Matches / Upcoming / Leo vs ex-RUSTEC
Leo vs ex-RUSTEC: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · CCT 2026 Europe Series 9
Leo
World #122 · 47-48
VS
2026-09-22 17:00 UTC
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
ex-RUSTEC
World #67 · 32-20
CCT 2026 Europe Series 9 · Best of 3
40%60%
40%
2.321.52Market · 2 books
60%The call
ex-RUSTEC are favoured: our model gives them 60% against Leo. Bookmakers lean ex-RUSTEC at 60%. Strength slightly favours ex-RUSTEC, firepower clearly favours ex-RUSTEC, head-to-head slightly favours ex-RUSTEC.
Likely mapsDust2 · Anubis · Nuke
Firepower
roster ratingsLeo · avg 1.08 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
ex-RUSTEC · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yiksrezo★ | 1.14 | 80.4 | 73.2% | 68% | 1.21 |
| youka | 1.26 | 74 | 72.1% | 36% | 1.2 |
| shalfey | 1.1 | 76.3 | 74.1% | 61% | 1.15 |
| Brilliance | 0.87 | 71.4 | 69.4% | 56% | 1 |
| jakekeS | 0.91 | 68.1 | 73.3% | 55% | 1 |
Recent form
Leo
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
GenOne#562-51-6
Butterfly#740-21-2
Leo vs Butterfly
Aug 27LCache10-13Ancient7-13ex-RUSTEC vs Butterfly
Aug 5LCache10-13Nuke16-14Dust210-13
Bushido Wildcats#767-40-2
Leo vs Bushido Wildcats
Sep 15WDust214-16Nuke13-9Cache13-11Aug 20WNuke13-9Mirage3-13Dust213-2Aug 4LNuke6-13Dust213-7Anubis1-13+1 earlier meeting
ex-RUSTEC vs Bushido Wildcats
Aug 13LNuke8-13Dust219-22
BET-M#770-20-2
Leo vs BET-M
Sep 15Lseries0-2ex-RUSTEC vs BET-M
Aug 7LNuke14-16Anubis3-13
WW#810-42-0
ex-RUSTEC vs WW
Aug 6WAnubis13-9Dust216-12
ex-Zero Tenacity#822-20-2
ex-RUSTEC vs ex-Zero Tenacity
Aug 18LCache5-13Mirage8-13
UNiTY#924-22-1
ex-RUSTEC vs UNiTY
Jul 28WDust213-6Inferno8-13Mirage13-8
Rune Eaters#971-22-1
Leo vs Rune Eaters
Mar 17LOverpass13-5Anubis11-13Dust26-13ex-RUSTEC vs Rune Eaters
Jul 25WNuke6-13Mirage13-10Dust213-9Map lab
ex-RUSTEC62%to win the Bo3 · most likely ex-RUSTEC 2-0
If the veto goes
Leo 38%how the series ends62% ex-RUSTEC
8%2-046%
30%2-116%
Leo44%36-29vsex-RUSTEC56%21-13
55%Win62%
51%CT57%
53%T50%
50%Pistol49%
80%Conv79%
Leo18%12-26vsex-RUSTEC82%16-7
32%Win70%
42%CT52%
47%T57%
45%Pistol59%
79%Conv93%
Leo65%25-15vsex-RUSTEC35%12-14
63%Win46%
59%CT54%
49%T44%
55%Pistol52%
82%Conv81%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
LeoDust2ex-RUSTEC
51%CT side57%
53%T side50%
50%Pistol49%
80%After win79%
17%After loss17%
LeoAnubisex-RUSTEC
42%CT side52%
47%T side57%
45%Pistol59%
79%After win93%
17%After loss26%
LeoNukeex-RUSTEC
59%CT side54%
49%T side44%
55%Pistol52%
82%After win81%
14%After loss8%
Pistol rounds50% · 52% · level, no edge
After a won pistol80% · 84% · ex-RUSTEC keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol16% · 16% · both bounce back about the same
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Leo vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapLEOEX-
MirageLEO ban46%6-747%7-8
AncientEX- ban45%18-22n/a0g
Leo on Ancient
LUNiTY14–16todayLLavked2–1314d agoW
The Last Resort13–618d agoL
Phantom0–1324d agoLButterfly7–1325d agoWGenOne13–628d agoL
HAVU8–131mo agoL
SPARTA9–131mo agoex-RUSTEC on Ancient
no recent maps
Dust2LEO pick55%36-2962%21-13
AnubisEX- pick32%12-2670%16-7
InfernoLEO ban46%6-746%6-7
CacheEX- ban43%3-446%6-7
Each team's usual first ban: Leo Mirage · ex-RUSTEC Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Leo
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i29/109 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 109 maps they won, 29 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs PhantomNukefrom 7 downvs Lazer CatsInfernofrom 6 downvs QWENTRYDust2from 6 downvs ASTRALDust2from 5 downvs AimhausDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i34/112 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 112 maps they lost, 34 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs UNiTYAncientled 7 · lost 14-16vs Lazer CatsInfernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs WWAnubisled 6 · lost 14-16vs UrsaAnubisled 6 · lost 10-13vs PhantomAnubisled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PhantomNukefrom 7 down · won 13-10
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs UNiTYAncientled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi29% · 24Close maps (≤3) · OT29% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 24 went to overtime.vs Lazer CatsAnubis14-16vs WWNuke17-19vs WWAnubis14-16vs BIGAnubis14-16vs Bushido WildcatsNuke19-16
ex-RUSTEC
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i21/68 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 68 maps they won, 21 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs NAVI JuniorDust2from 10 downvs FortressNukefrom 8 downvs NexusDust2from 6 downvs ex-MANANukefrom 5 downvs SAW YoungstersAnubisfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i18/56 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 56 maps they lost, 18 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SPARTACacheled 6 · lost 11-13vs Noir VerseCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs MisaInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs LavkedMirageled 4 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NAVI JuniorDust2from 10 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BET-MNukeled 7 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs GenOneDust214-16vs Just PlayersMirage16-14vs ex-RUBYNuke12-16vs ButterflyNuke16-14vs INOX DivisionNuke13-16
Leo vs ex-RUSTEC FAQ
Who is favored to win Leo vs ex-RUSTEC?
ex-RUSTEC are favored with a 60% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Leo vs ex-RUSTEC?
Bookmakers price Leo at 2.32 and ex-RUSTEC at 1.52 (implied 40% vs 60%).
When do Leo and ex-RUSTEC play?
Leo vs ex-RUSTEC is scheduled for 2026-09-22 17:00 UTC at CCT 2026 Europe Series 9.