02betlabel1.363.02
31%
The call

MOUZ NXT are favoured: our model gives them 57% against KUUSAMO. Bookmakers lean MOUZ NXT at 69%. Record slightly favours MOUZ NXT.

Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Cache

Recent form

MOUZ NXT

PCIFIC1d ago0-2Misa1d ago2-1Bushido WildcatsUpsetUpset3d ago2-1PCIFIC4d ago1-2BAKS8d ago0-2Entropy8d ago1-2SPARTAUpsetUpset19d ago0-2Inner Circle Academy19d ago1-2DONSTUComebackCB7OvertimeOT20d ago2-0SPARTAPistolsPist6/620d ago1-2ex-MANAUpsetUpsetStompStomp2-1323d ago1-2ENCEPistolsPist5/623d ago2-1INOX DivisionBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT24d ago0-2Lazer CatsUpsetUpsetComebackCB724d ago2-0EnjoyStompStomp2-1324d ago1-2

KUUSAMO

MisaUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/41d ago2-0PCIFIC1d ago1-2Spirit Academy Green2d ago0-2ENCE1mo ago7-13BOJONG1mo ago13-5SINQUUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT1mo ago13-16cirahvi3mo ago1-2ENCE3mo ago0-2CSDIILITPistolsPist3/45mo ago0-2BOJONGPistolsPist4/45mo ago2-0ENCE5mo ago0-2The Night Club6mo ago9-13Phantom6mo ago10-13EC BANGAPistolsPist2/26mo ago13-8

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
ENCE#1252-10-5
MOUZ NXT vs ENCE
Aug 15WCache10-13Mirage13-9Nuke13-7
KUUSAMO vs ENCE
Jul 30LInferno7-13May 29LAncient4-13Mirage8-13Apr 10LAncient9-13Mirage6-13
Misa#1284-22-0
MOUZ NXT vs Misa
Sep 6WDust211-13Nuke13-11Cache13-11Aug 3WDust213-11Nuke13-16Mirage19-17
KUUSAMO vs Misa
Sep 6WNuke22-18Cache16-14
PCIFIC#1851-41-2
MOUZ NXT vs PCIFIC
Sep 6LDust27-13Nuke10-13Sep 3LDust25-13Nuke13-8Cache11-13
KUUSAMO vs PCIFIC
Sep 6LDust210-13Nuke13-6Cache9-13
EC BANGA1-01-0
MOUZ NXT vs EC BANGA
Jan 4WTrain13-7
KUUSAMO vs EC BANGA
Mar 23WMirage13-8

Firepower

roster ratings

MOUZ NXT · avg 1 · top +0.12

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Nikodeon249177.471.9%60%1.12
deeN100.8669.370.3%54%1.05
ay0k2490.9165.369%47%0.97
eSx660.9864.366.6%32%0.96
mixer650.8164.167.3%68%0.89

KUUSAMO · avg 1.01 · top +0.12

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Keksimage241.0179.471.1%58%1.13
Matz100.967967.2%59%1.09
osku240.9865.670.6%53%1.01
rbm240.9768.168.5%49%0.94
epik240.8162.164.4%52%0.88

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, MOUZ NXT vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapMOUKUU
InfernoMOU ban0%0-133%1-2
MOUZ NXT on Inferno
LInner Circle Academy6–1319d ago
KUUSAMO on Inferno
LENCE7–131mo agoLcirahvi3–133mo agoWBOJONG13–95mo ago
AnubisKUU ban47%14-16n/a0g
MOUZ NXT on Anubis
WDONSTU16–1420d agoLWBT2–131mo agoWNoir Verse13–91mo agoLNoir Verse9–132mo agoLGenOne6–135mo agoLClutchain7–135mo agoLaimclub7–135mo agoWfnatic13–106mo ago
KUUSAMO on Anubis
no recent maps
NukeMOU pick51%24-2343%3-4
MOUZ NXT on Nuke
LPCIFIC10–131d agoWMisa13–111d agoLBushido Wildcats11–133d agoWPCIFIC13–84d agoLBAKS11–138d agoWInner Circle Academy13–419d agoWDONSTU13–1020d agoLSPARTA7–1320d ago
KUUSAMO on Nuke
WMisa22–181d agoWPCIFIC13–61d agoLSINQU13–161mo agoLcirahvi6–133mo agoLCSDIILIT9–135mo agoWBOJONG13–105mo agoLPhantom10–136mo ago
MirageKUU pick45%21-2643%3-4
MOUZ NXT on Mirage
WBushido Wildcats13–83d agoLEntropy8–138d agoLInner Circle Academy3–1319d agoLex-MANA3–1323d agoWENCE13–923d agoLex-MANA10–131mo agoWMisa19–171mo agoLWBT2–131mo ago
KUUSAMO on Mirage
LSpirit Academy Green3–132d agoWBOJONG13–51mo agoWcirahvi13–43mo agoLENCE8–133mo agoLCSDIILIT11–135mo agoLENCE6–135mo agoWEC BANGA13–86mo ago
Dust2MOU ban40%19-290%0-2
MOUZ NXT on Dust2
LPCIFIC7–131d agoLMisa11–131d agoWBushido Wildcats13–73d agoLPCIFIC5–134d agoLBAKS5–138d agoLSPARTA6–1319d agoLSPARTA10–1320d agoLex-MANA2–1323d ago
KUUSAMO on Dust2
LPCIFIC10–131d agoLSpirit Academy Green4–132d ago
AncientKUU ban51%18-170%0-3
MOUZ NXT on Ancient
LEntropy11–138d agoWSPARTA13–720d agoWLazer Cats13–1124d agoWEnjoy13–924d agoWNoir Verse13–82mo agoWUNiTY13–114mo agoLLavked7–134mo agoWUNiTY13–94mo ago
KUUSAMO on Ancient
LENCE4–133mo agoLENCE9–135mo agoLThe Night Club9–136mo ago
Cachedecider50%6-650%1-1
MOUZ NXT on Cache
WMisa13–111d agoLPCIFIC11–134d agoWEntropy13–98d agoLSPARTA9–1319d agoWex-MANA16–1423d agoLENCE10–1323d agoLINOX Division14–1624d agoLEnjoy11–1324d ago
KUUSAMO on Cache
WMisa16–141d agoLPCIFIC9–131d ago
Each team's usual first ban: MOUZ NXT Inferno · KUUSAMO Anubis.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

MOUZ NXT54%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: MOUZ NXT 57% · Mirage: MOUZ NXT 50% toss-up · Cache: MOUZ NXT 50% toss-upWhyMOUZ NXT hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesMOUZ NXT 54%: 2-0 29%, 2-1 25%  ·  KUUSAMO 46%: 2-1 25%, 2-0 22%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
MOUZ NXT 54%It’s nearly a coin-flip. MOUZ NXT only lead because their pick is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.46% KUUSAMO
Nuke
MOUZ NXT57%
KUUSAMO43%
24-23record3-4
51%win43%
58%CT win49%
47%T win48%
52%pistol57%
82%convert88%
Mirage
MOUZ NXT50%
KUUSAMO50%
21-26record3-4
45%win43%
56%CT win46%
42%T win52%
47%pistol64%
80%convert100%
Cache
MOUZ NXT50%
KUUSAMO50%
6-6record1-1
50%win50%
53%CT win27%
44%T win63%
42%pistol75%
80%convert100%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
MOUct
MOUt
KUUct
KUUt
MOUpistol
MOUconv
MOUeco
KUUpistol
KUUconv
KUUeco
Nukepool
58%285/489
47%239/513
49%35/71
48%40/83
52%49/94
82%40/49
18%8/45
57%8/14
88%7/8
0%0/6
Miragepool
56%266/475
42%204/481
46%31/67
52%36/69
47%44/94
80%35/44
12%6/50
64%9/14
100%9/9
0%0/5
Cachepool
53%70/133
44%64/144
27%6/22
63%15/24
42%10/24
80%8/10
14%2/14
75%3/4
100%3/3
0%0/1
Infernoban
25%3/12
43%3/7
45%10/22
36%13/36
50%1/2
0%0/1
100%1/1
67%4/6
100%4/4
0%0/2
Anubisban
50%160/318
46%143/313
n/a
n/a
40%24/60
71%17/24
14%5/36
n/a
n/a
n/a
Dust2ban
45%232/514
45%203/454
33%8/24
38%6/16
57%55/96
76%42/55
15%6/41
50%2/4
100%2/2
0%0/2
Ancientban
51%203/395
51%165/325
40%10/25
33%12/36
47%33/70
75%24/32
22%8/36
17%1/6
100%1/1
40%2/5
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
KUUSAMO wins more pistol rounds: 63% vs 49%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → KUUSAMO usually win the next round too (95% vs 81%). Lose the pistol → MOUZ NXT fight back to win the next round more often (15% vs 0%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

MOUZ NXT

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/113 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 113 maps they won, 40 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs Nuclear TigeRESNukefrom 8 downvs Lazer CatsNukefrom 7 downvs DONSTUNukefrom 7 downvs Friendly CampersNukefrom 6 downvs Johnny SpeedsAnubisfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i47/134 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 134 maps they lost, 47 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 10 · lost 3-13vs AcendAnubisled 8 · lost 13-16vs PCIFICDust2led 8 · lost 5-13vs TDKOverpassled 7 · lost 8-13vs los kogutosMirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Nuclear TigeRESNukefrom 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi35% · 32Close maps (≤3) · OT35% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 32 went to overtime.vs Friendly CampersNuke16-13vs Friendly CampersDust216-13vs FAVBETNuke14-16vs AaBAnubis16-14vs FAVBETNuke14-16

KUUSAMO

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i3/8 (38%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 8 maps they won, 3 (38%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 38% of their wins were comebacks, not 38% of all games.vs MisaNukefrom 4 downvs MisaCachefrom 4 downvs BOJONGMiragefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/16 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 16 maps they lost, 6 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs CSDIILITNukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs PCIFICDust2led 5 · lost 10-13vs PCIFICCacheled 5 · lost 9-13vs PhantomNukeled 4 · lost 10-13vs The Night ClubAncientled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 4 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MisaNukefrom 4 down · won 22-18
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs CSDIILITNukeled 5 · lost 9-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs SINQUNuke13-16vs MisaNuke22-18vs MisaCache16-14

MOUZ NXT vs KUUSAMO FAQ

Who is favored to win MOUZ NXT vs KUUSAMO?

MOUZ NXT are favored with a 57% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for MOUZ NXT vs KUUSAMO?

Bookmakers price MOUZ NXT at 1.36 and KUUSAMO at 3.02 (implied 69% vs 31%).

When do MOUZ NXT and KUUSAMO play?

MOUZ NXT vs KUUSAMO is scheduled for 2026-09-07 13:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 6.

MOUZ NXT vs KUUSAMO Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER