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Matches / Upcoming / ReThink vs Misa

ReThink vs Misa: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier

ReThink
World # · 10-12
VS
2026-09-10 14:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Misa
World #128 · 31-46
63%
Win probability
37%
37%
2.521.45Market · 2 booksBookmakerRETMISGGBet2.521.45Sweatbet 2.521.45
63%
The call

ReThink are favoured: our model gives them 63% against Misa. Bookmakers lean Misa at 63%. Strength slightly favours ReThink, form clearly favours ReThink, firepower clearly favours ReThink.

Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Inferno

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Firepower

roster ratings

ReThink · avg 1.04 · top +0.08

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Rack521.0179.870.1%64%1.12
zeak520.9674.171.6%52%1.09
macke330.9566.371.3%50%1.05
p1ke500.9169.674.3%51%0.99
chucker490.966.268.9%33%0.95

Misa · avg 1.02 · top +0.08

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
EMSTAR1050.9282.968.5%60%1.1
Ckanic1751.0170.971.5%61%1.05
Zuedsta1840.9769.170%58%1.04
souv1720.968.371.4%54%1.01
cyber170.7862.965.3%48%0.9

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ReThink vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapRETMIS
NukeRET bann/a0g43%12-16
AncientMIS ban50%7-733%1-2
MirageRET pick60%6-440%12-18
Dust2MIS pick36%4-752%25-23
AnubisRET ban20%1-448%15-16
CacheMIS bann/a0g29%5-12
Infernodecider0%0-650%10-10
Each team's usual first ban: ReThink Nuke · Misa Ancient.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

Misa69%to win the seriesiMap edgesMirage: ReThink 67% clear · Dust2: Misa 63% · Inferno: Misa 88% clearWhyMisa hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesReThink 31%: 2-0 25%, 2-1 7%  ·  Misa 69%: 2-1 48%, 2-0 21%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
ReThink 31%Misa are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Misa 2-1.69% Misa
Mirage
ReThink67%
Misa33%
6-4record12-18
60%win40%
54%CT win52%
50%T win44%
65%pistol52%
77%convert74%
Dust2
ReThink37%
Misa63%
4-7record25-23
36%win52%
50%CT win50%
40%T win52%
73%pistol49%
88%convert85%
Inferno
ReThink13%
Misa87%
0-6record10-10
0%win50%
33%CT win54%
28%T win47%
33%pistol45%
50%convert67%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
RETct
RETt
MISct
MISt
RETpistol
RETconv
RETeco
MISpistol
MISconv
MISeco
Miragepool
54%59/109
50%50/101
52%179/347
44%127/289
65%13/20
77%10/13
43%3/7
52%31/60
74%23/31
14%4/29
Dust2pool
50%63/127
40%41/102
50%239/475
52%276/532
73%16/22
88%14/16
17%1/6
49%47/96
85%40/47
18%9/49
Infernopool
33%24/72
28%11/40
54%130/240
47%93/200
33%4/12
50%2/4
13%1/8
45%18/40
67%12/18
27%6/22
Nukeban
n/a
n/a
51%160/313
44%119/272
n/a
n/a
n/a
50%28/56
79%22/28
25%7/28
Ancientban
48%66/137
54%86/160
30%10/33
42%8/19
50%14/28
86%12/14
14%2/14
67%4/6
50%2/4
0%0/2
Anubisban
40%21/52
43%25/58
45%147/330
51%171/337
50%5/10
100%5/5
20%1/5
44%27/62
89%24/27
17%6/35
Cacheban
n/a
n/a
51%100/196
44%80/181
n/a
n/a
n/a
53%18/34
83%15/18
13%2/16
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
ReThink wins more pistol rounds: 61% vs 49%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → both win the next round about the same (79% vs 78%). Lose the pistol → ReThink fight back to win the next round more often (24% vs 19%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

ReThink

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i7/22 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 22 maps they won, 7 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs Johnny SpeedsOverpassfrom 9 downvs B8 AcademyAnubisfrom 6 downvs roamsfiestMiragefrom 6 downvs VP.ProdigyAncientfrom 5 downvs VP.ProdigyDust2from 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/30 (53%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 30 maps they lost, 16 (53%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Imperial AcademyOverpassled 8 · lost 14-16vs TNTAnubisled 7 · lost 10-13vs AllianceAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs QUAZARDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs LilmixInfernoled 5 · lost 17-19
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Johnny SpeedsOverpassfrom 9 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Imperial AcademyOverpassled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs Imperial AcademyOverpass14-16vs AllianceAncient12-16vs AllianceOverpass12-16vs VP.ProdigyAncient16-13vs B8 AcademyAncient14-16

Misa

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/82 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 82 maps they won, 26 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 downvs ex-MANAInfernofrom 8 downvs ex-MANAInfernofrom 7 downvs WBTAnubisfrom 6 downvs HonvédMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i38/102 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 102 maps they lost, 38 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13vs EntropyCacheled 8 · lost 8-13vs ex-MANAMirageled 7 · lost 10-13vs Young NinjasNukeled 6 · lost 17-19vs eternal premiumInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WBTAnubisfrom 10 down · won 13-6
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs EntropyCacheled 9 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 26Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 26 went to overtime.vs LPHInferno15-19vs LPHNuke13-16vs 9INEOverpass19-17vs Endless JourneyInferno19-15vs Young NinjasNuke17-19

ReThink vs Misa FAQ

Who is favored to win ReThink vs Misa?

ReThink are favored with a 63% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for ReThink vs Misa?

Bookmakers price ReThink at 2.52 and Misa at 1.45 (implied 37% vs 63%).

When do ReThink and Misa play?

ReThink vs Misa is scheduled for 2026-09-10 14:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 12 Closed Qualifier.

ReThink vs Misa Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER