Matches / Upcoming / ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus
ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9
ex-RUSTEC
World #67 · 28-17
VS
2026-09-16 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
Nexus
World #142 · 15-19
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
68%32%
58%
1.562.18Market · 2 books
42%The call
ex-RUSTEC are favoured: our model gives them 68% against Nexus. Bookmakers lean ex-RUSTEC at 58%. Strength slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, record slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, form clearly favours ex-RUSTEC, firepower slightly favours ex-RUSTEC.
Likely mapsDust2 · Anubis · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsex-RUSTEC · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yiksrezo★ | 1.21 | 82.7 | 74.6% | 68% | 1.24 |
| youka | 1.27 | 73.8 | 72.8% | 36% | 1.21 |
| KIRO | 1.07 | 76.6 | 79% | 60% | 1.18 |
| jakekeS | 0.93 | 69.9 | 73% | 56% | 1.03 |
| Brilliance | 0.85 | 70.2 | 69.5% | 56% | 0.99 |
Nexus · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
ex-RUSTEC
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Bushido Wildcats#760-23-5
ex-RUSTEC vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 13LNuke8-13Dust219-22
UNiTY#922-11-2
ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY
Jul 28WDust213-6Inferno8-13Mirage13-8Nexus vs UNiTY
Aug 9LAncient13-6Mirage11-13Cache14-16
G2 Ares#1034-00-2
Nexus vs G2 Ares
Aug 17LAnubis11-13Inferno15-19EX-ex-RUBY#1040-21-2
ex-RUSTEC vs ex-RUBY
Jul 27LCache9-13Nuke12-16Nexus vs ex-RUBY
Feb 16LAncient9-13Mirage13-4Dust23-13
Noir Verse#1462-12-0
ex-RUSTEC vs Noir Verse
Aug 17WCache13-16Anubis13-9Nexus vs Noir Verse
Jun 14WMirage13-3Overpass13-6Map lab
ex-RUSTEC71%to win the Bo3 · most likely ex-RUSTEC 2-0
If the veto goes
ex-RUSTEC 71%how the series ends29% Nexus
51%2-08%
20%2-121%
ex-RUSTEC72%18-12vsNexus28%4-8
60%Win33%
55%CT41%
51%T47%
48%Pistol63%
76%Conv80%
ex-RUSTEC71%14-7vsNexus29%6-8
67%Win43%
50%CT49%
59%T55%
57%Pistol46%
96%Conv100%
ex-RUSTEC49%5-6vsNexus51%1-1
45%Win50%
54%CT54%
52%T60%
55%Pistol100%
92%Conv75%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
ex-RUSTECDust2Nexus
55%CT side41%
51%T side47%
48%Pistol63%
76%After win80%
19%After loss0%
ex-RUSTECAnubisNexus
50%CT side49%
59%T side55%
57%Pistol46%
96%After win100%
28%After loss27%
ex-RUSTECCacheNexus
54%CT side54%
52%T side60%
55%Pistol100%
92%After win75%
30%After loss–
Pistol rounds52% · 57% · Nexus win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol86% · 88% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol24% · 17% · ex-RUSTEC fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, ex-RUSTEC vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapEX-NEX
AncientEX- bann/a0g38%5-8
ex-RUSTEC on Ancient
no recent maps
NukeNEX ban45%9-110%0-1
Dust2EX- pick60%18-1233%4-8
AnubisNEX pick67%14-743%6-8
InfernoEX- ban42%5-762%8-5
MirageNEX ban64%7-450%4-4
Cachedecider45%5-650%1-1
Each team's usual first ban: ex-RUSTEC Ancient · Nexus Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
ex-RUSTEC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i16/58 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 58 maps they won, 16 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs FortressNukefrom 8 downvs ex-MANANukefrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersAnubisfrom 5 downvs EntropyDust2from 5 downvs WalczakiCachefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/47 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 47 maps they lost, 14 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs Noir VerseCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs MisaInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedMirageled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs FortressNukefrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs Just PlayersMirage16-14vs ex-RUBYNuke12-16vs ButterflyNuke16-14vs INOX DivisionNuke13-16
Nexus
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i6/32 (19%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 32 maps they won, 6 (19%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 19% of their wins were comebacks, not 19% of all games.vs PUREInfernofrom 5 downvs AllianceAnubisfrom 5 downvs PUREAnubisfrom 4 downvs GamersLabDust2from 4 downvs AllianceInfernofrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/39 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 39 maps they lost, 13 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PUREMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs kONODust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs Inner CircleAncientled 5 · lost 14-16vs Bushido WildcatsDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs kONOOverpassled 4 · lost 7-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PUREInfernofrom 5 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PUREMirageled 7 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.9 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi27% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT27% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAncient15-19vs AllianceInferno16-14vs aimclubInferno16-14vs Inner CircleAncient14-16vs PUREMirage12-16
ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus FAQ
Who is favored to win ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus?
ex-RUSTEC are favored with a 68% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus?
Bookmakers price ex-RUSTEC at 1.56 and Nexus at 2.18 (implied 58% vs 42%).
When do ex-RUSTEC and Nexus play?
ex-RUSTEC vs Nexus is scheduled for 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 9.