Matches / Upcoming / Bounty Hunters vs Keyd Stars

Bounty Hunters vs Keyd Stars: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · FERJEE In House Season 2

Bounty Hunters
World #138 · 53-45
VS
2026-09-23 13:00 UTC
FERJEE In House Season 2 · Best of 3
Keyd Stars
World #164 · 44-45
FERJEE In House Season 2 · Best of 3
65%
Win probability
35%
The call

Bounty Hunters are favoured: our model gives them 65% against Keyd Stars. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours Bounty Hunters, form clearly favours Bounty Hunters, firepower clearly favours Keyd Stars, head-to-head slightly favours Bounty Hunters.

Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Dust2

Firepower

roster ratings

Bounty Hunters · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
pepe1.0777.973.4%59%1.16
zock1.0375.772.1%50%1.11
KAISER1.1168.973.7%40%1.1
ponter0.9770.771.3%57%1.06
urban00.9575.870.1%61%1.03

Keyd Stars · avg 1.04 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
zede1.0676.272%63%1.16
lash1.1672.973.2%37%1.13
ckzao180.871.4%55%1.12
xureba0.8968.771.1%52%1.02
f4stzin0.7249.673%57%0.78

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
9z#140-20-4
Fluxo#614-72-8
Imperial#6211-142-5
ShindeN#806-20-2
BESTIA#901-20-2
Bounty Hunters vs BESTIA
May 29LDust213-5Nuke2-13Mirage4-13
Keyd Stars vs BESTIA
Jul 12LAncient11-13Dust29-13
Galorys#959-94-7
LP#1015-50-2
ODDIK#1132-83-3

Map lab

Bounty Hunters58%to win the Bo3 · most likely Bounty Hunters 2-0
If the veto goes
Bounty Hunters 58%how the series ends42% Keyd Stars
36%2-014%
21%2-128%
Map 1NukeBounty Hunters pick
Bounty Hunters70%30-19vsKeyd Stars30%14-22
61%Win39%
60%CT48%
46%T43%
50%Pistol44%
90%Conv88%
Map 2MirageKeyd Stars pick
Bounty Hunters52%28-22vsKeyd Stars48%26-22
56%Win54%
57%CT54%
47%T48%
51%Pistol48%
76%Conv87%
Map 3Dust2decider
Bounty Hunters43%20-27vsKeyd Stars57%27-27
43%Win50%
49%CT52%
46%T50%
51%Pistol55%
73%Conv80%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Bounty HuntersNukeKeyd Stars
60%CT side48%
46%T side43%
50%Pistol44%
90%After win88%
14%After loss5%
Bounty HuntersMirageKeyd Stars
57%CT side54%
47%T side48%
51%Pistol48%
76%After win87%
14%After loss18%
Bounty HuntersDust2Keyd Stars
49%CT side52%
46%T side50%
51%Pistol55%
73%After win80%
13%After loss24%
Pistol rounds51% · 50% · level, no edge
After a won pistol80% · 84% · Keyd Stars keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol14% · 17% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Bounty Hunters vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBOUKEY
InfernoBOU bann/a0g17%1-5
CacheKEY ban59%10-70%0-1
NukeBOU pick61%30-1939%14-22
MirageKEY pick56%28-2254%26-22
AnubisBOU ban43%6-862%8-5
AncientKEY ban55%24-2058%19-14
Dust2decider43%20-2750%27-27
Each team's usual first ban: Bounty Hunters Inferno · Keyd Stars Inferno.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Bounty Hunters

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i38/121 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 121 maps they won, 38 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs YawaraNukefrom 8 downvs MIBR AcademyNukefrom 6 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs paiNMiragefrom 5 downvs Keyd StarsMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i34/108 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 108 maps they lost, 34 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 8 · lost 11-13vs LPCacheled 7 · lost 10-13vs MIBRAnubisled 6 · lost 16-19vs MIBR AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs Keyd StarsAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs YawaraNukefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs VascoMirage13-16vs ImperialNuke19-17vs R2Nuke14-16vs YawaraMirage14-16vs CrashersAncient16-14

Keyd Stars

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i26/99 (26%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 99 maps they won, 26 (26%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 26% of their wins were comebacks, not 26% of all games.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 downvs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 6 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs ODDIKNukefrom 5 downvs R2Dust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i35/104 (34%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 104 maps they lost, 35 (34%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FluxoNukeled 8 · lost 12-16vs YawaraDust2led 6 · lost 9-13vs MIBR AcademyMirageled 6 · lost 11-13vs Fake do BiruDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs UNO MILLENukeled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ex-KRÜNukefrom 7 down · won 19-15
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FluxoNukeled 8 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.5 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 18Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 18 went to overtime.vs SharksMirage13-16vs 9zDust214-16vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15vs GalorysDust219-22vs MIBR AcademyMirage16-19

Bounty Hunters vs Keyd Stars FAQ

Who is favored to win Bounty Hunters vs Keyd Stars?

Bounty Hunters are favored with a 65% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Bounty Hunters vs Keyd Stars?

Match odds for Bounty Hunters vs Keyd Stars aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Bounty Hunters and Keyd Stars play?

Bounty Hunters vs Keyd Stars is scheduled for 2026-09-23 13:00 UTC at FERJEE In House Season 2.