Matches / Upcoming / Black Phoenix vs Lavked

Black Phoenix vs Lavked: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9

Black Phoenix
World #89 · 23-23
VS
2026-09-18 11:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
Lavked
World #105 · 57-44
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
49%
Win probability
51%
The call

Too close to call. Our model has it 49–51. No odds yet. Form slightly favours Lavked, firepower clearly favours Lavked, head-to-head slightly favours Lavked.

Likely mapsDust2 · Mirage · Nuke

Firepower

roster ratings

Black Phoenix · avg 1.03 · star gap +0.04iStar gap: the best player rates 0.04 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
karnez0.9777.469.2%67%1.07
MRcreed0.9167.665.6%62%1.06
4X1s0.8773.468.6%54%1.02
topo1.0766.370%33%1.02
Salazar0.8466.668.3%51%0.96

Lavked · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
azukay1.0874.574%60%1.15
xm1nd1.1772.772.5%37%1.12
k4nfuz1.016973%66%1.1
1NVISIBLEE0.9180.568.2%58%1.07
sol0.9167.271.8%52%1.01

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

Lavked64%to win the Bo3 · most likely Lavked 2-0
If the veto goes
Black Phoenix 36%how the series ends64% Lavked
15%2-036%
21%2-128%
Map 1Dust2Black Phoenix pick
Black Phoenix48%17-16vsLavked52%23-20
52%Win53%
54%CT52%
50%T52%
48%Pistol51%
91%Conv82%
Map 2MirageLavked pick
Black Phoenix32%7-12vsLavked68%39-29
37%Win57%
48%CT56%
46%T47%
47%Pistol48%
83%Conv77%
Map 3Nukedecider
Black Phoenix43%9-8vsLavked57%30-20
53%Win60%
60%CT57%
39%T47%
44%Pistol47%
93%Conv85%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Black PhoenixDust2Lavked
54%CT side52%
50%T side52%
48%Pistol51%
91%After win82%
15%After loss19%
Black PhoenixMirageLavked
48%CT side56%
46%T side47%
47%Pistol48%
83%After win77%
15%After loss14%
Black PhoenixNukeLavked
60%CT side57%
39%T side47%
44%Pistol47%
93%After win85%
5%After loss17%
Pistol rounds47% · 48% · level, no edge
After a won pistol89% · 81% · Black Phoenix keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol12% · 16% · Lavked fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Black Phoenix vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Lavked habitually bans Inferno, Black Phoenix's strongest maps (Inferno, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Inferno 61/102), not an opponent read, so expect Black Phoenix to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapBLALAV
AncientBLA ban0%0-163%22-13
InfernoLAV ban64%7-425%4-12
Dust2BLA pick52%17-1653%23-20
MirageLAV pick37%7-1257%39-29
AnubisBLA ban14%2-1247%9-10
CacheLAV ban73%8-30%0-1
Nukedecider53%9-860%30-20
Each team's usual first ban: Black Phoenix Ancient · Lavked Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Black Phoenix

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i18/50 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 50 maps they won, 18 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs WalczakiCachefrom 7 downvs CYBERSHOKECachefrom 7 downvs EnjoyMiragefrom 5 downvs ButterflyDust2from 4 downvs LavkedMiragefrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/56 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 19 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs INOX DivisionNukeled 9 · lost 4-13vs LavkedMirageled 8 · lost 13-16vs Just PlayersMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs CYBERSHOKEDust2led 7 · lost 8-13vs ButterflyNukeled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs WalczakiCachefrom 7 down · won 25-23
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs INOX DivisionNukeled 9 · lost 4-13
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 6Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 6 went to overtime.vs LavkedMirage16-13vs WalczakiCache25-23vs ex-RUSTECInferno14-16vs BBLInferno16-13vs LavkedMirage13-16

Lavked

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i47/130 (36%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 130 maps they won, 47 (36%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 36% of their wins were comebacks, not 36% of all games.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 downvs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 8 downvs ex-RUBYNukefrom 7 downvs OLDBOYS PLMiragefrom 7 downvs UNiTYMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i29/110 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 110 maps they lost, 29 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16vs ARCREDMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs UNiTYMirageled 8 · lost 7-13vs SPARTAInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs fnaticMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 29Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 29 went to overtime.vs ex-RUBYAncient16-14vs ESCAncient13-16vs PhantomMirage16-14vs K27Dust212-16vs QUAZARNuke12-16

Black Phoenix vs Lavked FAQ

Who is favored to win Black Phoenix vs Lavked?

Lavked are favored with a 51% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Black Phoenix vs Lavked?

Match odds for Black Phoenix vs Lavked aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Black Phoenix and Lavked play?

Black Phoenix vs Lavked is scheduled for 2026-09-18 11:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 9.