NewThe CS2OBSERVER Discord is open. Live finals, daily picks, news and upsets, all in one place.Join
Matches / Upcoming / Black Phoenix vs ENCE

Black Phoenix vs ENCE: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9

Black Phoenix
World #89 · 22-23
VS
2026-09-16 08:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
ENCE
World #120 · 31-29
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
52%
Win probability
48%
46%
1.991.7Market · 7 booksBookmakerBLAENCGranaWin1.951.671xBit1.991.71xbet1.991.7ColdBet1.991.7Spinbet1.991.7Vivatbet1.991.7betlabel1.991.7
54%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 52–48. Bookmakers lean ENCE at 54%. Form clearly favours ENCE, firepower clearly favours ENCE.

Likely mapsCache · Nuke · Mirage

Firepower

roster ratings

Black Phoenix · avg 1.02 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
karnez0.9777.269%67%1.07
MRcreed0.8666.164.7%63%1.03
4X1s0.8773.268.4%54%1.02
topo1.0666.269.8%32%1.02
Salazar0.8466.768.2%51%0.96

ENCE · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.03iStar gap: the best player rates 0.03 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
HENU0.9877.771.6%54%1.12
millert1.1168.173.2%34%1.11
Schwarz0.9874.771.5%56%1.08
teme0.9768.173.1%54%1.08
joeski0.9675.269.3%52%1.07

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

ENCE57%to win the Bo3 · most likely ENCE 2-1
If the veto goes
Black Phoenix 43%how the series ends57% ENCE
25%2-023%
18%2-134%
Map 1CacheBlack Phoenix pick
Black Phoenix62%7-3vsENCE38%4-3
70%Win57%
51%CT52%
49%T45%
60%Pistol43%
58%Conv100%
Map 2NukeENCE pick
Black Phoenix41%9-8vsENCE59%15-9
53%Win63%
60%CT59%
39%T52%
44%Pistol44%
93%Conv90%
Map 3Miragedecider
Black Phoenix34%7-12vsENCE66%18-15
37%Win55%
48%CT54%
46%T51%
47%Pistol55%
83%Conv85%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Black PhoenixCacheENCE
51%CT side52%
49%T side45%
60%Pistol43%
58%After win100%
0%After loss0%
Black PhoenixNukeENCE
60%CT side59%
39%T side52%
44%Pistol44%
93%After win90%
5%After loss22%
Black PhoenixMirageENCE
48%CT side54%
46%T side51%
47%Pistol55%
83%After win85%
15%After loss7%
Pistol rounds49% · 49% · level, no edge
After a won pistol80% · 89% · ENCE keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol9% · 12% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Black Phoenix vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

ENCE habitually bans Inferno, Black Phoenix's strongest maps (Inferno, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 30/60), not an opponent read, so expect Black Phoenix to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapBLAENC
AncientBLA ban0%0-137%7-12
Dust2ENC ban52%17-1636%4-7
CacheBLA pick70%7-357%4-3
NukeENC pick53%9-863%15-9
AnubisBLA ban8%1-1256%10-8
InfernoENC ban64%7-450%5-5
Miragedecider37%7-1255%18-15
Each team's usual first ban: Black Phoenix Ancient · ENCE Dust2.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Black Phoenix

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i17/48 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 48 maps they won, 17 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs WalczakiCachefrom 7 downvs CYBERSHOKECachefrom 7 downvs EnjoyMiragefrom 5 downvs ButterflyDust2from 4 downvs LavkedMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/56 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 19 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs INOX DivisionNukeled 9 · lost 4-13vs LavkedMirageled 8 · lost 13-16vs Just PlayersMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 7 · lost 8-13vs ButterflyNukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WalczakiCachefrom 7 down · won 25-23
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs INOX DivisionNukeled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5.1 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs LavkedMirage16-13vs WalczakiCache25-23vs ex-RUSTECInferno14-16vs BBLInferno16-13vs LavkedMirage13-16

ENCE

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/67 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 67 maps they won, 21 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs EntropyAncientfrom 7 downvs eLITenergyNukefrom 5 downvs fnaticAncientfrom 5 downvs 100 ThievesAnubisfrom 5 downvs AllianceOverpassfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i24/64 (38%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 64 maps they lost, 24 (38%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs fnaticOverpassled 10 · lost 14-16vs WBTNukeled 8 · lost 8-13vs illwillMirageled 7 · lost 13-16vs illwillAnubisled 6 · lost 9-13vs JiJieHaoOverpassled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs EntropyAncientfrom 7 down · won 16-14
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs fnaticOverpassled 10 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 15Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 15 went to overtime.vs PARIVISIONAnubis20-22vs fnaticAncient19-17vs illwillMirage13-16vs CYBERSHOKEDust213-16vs fnaticOverpass14-16

Black Phoenix vs ENCE FAQ

Who is favored to win Black Phoenix vs ENCE?

Black Phoenix are favored with a 52% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Black Phoenix vs ENCE?

Bookmakers price Black Phoenix at 1.99 and ENCE at 1.7 (implied 46% vs 54%).

When do Black Phoenix and ENCE play?

Black Phoenix vs ENCE is scheduled for 2026-09-16 08:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 9.