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Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Circuit X Curitiba Season 3

Fluxo
World #61 · 41-35
VS
2026-09-19 18:00 UTC
Circuit X Curitiba Season 3 · Best of 3
Bounty Hunters
World #138 · 53-45
Circuit X Curitiba Season 3 · Best of 3
71%
Win probability
29%
67%
1.372.84Market · 4 booksBookmakerFLUBOUbetovo1.362.8scored1.362.8GGBet1.382.89Sweatbet 1.382.89
33%
The call · high confidence

Fluxo are favoured: our model gives them 71% against Bounty Hunters. Bookmakers lean Fluxo at 67%. Strength slightly favours Fluxo, firepower clearly favours Fluxo, head-to-head slightly favours Fluxo.

Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

Fluxo · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.1iStar gap: the best player rates 0.1 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
dav1deuS★1.1184.174%60%1.22
exit1.173.576.3%52%1.14
kye1.0672.973%61%1.1
Ltz0.9971.872.5%59%1.08
zevy1.1168.772.9%36%1.07

Bounty Hunters · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
pepe★1.0777.973.4%59%1.16
zock1.0375.772.1%50%1.11
KAISER1.1168.973.7%40%1.1
ponter0.9770.771.3%57%1.06
urban00.9575.870.1%61%1.03

Recent form

Fluxo

paiN1d ago2-1EHISTO BASEPistolsPist4/4ComebackCB72d ago2-0ShindeN2d ago1-2DENDELEStompStomp2-13OvertimeOT7d ago1-3ImperialUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT7d ago2-0ShindeN7d ago2-1Back to Back8d ago2-1DENDELE9d ago1-2ShindeNStompStomp1-1310d ago2-1Back to BackPistolsPist4/415d ago2-0ShindeNStompStomp1-1320d ago1-2ex-MIBR Academy20d ago2-1GalorysUpsetUpsetBlew leadBL622d ago0-2Keyd StarsComebackCB8OvertimeOT24d ago2-0PEAKStompStomp13-225d ago2-0

Bounty Hunters

GalorysPistolsPist3/41d ago2-1Yawara2d ago2-1Imperial2d ago1-2YawaraPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT2d ago2-0Back to BackStompStomp2-1312d ago0-2RED Canids AcademyPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-212d ago2-1GalorysStompStomp2-1313d ago0-2ImperialUpsetUpset13d ago2-1YawaraPistolsPist3/414d ago2-0Imperial14d ago0-2QUINTESSÊNCIAStompStomp2-1314d ago2-1MEIA NOITEPistolsPist3/416d ago2-0Turma do PagodeBlew leadBL823d ago0-2Galorys24d ago0-2MEIA NOITEPistolsPist3/425d ago2-0

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
2mo ago Fluxo2 : 1 Bounty Hunters!
⚠ Different lineup
Bounty Hunters
outfREQ
inurban0
2mo ago Fluxo2 : 0 Bounty Hunters!
⚠ Different lineup
Bounty Hunters
outfREQ
inurban0
2mo ago Fluxo1 : 2 Bounty Hunters!
⚠ Different lineup
Bounty Hunters
outfREQ
inurban0
6mo ago Fluxo2 : 1 Bounty Hunters!
⚠ Different lineup
Fluxo
outLucaozy, mlhzin
inLtz, dav1deuS
Bounty Hunters
outfREQ
inurban0
9z#141-20-2
Fluxo vs 9z
Feb 28LDust213-11Inferno7-13Nuke10-13
Bounty Hunters vs 9z
Feb 14LDust27-13Ancient10-13
MIBR#180-20-4
Fluxo vs MIBR
Jul 28LNuke10-13Inferno8-13
Bounty Hunters vs MIBR
Feb 28LMirage2-13Anubis16-19Feb 18LNuke4-13Ancient8-13
paiN#272-31-2
Fluxo vs paiN
Sep 18WAnubis13-10Mirage10-13Inferno13-5Apr 4LMirage5-13Nuke2-13
Bounty Hunters vs paiN
Mar 27LMirage13-11Nuke4-13Dust28-13
Imperial#6210-611-14
Fluxo vs Imperial
Sep 12WAnubis13-11Inferno16-14Jul 31WDust25-13Inferno13-9Nuke13-8Jul 20WNuke17-19Cache16-13Dust219-17Mirage3-13Anubis13-11
+2 earlier meetings
Bounty Hunters vs Imperial
Sep 17LMirage6-13Cache13-8Nuke4-13Sep 6WMirage10-13Nuke13-11Dust213-8Sep 5LCache6-13Dust210-13
+6 earlier meetings
ShindeN#8010-106-2
Fluxo vs ShindeN
Sep 17LInferno8-13Mirage13-8Nuke11-13Sep 12WMirage13-5Inferno10-13Cache13-3Sep 9WNuke1-13Cache13-11Mirage13-6
+5 earlier meetings
Bounty Hunters vs ShindeN
Jul 16WNuke13-5Mirage13-10May 1WAncient6-13Mirage13-5Nuke13-6Apr 2WMirage10-13Nuke13-4Dust213-9
BESTIA#900-61-2
Fluxo vs BESTIA
Aug 1LNuke12-16Dust29-13Jul 10LNuke8-13Dust217-19May 30LDust28-13Inferno3-13
Bounty Hunters vs BESTIA
May 29LDust213-5Nuke2-13Mirage4-13
Galorys#950-69-9
Fluxo vs Galorys
Aug 28LAnubis9-13Nuke7-13May 31LAnubis10-13Ancient8-13Apr 26LAncient9-13Dust219-22
Bounty Hunters vs Galorys
Sep 18WCache10-13Ancient13-11Sep 6LNuke2-13Ancient4-13Aug 26LCache8-13Ancient10-13
+5 earlier meetings
LP#1015-35-5
Fluxo vs LP
May 1LAncient11-13Dust213-5Nuke8-13Apr 3WInferno13-4Dust213-7Apr 2WInferno11-13Dust213-8Nuke13-9
Bounty Hunters vs LP
Jul 28LNuke13-5Ancient10-13Cache10-13May 24WMirage13-6Overpass13-10Mar 4WDust26-13Ancient13-8Mirage13-9
+1 earlier meeting

Map lab

Bounty Hunters56%to win the Bo3 · most likely Bounty Hunters 2-1
If the veto goes
Fluxo 44%how the series ends56% Bounty Hunters
23%2-027%
21%2-129%
Map 1NukeFluxo pick
Fluxo42%27-24vsBounty Hunters58%30-19
53%Win61%
59%CT60%
46%T46%
55%Pistol50%
79%Conv90%
Map 2MirageBounty Hunters pick
Fluxo54%17-11vsBounty Hunters46%28-22
61%Win56%
62%CT57%
46%T47%
52%Pistol51%
71%Conv76%
Map 3Cachedecider
Fluxo42%5-5vsBounty Hunters58%10-7
50%Win59%
50%CT51%
51%T53%
70%Pistol59%
79%Conv75%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

FluxoNukeBounty Hunters
59%CT side60%
46%T side46%
55%Pistol50%
79%After win90%
15%After loss14%
FluxoMirageBounty Hunters
62%CT side57%
46%T side47%
52%Pistol51%
71%After win76%
15%After loss14%
FluxoCacheBounty Hunters
50%CT side51%
51%T side53%
70%Pistol59%
79%After win75%
17%After loss14%
Pistol rounds56% · 52% · Fluxo win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol77% · 82% · Bounty Hunters keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol15% · 14% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Fluxo vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapFLUBOU
AncientFLU ban18%2-955%24-20
Fluxo on Ancient
LGalorys8–134mo agoLLP11–135mo agoLGalorys9–135mo agoWODDIK13–96mo agoLG26–136mo agoLDASH5–136mo agoWMarsborne13–77mo agoLShindeN9–138mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Ancient
WGalorys13–111d agoWRED Canids Academy13–212d agoLGalorys4–1313d agoLTurma do Pagode11–1323d agoLGalorys10–1324d agoLLP10–132mo agoLKeyd Stars7–132mo agoLKeyd Stars11–132mo ago
InfernoBOU ban54%14-12n/a0g
Fluxo on Inferno
WpaiN13–51d agoLShindeN8–132d agoWImperial16–147d agoLShindeN10–137d agoWShindeN13–520d agoWPEAK13–1025d agoLfnatic10–131mo agoWDUSTY13–111mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Inferno
no recent maps
NukeFLU pick53%27-2461%30-19
Fluxo on Nuke
WEHISTO BASE13–102d agoLShindeN11–132d agoWDENDELE16–137d agoWBack to Back13–88d agoLDENDELE3–139d agoLShindeN1–1310d agoWBack to Back13–415d agoWex-MIBR Academy13–620d ago
Bounty Hunters on Nuke
LImperial4–132d agoLBack to Back2–1312d agoLGalorys2–1313d agoWImperial13–1113d agoLFluxo4–132mo agoWLP13–52mo agoLImperial4–132mo agoLFluxo4–132mo ago
MirageBOU pick61%17-1156%28-22
Fluxo on Mirage
LpaiN10–131d agoWShindeN13–82d agoLDENDELE7–137d agoWShindeN13–57d agoWBack to Back13–108d agoWDENDELE13–69d agoWShindeN13–610d agoWBack to Back13–515d ago
Bounty Hunters on Mirage
WYawara13–72d agoLImperial6–132d agoLImperial10–1313d agoWQUINTESSÊNCIA13–414d agoWMEIA NOITE13–816d agoLTurma do Pagode4–1323d agoWMEIA NOITE13–625d agoLODDIK1–132mo ago
AnubisFLU ban53%10-943%6-8
Fluxo on Anubis
WpaiN13–101d agoLDENDELE2–137d agoWImperial13–117d agoLGalorys9–1322d agoLfnatic10–131mo agoWImperial13–112mo agoLBounty Hunters10–132mo agoLpaiN Academy1–133mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Anubis
LYawara9–132d agoWYawara16–142d agoLImperial11–132mo agoWFluxo13–102mo agoWMIBR Academy13–92mo agoLVEXA9–134mo agoLTurma do Pagode9–134mo agoWMETANOIA Wolves13–45mo ago
Dust2BOU ban56%18-1443%20-27
Fluxo on Dust2
WEHISTO BASE13–12d agoLBack to Back8–138d agoLShindeN1–1320d agoWex-MIBR Academy13–520d agoWDUSTY13–71mo agoLBESTIA9–132mo agoLImperial5–132mo agoLBounty Hunters6–132mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Dust2
LBack to Back10–1312d agoWImperial13–813d agoWYawara13–914d agoLImperial10–1314d agoLQUINTESSÊNCIA2–1314d agoWFluxo13–62mo agoLODDIK8–132mo agoLFluxo13–162mo ago
Cachedecider50%5-559%10-7
Fluxo on Cache
LDENDELE10–137d agoWShindeN13–37d agoLDENDELE5–139d agoWShindeN13–1110d agoLShindeN8–1320d agoWBounty Hunters13–72mo agoLIsurus8–132mo agoWpaiN Academy13–32mo ago
Bounty Hunters on Cache
LGalorys10–131d agoWYawara13–102d agoWImperial13–82d agoWYawara16–132d agoLRED Canids Academy4–1312d agoWYawara13–814d agoLImperial6–1314d agoWQUINTESSÊNCIA13–614d ago
Each team's usual first ban: Fluxo Overpass · Bounty Hunters Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Fluxo

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i25/93 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 93 maps they won, 25 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs Back to BackNukefrom 9 downvs Keyd StarsNukefrom 8 downvs EHISTO BASENukefrom 7 downvs paiN AcademyNukefrom 6 downvs MarsborneAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i21/84 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 84 maps they lost, 21 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs paiN AcademyAnubisled 12 · lost 1-13vs LPInfernoled 7 · lost 11-13vs SharksNukeled 6 · lost 10-13vs GalorysNukeled 6 · lost 7-13vs GameHuntersMirageled 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Back to BackNukefrom 9 down · won 13-4
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs paiN AcademyAnubisled 12 · lost 1-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi26% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT26% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs ShindeNAncient14-16vs ODDIKAncient18-22vs ODDIKDust222-18vs SAWAnubis22-20vs Keyd StarsNuke13-16

Bounty Hunters

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i38/121 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 121 maps they won, 38 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs YawaraNukefrom 8 downvs MIBR AcademyNukefrom 6 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs paiNMiragefrom 5 downvs Keyd StarsMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i34/108 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 108 maps they lost, 34 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 8 · lost 11-13vs LPCacheled 7 · lost 10-13vs MIBRAnubisled 6 · lost 16-19vs MIBR AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs Keyd StarsAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs YawaraNukefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs VascoMirage13-16vs ImperialNuke19-17vs R2Nuke14-16vs YawaraMirage14-16vs CrashersAncient16-14

Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters FAQ

Who is favored to win Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters?

Fluxo are favored with a 71% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters?

Bookmakers price Fluxo at 1.37 and Bounty Hunters at 2.84 (implied 67% vs 33%).

When do Fluxo and Bounty Hunters play?

Fluxo vs Bounty Hunters is scheduled for 2026-09-19 18:00 UTC at Circuit X Curitiba Season 3.