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Matches / Upcoming / DENDELE vs Turma do Pagode

DENDELE vs Turma do Pagode: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier

DENDELE
World #35 · 3-6
VS
2026-09-09 17:00 UTC
PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Turma do Pagode
World #– · 12-5
50%
Win probability
50%
80%
1.174.56Market · 2 booksBookmakerDENTURGGBet1.174.56Sweatbet 1.174.56
20%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 50–50. Bookmakers lean DENDELE at 80%. Strength slightly favours Turma do Pagode, record slightly favours Turma do Pagode, form clearly favours Turma do Pagode, firepower slightly favours Turma do Pagode.

Likely mapsCache · Ancient · Anubis

Recent form

DENDELE

Color6d ago1-2EYEBALLERS6d ago1-2AuroraBlew leadBL6OvertimeOT11d ago0-2Spirit13d ago0-2JiJieHaoUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL71mo ago1-2SAW1mo ago2-0QueenConsoPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-01mo ago2-0FaZeStompStomp2-132mo ago1-2FURIAUpsetUpsetPistolsPist5/62mo ago2-1

Turma do Pagode

IsurusPistolsPist3/4ComebackCB71d ago2-0YawaraOvertimeOT1d ago2-1your endPistolsPist5/63d ago2-1IsurusUpsetUpsetPistolsPist5/611d ago1-2Bounty HuntersComebackCB812d ago2-0ALKA13d ago2-1ex-MIBR AcademyUpsetUpset14d ago0-2Galorys4mo ago2-1YawaraStompStomp2-134mo ago1-2Isurus4mo ago0-2Bounty Hunters4mo ago2-1LP4mo ago2-0BESTIA Academy4mo ago2-0Bounty Hunters4mo ago2-1Keyd StarsPistolsPist2/25mo ago13-11

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.

Firepower

roster ratings

DENDELE · avg 1.06 · top +0.26

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
doc231.0984.475.5%58%1.32
koala231.0269.969.8%52%1.09
maxxkor230.9564.970.3%34%1.01
rdnzao230.8571.670.3%64%0.96
gafolo230.846272%50%0.94

Turma do Pagode · avg 1.12 · top +0.14

PlayerMpK-DADRKASTHSRating
Tuurtle181.277.177%58%1.26
matios51.579.878.4%61%1.25
naitte391.0986.373.2%59%1.18
WOOD7390.9865.171.7%33%0.95
danoco50.8674.570.7%54%0.95

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, DENDELE vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapDENTUR
Dust2DEN bann/a0g64%7-4
DENDELE on Dust2
no recent maps
Turma do Pagode on Dust2
WYawara13–71d agoWyour end13–63d agoLIsurus4–1311d agoWALKA13–913d agoLex-MIBR Academy9–1314d agoWGalorys13–94mo agoLYawara11–134mo agoWBounty Hunters13–94mo ago
NukeTUR ban50%1-10%0-3
DENDELE on Nuke
WQueenConso13–01mo agoLFaZe2–132mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Nuke
LGalorys7–134mo agoLBounty Hunters6–134mo agoLBounty Hunters7–134mo ago
CacheDEN pick57%4-3100%1-0
DENDELE on Cache
WColor13–66d agoWEYEBALLERS13–36d agoLAurora7–1311d agoLSpirit7–1313d agoWJiJieHao13–91mo agoLFaZe7–132mo agoWFURIA16–142mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Cache
WYawara13–91d ago
AncientTUR pick0%0-377%10-3
DENDELE on Ancient
LEYEBALLERS11–136d agoLSpirit8–1313d agoLJiJieHao7–131mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Ancient
WIsurus13–111d agoLYawara14–161d agoWyour end13–43d agoWIsurus13–611d agoWBounty Hunters13–1112d agoWALKA13–513d agoLex-MIBR Academy8–1314d agoWGalorys13–74mo ago
MirageDEN ban20%1-4100%1-0
DENDELE on Mirage
LColor8–136d agoLEYEBALLERS9–136d agoLAurora12–1611d agoWFaZe13–102mo agoLFURIA6–132mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Mirage
WBounty Hunters13–412d ago
InfernoTUR ban50%1-125%1-3
DENDELE on Inferno
LJiJieHao14–161mo agoWSAW13–101mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Inferno
WIsurus16–141d agoLIsurus9–1311d agoLALKA10–1313d agoLIsurus8–134mo ago
Anubisdecider75%3-167%2-1
DENDELE on Anubis
LColor4–136d agoWSAW13–101mo agoWQueenConso13–31mo agoWFURIA13–62mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Anubis
Lyour end8–133d agoWBounty Hunters13–94mo agoWKeyd Stars13–115mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: DENDELE Dust2 · Turma do Pagode Mirage.

Map lab

Three ways the map pool could fall: each side's best-case Bo3 and the most likely draw. Pick a card to load its series odds and the map-by-map head-to-head underneath.

Turma do Pagode60%to win the seriesiMap edgesCache: Turma do Pagode 52% toss-up · Ancient: Turma do Pagode 71% clear · Anubis: DENDELE 54% toss-upWhyTurma do Pagode hold the edge across the maps (2 of 3 lean their way).OutcomesDENDELE 40%: 2-1 26%, 2-0 14%  ·  Turma do Pagode 60%: 2-0 37%, 2-1 23%
series odds add up every way a team can win, not just one scoreline
DENDELE 40%Turma do Pagode are the clearer side here: the most likely result is Turma do Pagode 2-0.60% Turma do Pagode
Cache
DENDELE48%
Turma do Pagode52%
4-3record1-0
57%win100%
43%CT win58%
58%T win60%
43%pistol0%
83%convert–
Ancient
DENDELE29%
Turma do Pagode71%
0-3record10-3
0%win77%
50%CT win67%
30%T win49%
33%pistol65%
100%convert94%
Anubis
DENDELE54%
Turma do Pagode46%
3-1record2-1
75%win67%
60%CT win52%
52%T win50%
50%pistol83%
75%convert80%

Pistol, eco & sides

win% · convert if won · eco if lost · CT/T per map
ct / t side win% (Nuke skews CT, Dust2 T)pistol won the opening pistolconv then won round 2eco lost pistol, won round 2
Map
DENct
DENt
TURct
TURt
DENpistol
DENconv
DENeco
TURpistol
TURconv
TUReco
Cachepool
43%26/61
58%46/80
58%7/12
60%6/10
43%6/14
83%5/6
13%1/8
0%0/2
n/a
0%0/2
Ancientpool
50%16/32
30%10/33
67%94/140
49%67/138
33%2/6
100%2/2
50%2/4
65%17/26
94%16/17
11%1/9
Anubispool
60%29/48
52%14/27
52%17/33
50%17/34
50%4/8
75%3/4
0%0/4
83%5/6
80%4/5
0%0/1
Dust2ban
n/a
n/a
56%67/119
53%60/114
n/a
n/a
n/a
64%14/22
64%9/14
25%2/8
Nukeban
80%12/15
23%3/13
47%17/36
13%3/23
50%2/4
100%1/1
0%0/2
33%2/6
50%1/2
0%0/4
Mirageban
40%23/58
49%25/51
75%9/12
80%4/5
50%5/10
80%4/5
40%2/5
50%1/2
100%1/1
100%1/1
Infernoban
58%14/24
48%11/23
47%22/47
40%17/43
25%1/4
100%1/1
33%1/3
63%5/8
40%2/5
0%0/3
colour = vs averagebelowavgabove
Turma do Pagode wins more pistol rounds: 65% vs 43%. Winning a pistol usually wins you the next few rounds too, so this is a small head start.
Win the pistol → Turma do Pagode usually win the next round too (91% vs 83%). Lose the pistol → DENDELE fight back to win the next round more often (19% vs 8%).

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

DENDELE

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/10 (20%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 10 maps they won, 2 (20%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 20% of their wins were comebacks, not 20% of all games.vs FaZeMiragefrom 3 downvs SAWInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/13 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 13 maps they lost, 4 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs JiJieHaoInfernoled 7 · lost 14-16vs AuroraMirageled 6 · lost 12-16vs SpiritAncientled 4 · lost 8-13vs EYEBALLERSAncientled 4 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 3 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FaZeMiragefrom 3 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs JiJieHaoInfernoled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs FURIACache16-14vs JiJieHaoInferno14-16vs AuroraMirage12-16

Turma do Pagode

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/24 (25%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 24 maps they won, 6 (25%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 25% of their wins were comebacks, not 25% of all games.vs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 downvs IsurusAncientfrom 7 downvs Bounty HuntersDust2from 4 downvs Bounty HuntersAnubisfrom 4 downvs BESTIA AcademyAncientfrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i3/15 (20%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 15 maps they lost, 3 (20%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 4 · lost 7-13vs ex-MIBR AcademyAncientled 4 · lost 8-13vs IsurusAncientled 3 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 4 · lost 7-13
Avg map margini4.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi36% · 3Close maps (≤3) · OT36% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 3 went to overtime.vs METANOIA WolvesDust216-19vs YawaraAncient14-16vs IsurusInferno16-14

DENDELE vs Turma do Pagode FAQ

Who is favored to win DENDELE vs Turma do Pagode?

DENDELE are favored with a 50% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for DENDELE vs Turma do Pagode?

Bookmakers price DENDELE at 1.17 and Turma do Pagode at 4.56 (implied 80% vs 20%).

When do DENDELE and Turma do Pagode play?

DENDELE vs Turma do Pagode is scheduled for 2026-09-09 17:00 UTC at PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 South America Closed Qualifier.