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Matches / Upcoming / SINNERS vs Phantom

SINNERS vs Phantom: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · 1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier

SINNERS
World #50 · 40-32
VS
2026-09-07 12:00 UTC
1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3 · ★
Phantom
World #56 · 52-50
47%
Win probability
53%
46%
2.021.72Market · 2 booksBookmakerSINPHAGGBet2.021.72Sweatbet 2.021.72
54%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 47–53. Bookmakers lean Phantom at 54%. Form slightly favours SINNERS, firepower slightly favours Phantom, head-to-head slightly favours Phantom.

Likely mapsMirage · Nuke · Dust2

Recent form

SINNERS

K27UpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/41d ago2-0BBLPistolsPist4/41d ago2-0CYBERSHOKEOvertimeOT1d ago19-16QUAZARUpsetUpset3d ago1-2FOKUSBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT4d ago0-2EAC5d ago2-1ex-Zero Tenacity9d ago0-2Bushido Wildcats10d ago2-1EYEBALLERSOvertimeOT29d ago1-2Dark TigrePistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-21mo ago2-0K27StompStomp0-131mo ago0-2MANGANESEPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-01mo ago2-0Sashi1mo ago1-2SPARTA1mo ago2-1INOX Division1mo ago2-1

Phantom

INFINITEUpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/43d ago0-2OG4d ago2-1ex-Zero Tenacity8d ago0-2Nemiga9d ago2-1LeoComebackCB6Blew leadBL710d ago2-1AcendOvertimeOT14d ago17-19JiJieHaoPistolsPist5/629d ago1-2NRG29d ago2-1levelONEPistolsPist4/41mo ago2-0EYEBALLERSOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2levelONEPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0Sashi1mo ago0-2LavkedPistolsPist3/41mo ago2-0Vexar1mo ago2-0INOX Division1mo ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
7mo ago Phantom13 : 8 SINNERS!
⚠ Different lineup
Phantom
outDGL, Kunai, mynio
inTMB, cej0t, nicoodoz
Parken Challenger Championship Season 1
GamerLegion#182-40-1
SINNERS vs GamerLegion
May 12LMirage13-10Inferno9-13Nuke8-13Feb 24LNuke7-13Inferno14-16Feb 22WMirage19-16
Phantom vs GamerLegion
Feb 22LAncient13-16
JiJieHao#271-03-2
SINNERS vs JiJieHao
Mar 29WAncient16-14
Phantom vs JiJieHao
Aug 9LAnubis11-13Inferno13-7Ancient6-13Jun 18WOverpass13-11Ancient16-14
Alliance#362-21-2
SINNERS vs Alliance
Feb 20LDust210-13Inferno10-13Feb 10WOverpass13-9Mirage13-10
Phantom vs Alliance
Feb 17LNuke13-8Overpass17-19Anubis10-13
K27#372-20-2
SINNERS vs K27
Sep 6WCache13-11Ancient13-9Aug 8LDust20-13Cache10-13
Phantom vs K27
Jul 17LNuke9-13Ancient6-13
fnatic#382-00-2
SINNERS vs fnatic
Feb 12WDust213-10Overpass13-3
Phantom vs fnatic
Apr 30LAncient5-13Anubis13-16
FOKUS#410-22-3
SINNERS vs FOKUS
Sep 3LNuke6-13Ancient13-16
Phantom vs FOKUS
Jun 21WDust210-13Ancient13-7Nuke19-16Mar 25LAncient20-22Nuke13-16
EYEBALLERS#421-21-2
SINNERS vs EYEBALLERS
Aug 9LMirage19-17Ancient7-13Inferno6-13
Phantom vs EYEBALLERS
Aug 8LAncient11-13Inferno19-17Anubis10-13
NRG#450-12-1
SINNERS vs NRG
Jun 2LNuke6-13
Phantom vs NRG
Aug 9WAncient13-7Mirage10-13Inferno13-8

Firepower

roster ratings

SINNERS · avg 1.11 · top +0.04

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
stressarN1531.1378.274.1%53%1.15
MoDo1531.2570.674.5%34%1.14
kisserek1531.0177.772.9%55%1.12
SHOCK1531.0269.473.4%56%1.09
beastik1530.927271.9%56%1.04

Phantom · avg 1.13 · top +0.1

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
nicoodoz461.382.577.1%50%1.23
Kylar2281.0873.373.1%60%1.17
KEi2231.0177.173%49%1.1
cej0t381.0671.774%52%1.09
TMB870.8873.270.6%54%1.05

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, SINNERS vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapSINPHA
AnubisSIN bann/a0g43%6-8
SINNERS on Anubis
no recent maps
Phantom on Anubis
WLeo13–1110d agoLJiJieHao11–1329d agoLEYEBALLERS10–131mo agoLSashi4–131mo agoWpaiN13–52mo agoWWalczaki13–113mo agoLfnatic13–164mo agoWASTRAL13–86mo ago
InfernoPHA ban44%8-1083%5-1
SINNERS on Inferno
LEAC3–135d agoWBushido Wildcats13–910d agoLEYEBALLERS6–1329d agoWMANGANESE13–01mo agoLSashi11–131mo agoWINOX Division13–111mo agoLTYLOO10–133mo agoLAstralis8–134mo ago
Phantom on Inferno
LINFINITE7–133d agoWOG13–114d agoWJiJieHao13–729d agoWNRG13–829d agoWEYEBALLERS19–171mo agoWINOX Division13–31mo ago
MirageSIN pick59%19-1347%15-17
SINNERS on Mirage
LQUAZAR5–133d agoLex-Zero Tenacity7–139d agoWBushido Wildcats13–310d agoWEYEBALLERS19–1729d agoWSPARTA13–81mo agoWRune Eaters13–51mo agoLFUT8–132mo agoLFaZe7–132mo ago
Phantom on Mirage
LINFINITE10–133d agoWOG13–84d agoLNRG10–1329d agoWG2 Ares13–102mo agoLAcend7–133mo agoLDragonClaw10–133mo agoWBushido Wildcats13–93mo agoLYoung Ninjas8–133mo ago
NukePHA pick43%9-1254%30-26
SINNERS on Nuke
WBBL13–31d agoLFOKUS6–134d agoLNRG6–133mo agoLGamerLegion8–134mo agoWGentle Mates13–104mo agoWInner Circle Academy13–55mo agoLTricked20–225mo agoLYoung Ninjas9–135mo ago
Phantom on Nuke
LOG9–134d agoLex-Zero Tenacity5–138d agoLLeo10–1310d agoWLavked13–61mo agoWVexar13–81mo agoLINOX Division8–131mo agoLK279–132mo agoWHEROIC16–142mo ago
AncientSIN ban52%14-1347%24-27
SINNERS on Ancient
WK2713–91d agoLFOKUS13–164d agoWEAC13–115d agoLEYEBALLERS7–1329d agoWINOX Division13–91mo agoLFUT3–132mo agoLFaZe2–132mo agoLBetBoom4–132mo ago
Phantom on Ancient
WNemiga13–119d agoWLeo13–010d agoLAcend17–1914d agoLJiJieHao6–1329d agoWNRG13–729d agoWlevelONE13–51mo agoLEYEBALLERS11–131mo agoWlevelONE13–61mo ago
CachePHA ban44%4-50%0-2
SINNERS on Cache
WK2713–111d agoLQUAZAR3–133d agoWEAC13–105d agoLex-Zero Tenacity9–139d agoWDark Tigre13–21mo agoLK2710–131mo agoLSashi11–131mo agoWSPARTA13–71mo ago
Phantom on Cache
LNemiga11–139d agoLSashi6–131mo ago
Dust2decider55%17-1448%22-24
SINNERS on Dust2
WCYBERSHOKE19–161d agoWQUAZAR13–53d agoLBushido Wildcats10–1310d agoWDark Tigre13–21mo agoLK270–131mo agoWMANGANESE13–31mo agoWSashi13–91mo agoLSPARTA10–131mo ago
Phantom on Dust2
Lex-Zero Tenacity8–138d agoWNemiga13–59d agoWlevelONE13–41mo agoWlevelONE13–31mo agoLHEROIC11–132mo agoLpaiN8–132mo agoLFOKUS10–133mo agoWWalczaki13–93mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: SINNERS Anubis · Phantom Inferno.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

SINNERS54%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: SINNERS 62% · Nuke: Phantom 60% · Dust2: SINNERS 57%WhySINNERS hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesSINNERS 54%: 2-1 30%, 2-0 25%  ·  Phantom 46%: 2-0 23%, 2-1 23%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
SINNERS 54%It’s nearly a coin-flip. SINNERS only lead because their Mirage is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.46% Phantom
Mirage
SINNERS62%
Phantom38%
19-13record15-17
59%win47%
54%CT win53%
54%T win45%
53%pistol67%
76%convert86%
Nuke
SINNERS40%
Phantom60%
9-12record30-26
43%win54%
58%CT win56%
42%T win46%
52%pistol50%
82%convert80%
Dust2
SINNERS57%
Phantom43%
17-14record22-24
55%win48%
52%CT win52%
51%T win48%
48%pistol50%
77%convert80%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
SINct
SINt
PHAct
PHAt
SINpistol
SINconv
SINeco
PHApistol
PHAconv
PHAeco
Miragepool
54%177/329
54%190/355
53%195/367
45%142/314
53%34/64
76%26/34
20%6/30
67%43/64
86%37/43
14%3/21
Nukepool
58%132/228
42%83/199
56%312/561
46%292/639
52%22/42
82%18/22
15%3/20
50%56/112
80%45/56
14%8/56
Dust2pool
52%150/290
51%175/341
52%249/477
48%219/454
48%30/62
77%23/30
19%6/31
50%46/92
80%37/46
20%9/46
Anubisban
n/a
n/a
53%72/137
48%79/166
n/a
n/a
n/a
43%12/28
75%9/12
13%2/16
Infernoban
56%111/199
44%82/186
56%38/68
58%33/57
53%19/36
72%13/18
12%2/17
50%6/12
100%6/6
33%2/6
Ancientban
50%155/313
51%128/252
51%279/544
49%257/522
56%30/54
70%21/30
13%3/24
57%58/102
75%43/57
20%9/44
Cacheban
50%52/104
49%41/84
29%7/24
53%10/19
50%9/18
56%5/9
22%2/9
25%1/4
100%1/1
0%0/3
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Phantom wins more pistol rounds: 54% vs 51%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Phantom usually win the next round too (82% vs 78%). Lose the pistol → both fight back about the same (19% vs 16%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

SINNERS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/82 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 82 maps they won, 27 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs 1winDust2from 6 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersDust2from 6 downvs Johnny SpeedsMiragefrom 5 downvs KOLESIEOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/70 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 70 maps they lost, 21 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19vs TrickedMirageled 6 · lost 13-16vs FOKUSAncientled 6 · lost 13-16vs SpiritMirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs BetBoomNukeled 5 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 1winDust2from 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi39% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT39% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs GenOneNuke14-16vs AcendAncient16-14vs GamerLegionMirage19-16vs GamerLegionInferno14-16vs ECSTATICAncient22-20

Phantom

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/113 (30%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 113 maps they won, 34 (30%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 30% of their wins were comebacks, not 30% of all games.vs aAaDust2from 7 downvs HEROICNukefrom 7 downvs RUSTECMiragefrom 6 downvs Bushido WildcatsNukefrom 6 downvs LeoAnubisfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i43/115 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 115 maps they lost, 43 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16vs MASONICOverpassled 7 · lost 14-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 7 · lost 26-28vs LeoNukeled 7 · lost 10-13vs WashingtonOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs aAaDust2from 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FAVBETAncientled 9 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi43% · 34Close maps (≤3) · OT43% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 34 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITDust212-16vs FAVBETAnubis13-16vs MASONICOverpass14-16vs MASONICNuke14-16vs STATEOverpass13-16

SINNERS vs Phantom FAQ

Who is favored to win SINNERS vs Phantom?

Phantom are favored with a 53% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for SINNERS vs Phantom?

Bookmakers price SINNERS at 2.02 and Phantom at 1.72 (implied 46% vs 54%).

When do SINNERS and Phantom play?

SINNERS vs Phantom is scheduled for 2026-09-07 12:00 UTC at 1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier.

SINNERS vs Phantom Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER