Matches / Upcoming / Vitality vs FURIA
Vitality vs FURIA: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026
Vitality
World #5 · 42-11
VS
2026-09-18 17:30 UTC
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★★★
FURIA
World #4 · 35-24
StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 · Best of 3 · ★★★★
73%27%
68%
1.393Market · 26 books
32%The call · high confidence
Vitality are favoured: our model gives them 73% against FURIA. Bookmakers lean Vitality at 68%. Strength slightly favours Vitality, record clearly favours Vitality, firepower slightly favours Vitality, head-to-head clearly favours Vitality.
Likely mapsDust2 · Inferno · Nuke
Firepower
roster ratingsVitality · avg 1.18 · star gap +0.25iStar gap: the best player rates 0.25 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
FURIA · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.11iStar gap: the best player rates 0.11 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents14d ago
Vitality2 : 1 FURIA!5mo ago Vitality2 : 0 FURIA◆ same lineup7mo ago Vitality3 : 1 FURIA◆ same lineup
Vitality2 : 1 FURIA!⚠ Different lineup
Vitality
outjL
inmezii
Vitality2 : 0 FURIA◆ same lineup7mo ago Vitality3 : 1 FURIA◆ same lineup
Spirit#14-23-5
Falcons#23-63-11
MOUZ#36-34-1
Vitality vs MOUZ
Sep 5LDust211-13Mirage7-13Jun 13WMirage13-9Dust27-13Inferno13-4Feb 16WDust213-5Inferno13-8+1 earlier meeting
Legacy#62-11-4
Vitality vs Legacy
Aug 30WNuke16-14Mirage9-13Dust213-8
FUT#76-25-6
G2#86-32-3
Aurora#96-06-3
Vitality vs Aurora
Mar 28WInferno13-5Nuke13-5Feb 20WInferno13-8Overpass13-10Feb 3WAncient25-22Overpass13-7FURIA vs Aurora
Aug 19WAncient13-11Nuke14-16Mirage13-9Jun 20WDust213-9Nuke13-4Mar 20LDust214-16Inferno6-13+1 earlier meeting
Natus Vincere#109-24-2
Vitality vs Natus Vincere
May 16LDust213-11Anubis11-13Inferno3-13May 3WNuke16-12Anubis13-11Dust213-3Apr 17WMirage13-4Dust213-6+1 earlier meeting
Map lab
Vitality81%to win the Bo3 · most likely Vitality 2-0
If the veto goes
Vitality 81%how the series ends19% FURIA
53%2-07%
27%2-112%
Vitality74%26-6vsFURIA26%19-14
81%Win58%
63%CT52%
61%T55%
52%Pistol52%
82%Conv85%
Vitality72%14-4vsFURIA28%12-10
78%Win55%
61%CT56%
51%T47%
53%Pistol55%
79%Conv71%
Vitality69%16-4vsFURIA31%14-9
80%Win61%
74%CT58%
40%T52%
60%Pistol48%
79%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
VitalityDust2FURIA
63%CT side52%
61%T side55%
52%Pistol52%
82%After win85%
39%After loss9%
VitalityInfernoFURIA
61%CT side56%
51%T side47%
53%Pistol55%
79%After win71%
41%After loss15%
VitalityNukeFURIA
74%CT side58%
40%T side52%
60%Pistol48%
79%After win100%
50%After loss13%
Pistol rounds54% · 51% · Vitality win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol80% · 85% · FURIA keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol42% · 12% · Vitality fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Vitality vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
FURIA habitually bans Ancient, Vitality's strongest maps (Overpass, Dust2, Inferno, Mirage, Ancient, Nuke, Cache all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Ancient 45/59), not an opponent read, so expect Vitality to fight the veto for Dust2.
MapVITFUR
AncientVIT ban100%2-044%4-5
AnubisFUR ban46%6-743%3-4
Dust2VIT pick81%26-658%19-14
InfernoFUR pick78%14-455%12-10
MirageVIT ban61%14-956%20-16
CacheFUR ban67%2-143%3-4
Nukedecider80%16-461%14-9
Each team's usual first ban: Vitality Ancient · FURIA Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Vitality
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/95 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 95 maps they won, 28 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs Lynn VisionDust2from 12 downvs Natus VincereNukefrom 11 downvs LegacyNukefrom 8 downvs 9zNukefrom 7 downvs FURIAOverpassfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i14/32 (44%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 32 maps they lost, 14 (44%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FURIAMirageled 7 · lost 11-13vs FalconsMirageled 6 · lost 10-13vs B8Infernoled 6 · lost 11-13vs Inner CircleCacheled 6 · lost 13-16vs LegacyMirageled 5 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Lynn VisionDust2from 12 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FURIAMirageled 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi37% · 17Close maps (≤3) · OT37% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 17 went to overtime.vs EYEBALLERSAnubis19-16vs AuroraAncient25-22vs The MongolZMirage16-13vs PARIVISIONInferno16-13vs The MongolZOverpass16-13
FURIA
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i22/83 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 83 maps they won, 22 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs G2Ancientfrom 10 downvs VitalityMiragefrom 7 downvs The MongolZDust2from 7 downvs Natus VincereNukefrom 7 downvs AuroraMiragefrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i23/69 (33%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 69 maps they lost, 23 (33%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs G2Anubisled 10 · lost 3-13vs AuroraDust2led 6 · lost 14-16vs FalconsNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs VitalityOverpassled 6 · lost 10-13vs SpiritMirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 10 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs G2Ancientfrom 10 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni10 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs G2Anubisled 10 · lost 3-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi34% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT34% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs The MongolZInferno16-12vs SpiritMirage16-13vs FUTOverpass22-18vs FalconsMirage16-14vs PARIVISIONDust216-14
Vitality vs FURIA FAQ
Who is favored to win Vitality vs FURIA?
Vitality are favored with a 73% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Vitality vs FURIA?
Bookmakers price Vitality at 1.39 and FURIA at 3 (implied 68% vs 32%).
When do Vitality and FURIA play?
Vitality vs FURIA is scheduled for 2026-09-18 17:30 UTC at StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026.