Matches / Upcoming / BBL vs Liquid
BBL vs Liquid: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Logitech G Play Connect 2026
BBL
World #54 · 4-4
VS
2026-09-18 14:00 UTC
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
Liquid
World #22 · 26-27
Logitech G Play Connect 2026 · Best of 3
36%64%
26%
3.621.25Market · 2 books
74%The call
Liquid are favoured: our model gives them 64% against BBL. Bookmakers lean Liquid at 74%. Strength slightly favours Liquid, firepower clearly favours Liquid.
Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsBBL · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.17iStar gap: the best player rates 0.17 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Liquid · avg 1.11 · star gap +0.03iStar gap: the best player rates 0.03 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
3DMAX#232-12-5
fnatic#421-22-0
BBL vs fnatic
Sep 5LCache11-13Inferno13-9Ancient11-13Liquid vs fnatic
Aug 5WDust213-10Anubis13-5Map lab
Liquid55%to win the Bo3 · most likely Liquid 2-1
If the veto goes
BBL 45%how the series ends55% Liquid
25%2-025%
20%2-130%
BBL48%3-3vsLiquid52%14-13
50%Win52%
56%CT58%
41%T45%
42%Pistol57%
80%Conv81%
BBL52%1-0vsLiquid48%10-7
100%Win59%
75%CT57%
33%T44%
50%Pistol53%
0%Conv78%
BBL39%1-2vsLiquid61%4-2
33%Win67%
47%CT56%
42%T57%
17%Pistol58%
100%Conv86%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
BBLNukeLiquid
56%CT side58%
41%T side45%
42%Pistol57%
80%After win81%
0%After loss26%
BBLMirageLiquid
75%CT side57%
33%T side44%
50%Pistol53%
0%After win78%
0%After loss6%
BBLCacheLiquid
47%CT side56%
42%T side57%
17%Pistol58%
100%After win86%
0%After loss20%
Pistol rounds35% · 56% · Liquid win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol71% · 80% · Liquid keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol0% · 18% · Liquid fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BBL vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBBLLIQ
Dust2BBL bann/a0g30%6-14
BBL on Dust2
no recent maps
AncientLIQ ban50%1-131%5-11
NukeBBL pick50%3-352%14-13
MirageLIQ pick100%1-059%10-7
AnubisBBL ban0%0-157%8-6
InfernoLIQ ban60%3-259%10-7
Cachedecider33%1-267%4-2
Each team's usual first ban: BBL Dust2 · Liquid Overpass.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
BBL
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i5/9 (56%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 9 maps they won, 5 (56%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 56% of their wins were comebacks, not 56% of all games.vs UPGRADEMiragefrom 7 downvs fnaticInfernofrom 4 downvs 3DMAXCachefrom 4 downvs WildcardInfernofrom 4 downvs HOTUNukefrom 3 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i2/9 (22%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 9 maps they lost, 2 (22%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs HOTUAnubisled 4 · lost 13-16vs 100 ThievesInfernoled 3 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs UPGRADEMiragefrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni4 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs HOTUAnubisled 4 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi44% · 4Close maps (≤3) · OT44% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 4 went to overtime.vs Black PhoenixInferno13-16vs 3DMAXCache16-13vs WildcardInferno16-12vs HOTUAnubis13-16
Liquid
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i13/57 (23%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 57 maps they won, 13 (23%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 23% of their wins were comebacks, not 23% of all games.vs The MongolZMiragefrom 6 downvs M80Miragefrom 5 downvs Ninjas in PyjamasMiragefrom 4 downvs Inner CircleMiragefrom 4 downvs VitalityAnubisfrom 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/60 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 60 maps they lost, 15 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs OGAncientled 7 · lost 8-13vs 3DMAXNukeled 7 · lost 14-16vs SashiNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs PARIVISIONDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs G2Mirageled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 6 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs The MongolZMiragefrom 6 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs OGAncientled 7 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs Ninjas in PyjamasAncient16-13vs FalconsNuke14-16vs G2Anubis14-16vs Passion UANuke15-19vs M80Mirage16-13
BBL vs Liquid FAQ
Who is favored to win BBL vs Liquid?
Liquid are favored with a 64% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for BBL vs Liquid?
Bookmakers price BBL at 3.62 and Liquid at 1.25 (implied 26% vs 74%).
When do BBL and Liquid play?
BBL vs Liquid is scheduled for 2026-09-18 14:00 UTC at Logitech G Play Connect 2026.