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Matches / Upcoming / Lavked vs Saint Sinners

Lavked vs Saint Sinners: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · European Pro League Series 9

Lavked
World #105 · 56-43
VS
2026-09-16 08:00 UTC
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
Saint Sinners
World # · 1-4
European Pro League Series 9 · Best of 3
67%
Win probability
33%
66%
1.392.65Market · 2 booksBookmakerLAVSAIGGBet1.392.65Sweatbet 1.392.65
34%
The call

Lavked are favoured: our model gives them 67% against Saint Sinners. Bookmakers lean Lavked at 66%. Strength slightly favours Lavked, record clearly favours Lavked, form slightly favours Lavked, firepower clearly favours Lavked.

Likely mapsMirage · Dust2 · Nuke

Firepower

roster ratings

Lavked · avg 1.19 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
takanashi1.1182.574%61%1.34
Djon81.1482.672.5%60%1.21
yuramyata1.473.477%39%1.19
azukay1.1176.174%61%1.16
Yakuza175.174.2%60%1.14
xm1nd1.1772.672.5%37%1.12

Saint Sinners · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.21iStar gap: the best player rates 0.21 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
Rodos1k1.1485.181.5%61%1.25
Caleyy0.9680.166.7%67%1.06
pavlysha6660.8774.571.5%49%1.06
halfjix0.969.663.5%52%0.97
deb00.86364.1%63%0.87

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
No prior meetings or shared opponents in the sampled window.

Map lab

Lavked54%to win the Bo3 · most likely Lavked 2-0
If the veto goes
Lavked 54%how the series ends46% Saint Sinners
29%2-021%
25%2-125%
Map 1MirageLavked pick
Lavked60%39-29vsSaint Sinners40%0-2
57%Win0%
56%CT18%
47%T50%
48%Pistol50%
77%Conv50%
Map 2Dust2Saint Sinners pick
Lavked48%22-20vsSaint Sinners52%1-0
52%Win100%
52%CT90%
52%T33%
50%Pistol50%
81%Conv100%
Map 3Nukedecider
Lavked50%30-20vsSaint Sinners50%2-1
60%Win67%
57%CT56%
47%T52%
47%Pistol50%
85%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

LavkedMirageSaint Sinners
56%CT side18%
47%T side50%
48%Pistol50%
77%After win50%
14%After loss0%
LavkedDust2Saint Sinners
52%CT side90%
52%T side33%
50%Pistol50%
81%After win100%
19%After loss0%
LavkedNukeSaint Sinners
57%CT side56%
47%T side52%
47%Pistol50%
85%After win100%
17%After loss0%
Pistol rounds48% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol80% · 83% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol16% · 0% · Lavked fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Lavked vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Saint Sinners habitually bans Ancient, Lavked's strongest maps (Ancient, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 3/5), not an opponent read, so expect Lavked to fight the veto for Mirage.
MapLAVSAI
InfernoLAV ban20%3-120%0-1
AncientSAI ban65%22-120%0-1
MirageLAV pick57%39-290%0-2
Dust2SAI pick52%22-20100%1-0
AnubisLAV ban47%8-9n/a0g
CacheSAI ban0%0-10%0-1
Saint Sinners on Cache
LSpirit Academy4137d ago
Nukedecider60%30-2067%2-1
Each team's usual first ban: Lavked Inferno · Saint Sinners Cache.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Lavked

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i45/127 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 127 maps they won, 45 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 downvs Black PhoenixMiragefrom 8 downvs ex-RUBYNukefrom 7 downvs OLDBOYS PLMiragefrom 7 downvs UNiTYMiragefrom 7 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i28/108 (26%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 108 maps they lost, 28 (26%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16vs ARCREDMirageled 8 · lost 10-13vs UNiTYMirageled 8 · lost 7-13vs SPARTAInfernoled 6 · lost 12-16vs fnaticMirageled 6 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ASTRALDust2from 8 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2 AresOverpassled 10 · lost 13-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi32% · 29Close maps (≤3) · OT32% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 29 went to overtime.vs ex-RUBYAncient16-14vs ESCAncient13-16vs PhantomMirage16-14vs K27Dust212-16vs QUAZARNuke12-16

Saint Sinners

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i2/3 (67%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 3 maps they won, 2 (67%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 67% of their wins were comebacks, not 67% of all games.vs PermittaNukefrom 5 downvs PermittaDust2from 4 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i4/6 (67%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 6 maps they lost, 4 (67%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Spirit AcademyNukeled 5 · lost 14-16vs Spirit AcademyMirageled 5 · lost 7-13vs Spirit AcademyCacheled 3 · lost 4-13vs mellrenInfernoled 3 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 5 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs PermittaNukefrom 5 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni5 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Spirit AcademyNukeled 5 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini4.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi33% · 2Close maps (≤3) · OT33% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 2 went to overtime.vs Spirit AcademyNuke14-16vs mellrenNuke22-20

Lavked vs Saint Sinners FAQ

Who is favored to win Lavked vs Saint Sinners?

Lavked are favored with a 67% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Lavked vs Saint Sinners?

Bookmakers price Lavked at 1.39 and Saint Sinners at 2.65 (implied 66% vs 34%).

When do Lavked and Saint Sinners play?

Lavked vs Saint Sinners is scheduled for 2026-09-16 08:00 UTC at European Pro League Series 9.

Lavked vs Saint Sinners Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER