Matches / Upcoming / UPGRADE vs PCIFIC
UPGRADE vs PCIFIC: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · NODWIN Clutch Series 12
UPGRADE
World #86 · 6-5
VS
2026-09-16 17:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
PCIFIC
World #107 · 15-14
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
51%49%
68%
1.372.9Market · 2 books
32%The call
Too close to call. Our model has it 51–49. Bookmakers lean UPGRADE at 68%. Firepower clearly favours PCIFIC.
Likely mapsAnubis · Dust2 · Inferno
Firepower
roster ratingsUPGRADE · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| pleynnn★ | 1.16 | 82.8 | 73.3% | 59% | 1.22 |
| SquEzxc | 1.12 | 75.1 | 72.7% | 34% | 1.09 |
| dezl3bio | 1.02 | 76.4 | 71.1% | 56% | 1.07 |
| DAN9ARMATURA | 0.93 | 67 | 71.9% | 58% | 1.01 |
| tw1sterzaza | 0.93 | 71.9 | 70.2% | 50% | 0.99 |
PCIFIC · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
UPGRADE
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
HOTU#281-20-2
UPGRADE vs HOTU
Aug 31LAnubis8-13Nuke19-15Dust22-13PCIFIC vs HOTU
May 29LAnubis3-13Dust28-13Map lab
UPGRADE62%to win the Bo3 · most likely UPGRADE 2-1
If the veto goes
UPGRADE 62%how the series ends38% PCIFIC
30%2-09%
33%2-129%
UPGRADE86%6-2vsPCIFIC14%2-7
75%Win22%
52%CT36%
56%T48%
63%Pistol50%
80%Conv33%
UPGRADE34%3-5vsPCIFIC66%13-10
38%Win57%
48%CT55%
42%T50%
38%Pistol54%
83%Conv76%
UPGRADE53%1-0vsPCIFIC47%5-6
100%Win45%
58%CT54%
75%T43%
50%Pistol50%
100%Conv73%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
UPGRADEAnubisPCIFIC
52%CT side36%
56%T side48%
63%Pistol50%
80%After win33%
17%After loss11%
UPGRADEDust2PCIFIC
48%CT side55%
42%T side50%
38%Pistol54%
83%After win76%
0%After loss10%
UPGRADEInfernoPCIFIC
58%CT side54%
75%T side43%
50%Pistol50%
100%After win73%
0%After loss27%
Pistol rounds50% · 52% · level, no edge
After a won pistol82% · 67% · UPGRADE keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol6% · 15% · PCIFIC fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, UPGRADE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
PCIFIC habitually bans Ancient, UPGRADE's strongest maps (Anubis, Ancient all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 29/30), not an opponent read, so expect UPGRADE to fight the veto for Anubis.
MapUPGPCI
CacheUPG ban33%1-275%3-1
AncientPCI ban67%2-1n/a0g
PCIFIC on Ancient
no recent maps
AnubisUPG pick75%6-222%2-7
Dust2PCI pick38%3-557%13-10
NukeUPG ban25%1-350%6-6
MiragePCI ban50%1-160%6-4
Infernodecider100%1-045%5-6
Each team's usual first ban: UPGRADE Cache · PCIFIC Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
UPGRADE
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i8/15 (53%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 15 maps they won, 8 (53%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 53% of their wins were comebacks, not 53% of all games.vs FORZE ReloadAnubisfrom 8 downvs FORZE ReloadMiragefrom 6 downvs HOTUNukefrom 5 downvs BET-MAnubisfrom 4 downvs XcityAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i5/14 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 14 maps they lost, 5 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BBLMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs FORZE ReloadDust2led 6 · lost 7-13vs XcityAncientled 5 · lost 11-13vs Black PhoenixNukeled 4 · lost 11-13vs Nuclear TigeRESDust2led 3 · lost 5-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FORZE ReloadAnubisfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BBLMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi45% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT45% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs HOTUNuke19-15vs FORZE ReloadDust216-14
PCIFIC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/35 (46%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 35 maps they won, 16 (46%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 46% of their wins were comebacks, not 46% of all games.vs MOUZ NXTDust2from 8 downvs DEPODust2from 6 downvs MOUZ NXTCachefrom 5 downvs KUUSAMODust2from 5 downvs KUUSAMOCachefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i6/34 (18%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 34 maps they lost, 6 (18%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Fire FluxDust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs MetizportNukeled 5 · lost 9-13vs 9INEInfernoled 4 · lost 10-13vs AtreidesMirageled 4 · lost 14-16vs 9INEDust2led 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MOUZ NXTDust2from 8 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Fire FluxDust2led 7 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 5Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 5 went to overtime.vs Rune EatersInferno22-19vs Fire FluxDust213-16vs AtreidesMirage14-16vs WBT AcademyDust216-19vs WBT AcademyNuke14-16
UPGRADE vs PCIFIC FAQ
Who is favored to win UPGRADE vs PCIFIC?
UPGRADE are favored with a 51% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for UPGRADE vs PCIFIC?
Bookmakers price UPGRADE at 1.37 and PCIFIC at 2.9 (implied 68% vs 32%).
When do UPGRADE and PCIFIC play?
UPGRADE vs PCIFIC is scheduled for 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 12.