Matches / Upcoming / FaZe vs Alliance
FaZe vs Alliance: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · FISSURE Playground 3
FaZe
World #12 · 23-26
VS
2026-09-08 06:00 UTC
FISSURE Playground 3 · Best of 3 · ★
Alliance
World #36 · 53-23
62%38%
72%
1.293.38Market · 15 books
28%The call
FaZe are favoured: our model gives them 62% against Alliance. Bookmakers lean FaZe at 72%. Record slightly favours Alliance, firepower slightly favours FaZe, head-to-head clearly favours FaZe.
Likely mapsNuke · Anubis · Cache
Recent form
FaZe
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FaZe
Alliance
Aurora#101-22-1
FaZe vs Aurora
Mar 18LNuke13-11Inferno8-13Dust210-13Alliance vs Aurora
Apr 1WInferno2-13Anubis13-9Overpass13-11
9z#112-13-2
PARIVISION#172-40-1
Alliance vs PARIVISION
Jul 1LAncient4-13
3DMAX#212-22-1
Alliance vs 3DMAX
May 28WInferno19-17Dust29-13Anubis13-8
BIG#231-20-2
FaZe vs BIG
Apr 5LDust213-3Overpass11-13Anubis3-13Alliance vs BIG
Jan 24LDust26-13Ancient11-13
Inner Circle#240-22-1
FaZe vs Inner Circle
Apr 6LNuke9-13Mirage9-13Alliance vs Inner Circle
Mar 31WDust213-7Overpass11-13Anubis13-8
Ninjas in Pyjamas#260-21-2
FaZe vs Ninjas in Pyjamas
May 30LAncient11-13Nuke10-13
fnatic#380-24-1
FaZe vs fnatic
Mar 31LAnubis6-13Overpass5-13Firepower
roster ratingsFaZe · avg 1.14 · top +0.1
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, FaZe vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFAZALL
InfernoFAZ ban0%0-674%28-10
MirageALL ban59%13-90%0-2
NukeFAZ pick65%11-652%15-14
AnubisALL pick22%2-766%19-10
Dust2FAZ ban52%11-1068%13-6
AncientALL ban48%11-1255%12-10
Cachedecider86%6-1n/a0g
FaZe on Cache
L
Vitality6–1318d agoW
Legacy13–625d agoW
Spirit13–91mo agoW
DENDELE13–71mo agoWPARIVISION13–92mo agoW
BetBoom13–22mo agoW
EYEBALLERS13–32mo agoAlliance on Cache
no recent maps
Each team's usual first ban: FaZe Inferno · Alliance Mirage.
Map lab
Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.
Alliance61%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: FaZe 62% · Anubis: Alliance 83% clear · Cache: Alliance 50% toss-upWhyAlliance hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesFaZe 39%: 2-1 29%, 2-0 11% · Alliance 61%: 2-0 32%, 2-1 29%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
FaZe 39%Alliance are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Alliance 2-0.61% Alliance
Nuke
FaZe62%Alliance38%
11-6record15-14
65%win52%
63%CT win53%
47%T win48%
59%pistol55%
74%convert81%
Anubis
FaZe17%Alliance83%
2-7record19-10
22%win66%
30%CT win51%
58%T win61%
56%pistol53%
90%convert87%
Cache
FaZe50%Alliance50%
thin sample, read with caution
6-1record0-0
86%win–
65%CT win–
62%T win–
50%pistol–
86%convert–
Pistol, eco & sides
win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per mapct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
FAZct
FAZt
ALLct
ALLt
FAZpistol
FAZconv
FAZeco
ALLpistol
ALLconv
ALLeco
Nukepool
63%102/162
47%90/192
53%175/330
48%122/254
59%20/34
74%14/19
7%1/14
55%32/58
81%26/32
15%4/26
Anubispool
30%27/89
58%53/91
51%148/289
61%196/323
56%10/18
90%9/10
38%3/8
53%31/58
87%26/30
11%3/27
Cachepool
65%40/62
62%44/71
n/a
n/a
50%7/14
86%6/7
29%2/7
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
41%27/66
37%22/60
55%192/347
58%241/417
58%7/12
43%3/7
0%0/5
57%43/76
77%33/43
21%7/33
Mirageban
57%132/232
45%100/221
50%12/24
18%3/17
55%24/44
71%17/24
25%5/20
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
Dust2ban
53%110/209
49%111/227
54%112/208
54%98/183
60%25/42
84%21/25
6%1/17
66%25/38
88%22/25
15%2/13
Ancientban
56%136/244
50%112/226
55%125/227
48%100/207
46%21/46
86%18/21
16%4/25
48%21/44
86%18/21
30%7/23
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (FaZe 56%, Alliance 54%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (81% vs 84%). Lose the pistol → FaZe fight back to win the next round more often (21% vs 13%).
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
FaZe
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/57 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 57 maps they won, 19 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs The MongolZNukefrom 9 downvs paiNDust2from 6 downvs aimclubOverpassfrom 6 downvs DramaNukefrom 6 downvs FalconsDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/56 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 18 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PARIVISIONAncientled 7 · lost 11-13vs Inner CircleMirageled 6 · lost 9-13vs Passion UADust2led 5 · lost 14-16vs Natus VincereAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs 9zOverpassled 5 · lost 16-19
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The MongolZNukefrom 9 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PARIVISIONAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs paiNNuke13-16vs paiNDust216-13vs AstralisInferno14-16vs Passion UANuke16-12vs Passion UADust214-16
Alliance
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/100 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 100 maps they won, 26 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs UNiTYOverpassfrom 6 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 6 downvs 3DMAXInfernofrom 6 downvs 9zDust2from 6 downvs ReThinkAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i20/62 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 62 maps they lost, 20 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs 9INEAnubisled 8 · lost 15-19vs UNiTYAncientled 6 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs VP.ProdigyAnubisled 5 · lost 14-16vs EYEBALLERSInfernoled 5 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs UNiTYOverpassfrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs 9INEAnubisled 8 · lost 15-19
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs MetizportNuke19-17vs PhantomOverpass19-17vs WHITEBIRDInferno13-16vs VP.ProdigyAnubis14-16vs kONOAnubis16-13
FaZe vs Alliance FAQ
Who is favored to win FaZe vs Alliance?
FaZe are favored with a 62% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for FaZe vs Alliance?
Bookmakers price FaZe at 1.29 and Alliance at 3.38 (implied 72% vs 28%).
When do FaZe and Alliance play?
FaZe vs Alliance is scheduled for 2026-09-08 06:00 UTC at FISSURE Playground 3.