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Matches / Upcoming / Nuclear TigeRES vs 1win

Nuclear TigeRES vs 1win: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier

Nuclear TigeRES
World #54 · 67-38
VS
2026-09-09 08:00 UTC
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
1win
World #43 · 54-32
50%
Win probability
50%
38%
2.481.49Market · 13 booksBookmakerNUC1WI1red2.41.5Epicbet2.41.5Stake2.41.5duelbits2.41.5roobet2.461.48Betify2.481.49Cs2skin2.481.49Duel.com2.481.49Rainbet2.481.49Razed2.481.49betory2.481.49betpanda2.481.49bcgame2.521.5
62%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 50–50. Bookmakers lean 1win at 62%. Form clearly favours 1win, firepower clearly favours 1win.

Likely mapsAncient · Dust2 · Cache

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Firepower

roster ratings

Nuclear TigeRES · avg 1.12 · top +0.06

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
flouzer2411.0681.473.4%52%1.18
ayuki2401.0572.874.8%54%1.13
z1k42411.1873.773.3%33%1.13
m1QUSE2371.0274.575.1%48%1.12
senka2410.8469.270.6%48%1.02

1win · avg 1.12 · top +0.09

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Ax1Le491.1482.676.4%51%1.21
ArtFr0st491.277075.4%25%1.14
fame491.0167.674.6%58%1.11
BELCHONOKK471.0174.372%59%1.09
nafany490.8971.269.5%58%1.04

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nuclear TigeRES vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapNUC1WI
MirageNUC ban41%11-1665%22-12
Nuke1WI ban42%16-22n/a0g
AncientNUC pick73%45-1755%22-18
Dust21WI pick47%21-2462%34-21
InfernoNUC ban67%16-870%14-6
Anubis1WI ban71%30-1245%9-11
Cachedecider100%3-067%6-3
Each team's usual first ban: Nuclear TigeRES Overpass · 1win Nuke.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

Nuclear TigeRES57%to win the seriesiMap edgesAncient: Nuclear TigeRES 68% clear · Dust2: 1win 64% · Cache: Nuclear TigeRES 60%WhyNuclear TigeRES hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesNuclear TigeRES 57%: 2-1 33%, 2-0 24%  ·  1win 43%: 2-1 22%, 2-0 21%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
Nuclear TigeRES 57%It’s nearly a coin-flip. Nuclear TigeRES only lead because their Ancient & Cache is strong enough that nicking just one of the close maps wins the series.43% 1win
Ancient
Nuclear TigeRES68%
1win32%
45-17record22-18
73%win55%
56%CT win53%
55%T win49%
49%pistol53%
80%convert79%
Dust2
Nuclear TigeRES36%
1win64%
21-24record34-21
47%win62%
46%CT win50%
53%T win56%
59%pistol49%
89%convert83%
Cache
Nuclear TigeRES60%
1win40%
3-0record6-3
100%win67%
72%CT win51%
41%T win56%
50%pistol39%
100%convert71%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
NUCct
NUCt
1WIct
1WIt
NUCpistol
NUCconv
NUCeco
1WIpistol
1WIconv
1WIeco
Ancientpool
56%330/589
55%393/711
53%196/368
49%208/428
49%61/124
80%49/61
24%15/63
53%42/80
79%33/42
11%4/38
Dust2pool
46%216/465
53%251/477
50%253/501
56%352/624
59%53/90
89%47/53
14%5/37
49%54/110
83%45/54
16%9/56
Cachepool
72%26/36
41%12/29
51%51/100
56%49/87
50%3/6
100%3/3
0%0/3
39%7/18
71%5/7
18%2/11
Mirageban
57%182/318
40%102/253
62%229/369
47%155/330
57%31/54
97%30/31
13%3/23
57%39/68
90%35/39
17%5/29
Nukeban
56%244/439
41%155/381
n/a
n/a
46%35/76
69%24/35
15%6/41
n/a
n/a
n/a
Infernoban
58%132/229
54%146/268
49%107/217
53%115/218
65%31/48
84%26/31
6%1/17
48%19/40
74%14/19
19%4/21
Anubisban
53%217/408
60%262/435
45%81/179
56%130/234
46%39/84
90%35/39
13%6/45
50%20/40
85%17/20
0%0/20
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Nuclear TigeRES wins more pistol rounds: 53% vs 50%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Nuclear TigeRES usually win the next round too (85% vs 81%). Lose the pistol → Nuclear TigeRES fight back to win the next round more often (19% vs 14%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Nuclear TigeRES

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i41/142 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 142 maps they won, 41 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs 1winAnubisfrom 6 downvs SashiNukefrom 6 downvs Spirit AcademyCachefrom 6 downvs MOUZ NXTDust2from 5 downvs OxujiInfernofrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i47/99 (47%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 99 maps they lost, 47 (47%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ex-RUBYMirageled 10 · lost 16-19vs illwillInfernoled 8 · lost 11-13vs MOUZ NXTNukeled 8 · lost 15-19vs magicMirageled 7 · lost 15-19vs 100 ThievesAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs 1winAnubisfrom 6 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ex-RUBYMirageled 10 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 32Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 32 went to overtime.vs Gentle MatesInferno15-19vs KOLESIEAncient16-13vs OramondMirage16-14vs WHITEBIRDInferno19-17vs MOUZ NXTAncient16-13

1win

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i41/118 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 118 maps they won, 41 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs UNiTYAncientfrom 9 downvs MINLATEInfernofrom 7 downvs K27Overpassfrom 7 downvs UrsaInfernofrom 6 downvs NemigaMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i26/80 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 80 maps they lost, 26 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs magicInfernoled 6 · lost 7-13vs NemigaOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13vs illwillDust2led 6 · lost 12-16vs SINNERSDust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs Nuclear TigeRESAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs UNiTYAncientfrom 9 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs magicInfernoled 6 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 25Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 25 went to overtime.vs GenOneInferno22-20vs illwillDust212-16vs MINLATEInferno19-17vs UrsaInferno19-15vs K27Overpass19-16

Nuclear TigeRES vs 1win FAQ

Who is favored to win Nuclear TigeRES vs 1win?

Nuclear TigeRES are favored with a 50% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Nuclear TigeRES vs 1win?

Bookmakers price Nuclear TigeRES at 2.48 and 1win at 1.49 (implied 38% vs 62%).

When do Nuclear TigeRES and 1win play?

Nuclear TigeRES vs 1win is scheduled for 2026-09-09 08:00 UTC at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Closed Qualifier.

Nuclear TigeRES vs 1win Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER