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Matches / Upcoming / Nemesis vs SINNERS

Nemesis vs SINNERS: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · 1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier

Nemesis
World #43 · 64-36
VS
2026-09-09 09:00 UTC
1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
SINNERS
World #44 · 41-32
70%
Win probability
30%
52%
1.81.95Market · 13 booksBookmakerNEMSIN1red1.781.92Epicbet1.781.92Stake1.781.92Thunderpick Row1.781.92duelbits1.781.92Betify1.81.95Cs2skin1.81.95Rainbet1.81.95Razed1.81.95betory1.81.95betpanda1.81.95bcgame1.811.96Duel.com1.842
48%
The call · high confidence

Nemesis are favoured: our model gives them 70% against SINNERS. Bookmakers lean Nemesis at 52%. Strength slightly favours Nemesis, form slightly favours SINNERS, firepower clearly favours Nemesis.

Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Dust2

Recent form

Nemesis

FORZE ReloadPistolsPist3/41d ago2-0NemigaStompStomp1-133d ago0-2ASTRAL4d ago2-1HOTU5d ago0-21winPistolsPist3/46d ago2-0SPARTAComebackCB6OvertimeOT7d ago2-0Nuclear TigeRES8d ago1-21winPistolsPist4/413d ago2-0Xcity15d ago2-0Color17d ago2-0INFINITEUpsetUpset2mo ago1-2AuroraStompStomp2-13OvertimeOT2mo ago1-2INFINITE2mo ago2-1AstralisPistolsPist5/62mo ago1-2Alliance2mo ago1-2

SINNERS

PhantomPistolsPist3/41d ago2-0K27UpsetUpsetPistolsPist3/42d ago2-0BBLPistolsPist4/42d ago2-0CYBERSHOKEOvertimeOT2d ago19-16QUAZARUpsetUpset4d ago1-2FOKUSBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT5d ago0-2EAC6d ago2-1ex-Zero Tenacity10d ago0-2Bushido Wildcats11d ago2-1EYEBALLERSOvertimeOT1mo ago1-2Dark TigrePistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-21mo ago2-0K27StompStomp0-131mo ago0-2MANGANESEPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-01mo ago2-0Sashi1mo ago1-2SPARTA1mo ago2-1

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
6mo ago Nemesis2 : 0 SINNERS◆ same lineupStake Ranked Episode 1 Closed Qualifier7mo ago Nemesis0 : 2 SINNERS!
⚠ Different lineup
Nemesis
outyiksrezo
inr3salt
CCT Season 3 Europe Series 13
G2#70-22-1
Nemesis vs G2
Apr 1LAncient3-13Dust26-13
SINNERS vs G2
Mar 25WOverpass13-9Dust25-13Mirage19-17
Astralis#121-20-2
Nemesis vs Astralis
Jul 21LNuke13-11Ancient10-13Cache7-13
SINNERS vs Astralis
May 13LMirage11-13Inferno8-13
BIG#244-12-2
Nemesis vs BIG
Apr 10WInferno13-8Ancient13-5Mar 8WAncient13-11Inferno10-13Mirage16-14
SINNERS vs BIG
Mar 29LOverpass12-16Mar 26WNuke11-13Ancient13-2Overpass13-11
K27#342-82-2
Nemesis vs K27
Mar 23LNuke21-25Dust214-16Mar 12LNuke4-13Dust213-9Mirage6-13Feb 10LAncient10-13Dust25-13
+1 earlier meeting
SINNERS vs K27
Sep 6WCache13-11Ancient13-9Aug 8LDust20-13Cache10-13
fnatic#372-02-0
Nemesis vs fnatic
Apr 29WInferno13-5Ancient13-8
SINNERS vs fnatic
Feb 12WDust213-10Overpass13-3
1win#385-02-1
Nemesis vs 1win
Sep 2WDust213-6Ancient13-5Aug 26WDust213-11Ancient13-9Jan 17WInferno13-10
SINNERS vs 1win
Jan 30WDust213-11Ancient7-13Overpass13-6
FOKUS#402-10-2
Nemesis vs FOKUS
May 31WAncient10-13Mirage13-5Dust213-9
SINNERS vs FOKUS
Sep 3LNuke6-13Ancient13-16
EYEBALLERS#427-41-2
Nemesis vs EYEBALLERS
Jul 4WAncient13-10Inferno9-13Dust222-19Apr 9WNuke13-4Mirage13-4Mar 4WNuke11-13Mirage13-4Overpass13-8
+1 earlier meeting
SINNERS vs EYEBALLERS
Aug 9LMirage19-17Ancient7-13Inferno6-13

Firepower

roster ratings

Nemesis · avg 1.12 · top +0.06

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
r3salt1721.0981.174.5%55%1.18
Sdaim2341.0376.672.9%58%1.16
tex1y2351.0475.174.4%57%1.12
mag1k3Y2351.1867.674%37%1.1
SELLTER2350.9570.271.7%54%1.05

SINNERS · avg 1.11 · top +0.04

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
stressarN1551.1378.274.3%53%1.15
MoDo1551.2570.774.6%34%1.14
kisserek1551.0278.173%55%1.12
SHOCK1551.0269.573.6%56%1.09
beastik1550.9271.972%56%1.04

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nemesis vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapNEMSIN
AnubisNEM ban0%0-1n/a0g
Nemesis on Anubis
LEYEBALLERS10–138mo ago
SINNERS on Anubis
no recent maps
InfernoSIN ban55%18-1544%8-10
Nemesis on Inferno
LNuclear TigeRES7–138d agoWXcity13–615d agoWColor13–417d agoLINFINITE10–132mo agoWINFINITE13–82mo agoLAlliance7–132mo agoLEYEBALLERS9–132mo agoWLuminosity13–102mo ago
SINNERS on Inferno
LEAC3–136d agoWBushido Wildcats13–911d agoLEYEBALLERS6–131mo agoWMANGANESE13–01mo agoLSashi11–131mo agoWINOX Division13–111mo agoLTYLOO10–133mo agoLAstralis8–134mo ago
NukeNEM pick70%33-1443%9-12
Nemesis on Nuke
WSPARTA16–127d agoLAurora2–132mo agoWAstralis13–112mo agoWAlliance13–82mo agoWNuclear TigeRES13–103mo agoWINFINITE13–73mo agoWCYBERSHOKE13–83mo agoWGentle Mates13–63mo ago
SINNERS on Nuke
WBBL13–32d agoLFOKUS6–135d agoLNRG6–133mo agoLGamerLegion8–134mo agoWGentle Mates13–105mo agoWInner Circle Academy13–55mo agoLTricked20–225mo agoLYoung Ninjas9–135mo ago
MirageSIN pick61%22-1461%20-13
Nemesis on Mirage
WFORZE Reload13–91d agoLNemiga1–133d agoLINFINITE3–132mo agoLAurora6–132mo agoWINFINITE13–62mo agoWBetBoom13–102mo agoWTDK13–113mo agoWTDK13–103mo ago
SINNERS on Mirage
WPhantom13–71d agoLQUAZAR5–134d agoLex-Zero Tenacity7–1310d agoWBushido Wildcats13–311d agoWEYEBALLERS19–171mo agoWSPARTA13–81mo agoWRune Eaters13–51mo agoLFUT8–132mo ago
CacheNEM ban0%0-244%4-5
Nemesis on Cache
LASTRAL7–134d agoLAstralis7–132mo ago
SINNERS on Cache
WK2713–112d agoLQUAZAR3–134d agoWEAC13–106d agoLex-Zero Tenacity9–1310d agoWDark Tigre13–21mo agoLK2710–131mo agoLSashi11–131mo agoWSPARTA13–71mo ago
AncientSIN ban63%35-2154%15-13
Nemesis on Ancient
WFORZE Reload13–61d agoLNemiga7–133d agoWASTRAL13–74d agoW1win13–56d agoW1win13–913d agoWXcity13–415d agoWINFINITE13–52mo agoLINFINITE10–132mo ago
SINNERS on Ancient
WPhantom13–41d agoWK2713–92d agoLFOKUS13–165d agoWEAC13–116d agoLEYEBALLERS7–131mo agoWINOX Division13–91mo agoLFUT3–132mo agoLFaZe2–132mo ago
Dust2decider62%28-1755%17-14
Nemesis on Dust2
WASTRAL13–114d agoW1win13–66d agoWSPARTA13–77d agoWNuclear TigeRES13–58d agoW1win13–1113d agoWColor13–1117d agoWAurora16–142mo agoWEYEBALLERS22–192mo ago
SINNERS on Dust2
WCYBERSHOKE19–162d agoWQUAZAR13–54d agoLBushido Wildcats10–1311d agoWDark Tigre13–21mo agoLK270–131mo agoWMANGANESE13–31mo agoWSashi13–91mo agoLSPARTA10–131mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Nemesis Anubis · SINNERS Anubis.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

Nemesis66%to win the seriesiMap edgesNuke: Nemesis 75% clear · Mirage: Nemesis 51% toss-up · Dust2: Nemesis 57%WhyNemesis hold the edge across the maps (3 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesNemesis 66%: 2-0 38%, 2-1 29%  ·  SINNERS 34%: 2-1 21%, 2-0 13%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Nemesis 66%Nemesis are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Nemesis 2-0.34% SINNERS
Nuke
Nemesis75%
SINNERS25%
33-14record9-12
70%win43%
59%CT win58%
50%T win42%
49%pistol52%
89%convert82%
Mirage
Nemesis51%
SINNERS49%
22-14record20-13
61%win61%
55%CT win55%
48%T win53%
51%pistol55%
76%convert78%
Dust2
Nemesis57%
SINNERS43%
28-17record17-14
62%win55%
53%CT win52%
51%T win51%
50%pistol48%
80%convert77%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
NEMct
NEMt
SINct
SINt
NEMpistol
NEMconv
NEMeco
SINpistol
SINconv
SINeco
Nukepool
59%269/455
50%269/539
58%132/228
42%83/199
49%46/94
89%41/46
35%17/48
52%22/42
82%18/22
15%3/20
Miragepool
55%213/385
48%167/351
55%184/337
53%196/367
51%37/72
76%28/37
11%4/35
55%36/66
78%28/36
20%6/30
Dust2pool
53%274/518
51%222/434
52%150/290
51%175/341
50%45/90
80%36/45
20%9/45
48%30/62
77%23/30
19%6/31
Anubisban
45%5/11
42%5/12
n/a
n/a
0%0/2
n/a
50%1/2
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
51%182/357
53%177/336
56%111/199
44%82/186
47%31/66
61%19/31
31%11/35
53%19/36
72%13/18
12%2/17
Cacheban
35%7/20
35%7/20
50%52/104
49%41/84
50%2/4
50%1/2
0%0/2
50%9/18
56%5/9
22%2/9
Ancientban
57%302/534
52%323/627
50%163/325
52%133/257
56%63/112
90%56/62
35%17/49
55%31/56
71%22/31
16%4/25
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Pistol rounds are a tie. Both win about the same (Nemesis 50%, SINNERS 52%). Nobody has an edge.
Win the pistol → Nemesis usually win the next round too (82% vs 78%). Lose the pistol → Nemesis fight back to win the next round more often (23% vs 19%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Nemesis

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/144 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 144 maps they won, 40 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs OGAncientfrom 8 downvs GenOneDust2from 6 downvs Inner CircleMiragefrom 6 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 6 downvs INOX DivisionInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/88 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 88 maps they lost, 23 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BET-MDust2led 8 · lost 16-19vs NemigaDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs 100 ThievesAncientled 6 · lost 14-16vs TDKOverpassled 6 · lost 9-13vs EYEBALLERSInfernoled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs OGAncientfrom 8 down · won 22-20
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BET-MDust2led 8 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 23Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 23 went to overtime.vs EYEBALLERSInferno18-22vs BIG AcademyDust219-16vs GenOneDust216-13vs Inner CircleMirage19-16vs MUERTAInferno14-16

SINNERS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i27/84 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 84 maps they won, 27 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs 1winDust2from 6 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 6 downvs Rune EatersDust2from 6 downvs Johnny SpeedsMiragefrom 5 downvs KOLESIEOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/70 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 70 maps they lost, 21 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19vs TrickedMirageled 6 · lost 13-16vs FOKUSAncientled 6 · lost 13-16vs SpiritMirageled 5 · lost 11-13vs BetBoomNukeled 5 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 1winDust2from 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Gentle MatesInfernoled 8 · lost 17-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 20Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 20 went to overtime.vs GenOneNuke14-16vs AcendAncient16-14vs GamerLegionMirage19-16vs GamerLegionInferno14-16vs ECSTATICAncient22-20

Nemesis vs SINNERS FAQ

Who is favored to win Nemesis vs SINNERS?

Nemesis are favored with a 70% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Nemesis vs SINNERS?

Bookmakers price Nemesis at 1.8 and SINNERS at 1.95 (implied 52% vs 48%).

When do Nemesis and SINNERS play?

Nemesis vs SINNERS is scheduled for 2026-09-09 09:00 UTC at 1win Private Club Season 1 Closed Qualifier.

Nemesis vs SINNERS Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER