Matches / Upcoming / NRG vs Wildcard
NRG vs Wildcard: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026
NRG
World #50 · 32-22
VS
2026-09-25 17:00 UTC
iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · Best of 3
Wildcard
World #40 · 31-23
iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026 · Best of 3
71%29%
63%
1.472.53Market · 2 books
37%The call · high confidence
NRG are favoured: our model gives them 71% against Wildcard. Bookmakers lean NRG at 63%. Strength slightly favours NRG, form slightly favours NRG, firepower clearly favours NRG.
Likely mapsCache · Mirage · Dust2
Firepower
roster ratingsNRG · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Wildcard · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Recent form
NRG
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
FURIA#41-20-1
NRG vs FURIA
Mar 22LMirage13-10Nuke2-13Dust27-13Wildcard vs FURIA
Aug 12LInferno10-13
B8#164-10-2
Wildcard vs B8
Apr 4LNuke7-13Mirage10-13
M80#260-40-4
EYEBALLERS#490-22-1
NRG vs EYEBALLERS
Apr 6LNuke14-16Mirage6-13Wildcard vs EYEBALLERS
Sep 10WNuke6-13Mirage16-13Cache13-4
Acend#582-12-0
NRG vs Acend
Aug 8WCache13-2Inferno11-13Mirage13-9Wildcard vs Acend
May 23WInferno13-11Dust213-9
Voca#8413-410-9
NRG vs Voca
Sep 11WNuke13-10Cache13-5Aug 3WCache13-7Ancient16-13Aug 2LCache13-1Nuke5-13Ancient8-13+4 earlier meetings
Wildcard vs Voca
May 4LDust28-13Overpass12-16May 2WDust213-4Overpass13-6Apr 25WDust213-9Overpass13-6+4 earlier meetings
LAG#942-05-3
Passion UA3-23-5
Map lab
NRG60%to win the Bo3 · most likely NRG 2-0
If the veto goes
NRG 60%how the series ends40% Wildcard
35%2-017%
25%2-123%
NRG61%9-1vsWildcard39%1-1
90%Win50%
77%CT63%
65%T27%
80%Pistol25%
87%Conv100%
NRG57%18-8vsWildcard43%15-9
69%Win63%
67%CT59%
43%T49%
56%Pistol42%
89%Conv95%
NRG52%9-9vsWildcard48%14-15
50%Win48%
51%CT48%
45%T58%
42%Pistol57%
73%Conv88%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
NRGCacheWildcard
77%CT side63%
65%T side27%
80%Pistol25%
87%After win100%
25%After loss0%
NRGMirageWildcard
67%CT side59%
43%T side49%
56%Pistol42%
89%After win95%
4%After loss18%
NRGDust2Wildcard
51%CT side48%
45%T side58%
42%Pistol57%
73%After win88%
14%After loss32%
Pistol rounds56% · 49% · NRG win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol84% · 91% · Wildcard keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol10% · 23% · Wildcard fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, NRG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapNRGWIL
AnubisNRG ban0%0-260%3-2
AncientWIL ban53%10-9n/a0g
NRG on Ancient
W
Without a Roof13–87d agoL
Phantom7–131mo agoWVoca16–132mo agoLVoca8–132mo agoL
Marsborne6–132mo agoW
NuTorious16–132mo agoLM806–134mo agoW
MOUZ13–104mo agoWildcard on Ancient
no recent maps
CacheNRG pick90%9-150%1-1
MirageWIL pick69%18-863%15-9
NukeNRG ban47%9-1057%12-9
InfernoWIL ban48%11-1250%10-10
Each team's usual first ban: NRG Anubis · Wildcard Ancient.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
NRG
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i24/72 (33%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 72 maps they won, 24 (33%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 33% of their wins were comebacks, not 33% of all games.vs MarsborneDust2from 11 downvs 9INEDust2from 8 downvs MarsborneMiragefrom 6 downvs MarsborneMiragefrom 5 downvs MarsborneOverpassfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/55 (35%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 55 maps they lost, 19 (35%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BIGMirageled 12 · lost 12-16vs MOUZInfernoled 8 · lost 5-13vs VocaMirageled 7 · lost 9-13vs FUTAncientled 7 · lost 13-16vs MarsborneInfernoled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs MarsborneDust2from 11 down · won 13-2
Biggest lead blowni12 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BIGMirageled 12 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs MarsborneMirage22-19vs 9INEDust225-23vs 9INEOverpass14-16vs VocaDust216-14vs MarsborneMirage19-17
Wildcard
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i14/64 (22%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 64 maps they won, 14 (22%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 22% of their wins were comebacks, not 22% of all games.vs BetBoomOverpassfrom 7 downvs Passion UAMiragefrom 6 downvs LAGMiragefrom 6 downvs NemesisInfernofrom 6 downvs FOKUSNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/51 (37%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 51 maps they lost, 19 (37%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs PARIVISIONDust2led 7 · lost 11-13vs K27Dust2led 7 · lost 13-16vs FOKUSDust2led 5 · lost 9-13vs The MongolZDust2led 5 · lost 11-13vs VocaOverpassled 5 · lost 12-16
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs BetBoomOverpassfrom 7 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni7 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs PARIVISIONDust2led 7 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 13Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 13 went to overtime.vs SharksNuke12-16vs LAGInferno16-13vs Fisher CollegeMirage22-19vs FOKUSInferno16-14vs PARIVISIONMirage26-28
NRG vs Wildcard FAQ
Who is favored to win NRG vs Wildcard?
NRG are favored with a 71% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for NRG vs Wildcard?
Bookmakers price NRG at 1.47 and Wildcard at 2.53 (implied 63% vs 37%).
When do NRG and Wildcard play?
NRG vs Wildcard is scheduled for 2026-09-25 17:00 UTC at iBUYPOWER Masters FML 2026.