Matches / Upcoming / INOX Division vs BAKS

INOX Division vs BAKS: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · NODWIN Clutch Series 12

INOX Division
World #59 · 57-29
VS
2026-09-22 11:00 UTC
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
BAKS
World #83 · 15-11
NODWIN Clutch Series 12 · Best of 3
53%
Win probability
47%
51%
1.811.87Market · 2 booksBookmakerINOBAKGGBet1.811.87Sweatbet 1.811.87
49%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 53–47. Bookmakers lean INOX Division at 51%. Form clearly favours BAKS, firepower clearly favours BAKS.

Likely mapsInferno · Cache · Nuke

Firepower

roster ratings

INOX Division · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
FenomeN1.4579.678.6%33%1.28
finW1.0774.876.7%56%1.16
k1slll1.0379.574.1%51%1.15
k0s1.0377.973.1%51%1.13
gooddeph0.9164.672.7%56%1

BAKS · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
turbo1.0574.572.8%64%1.15
whisper1.0874.771.4%63%1.13
danistzz1.1572.574.7%38%1.09
Norwi0.9472.468.7%47%1.05
xdENiSZERA1.0270.173.2%55%1.03

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
Color#570-20-1
INOX Division vs Color
Sep 13LInferno4-13Dust214-16
BAKS vs Color
Aug 24LInferno4-13
ex-RUSTEC#674-02-1
FORZE Reload#750-42-0
Black Phoenix#892-13-3
BASEMENT BOYS#931-21-2
INOX Division vs BASEMENT BOYS
Aug 16LAncient12-16Nuke13-7Dust211-13
G2 Ares#1032-12-1
ex-RUBY#1045-42-1
Misa#1102-03-3

Map lab

INOX Division52%to win the Bo3 · most likely INOX Division 2-1
If the veto goes
INOX Division 52%how the series ends48% BAKS
11%2-025%
41%2-123%
Map 1InfernoINOX Division pick
INOX Division70%29-17vsBAKS30%4-6
63%Win40%
54%CT43%
53%T47%
51%Pistol40%
72%Conv63%
Map 2CacheBAKS pick
INOX Division16%5-8vsBAKS84%13-3
38%Win81%
47%CT62%
44%T53%
58%Pistol53%
73%Conv88%
Map 3Nukedecider
INOX Division64%30-14vsBAKS36%6-5
68%Win55%
61%CT59%
53%T40%
49%Pistol55%
79%Conv83%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

INOX DivisionInfernoBAKS
54%CT side43%
53%T side47%
51%Pistol40%
72%After win63%
33%After loss8%
INOX DivisionCacheBAKS
47%CT side62%
44%T side53%
58%Pistol53%
73%After win88%
0%After loss13%
INOX DivisionNukeBAKS
61%CT side59%
53%T side40%
49%Pistol55%
79%After win83%
36%After loss20%
Pistol rounds51% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol75% · 81% · BAKS keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol31% · 14% · INOX Division fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, INOX Division vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

BAKS habitually bans Anubis, INOX Division's strongest maps (Dust2, Ancient, Anubis, Inferno, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 24/26), not an opponent read, so expect INOX Division to fight the veto for Inferno.
MapINOBAK
MirageINO bann/a0g57%4-3
AnubisBAK ban63%10-6n/a0g
InfernoINO pick63%29-1740%4-6
CacheBAK pick38%5-881%13-3
AncientINO ban62%21-1386%6-1
Dust2BAK ban64%27-1540%6-9
Nukedecider68%30-1455%6-5
Each team's usual first ban: INOX Division Mirage · BAKS Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

INOX Division

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i32/130 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 130 maps they won, 32 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs Black PhoenixNukefrom 9 downvs SPARTAOverpassfrom 8 downvs MANANukefrom 7 downvs OmegaOverpassfrom 6 downvs HYPERSPIRITInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i27/79 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 79 maps they lost, 27 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYNukeled 7 · lost 19-22vs MANANukeled 6 · lost 11-13vs NemesisInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs LavkedDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs The Last ResortCacheled 6 · lost 14-16
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Black PhoenixNukefrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYNukeled 7 · lost 19-22
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 30Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 30 went to overtime.vs TDKOverpass13-16vs WalczakiDust216-13vs ex-RUBYNuke19-22vs HOTUDust222-25vs SPARTANuke20-22

BAKS

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/39 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 39 maps they won, 13 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs K28Dust2from 9 downvs SPARTAAncientfrom 6 downvs eternal premiumMiragefrom 5 downvs G2 AresCachefrom 5 downvs XcityInfernofrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i7/28 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 28 maps they lost, 7 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13vs Black PhoenixDust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs CYBERSHOKE ProspectsDust2led 4 · lost 7-13vs ex-RUSTECDust2led 4 · lost 7-13vs CYBERSHOKECacheled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs K28Dust2from 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs SPARTAInfernoled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs XcityInferno16-13vs ReThinkMirage26-28vs MisaNuke12-16vs SPARTAAncient19-16vs G2 AresAncient22-20

INOX Division vs BAKS FAQ

Who is favored to win INOX Division vs BAKS?

INOX Division are favored with a 53% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for INOX Division vs BAKS?

Bookmakers price INOX Division at 1.81 and BAKS at 1.87 (implied 51% vs 49%).

When do INOX Division and BAKS play?

INOX Division vs BAKS is scheduled for 2026-09-22 11:00 UTC at NODWIN Clutch Series 12.