Matches / Upcoming / Procyon vs ALKA

Procyon vs ALKA: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2

Procyon
World #182 · 22-38
VS
2026-09-22 21:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
ALKA
World #123 · 22-23
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
44%
Win probability
56%
The call

ALKA are favoured: our model gives them 56% against Procyon. No odds yet. Strength slightly favours ALKA, record slightly favours ALKA, form clearly favours Procyon, firepower clearly favours Procyon, head-to-head clearly favours ALKA.

Likely mapsDust2 · Nuke · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

Procyon · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.09iStar gap: the best player rates 0.09 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
lenci1.097873.7%49%1.16
MaxOff0.9972.572.7%60%1.07
pavv0.9372.873.2%55%1.06
laser1.163.774.8%35%1.05
next0.9668.172.4%66%1.03

ALKA · avg 1.07 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
bnc1.0278.271%53%1.14
proSHOW1.1473.271.9%34%1.14
cerolzin1.0172.571.1%49%1.1
vinaabEAST0.9775.470.6%57%1.06
puni0.786268.4%57%0.89

Recent form

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents

Map lab

ALKA59%to win the Bo3 · most likely ALKA 2-0
If the veto goes
Procyon 41%how the series ends59% ALKA
16%2-035%
24%2-124%
Map 1Dust2Procyon pick
Procyon36%16-24vsALKA64%15-12
40%Win56%
51%CT53%
47%T49%
50%Pistol44%
83%Conv71%
Map 2NukeALKA pick
Procyon46%8-13vsALKA54%8-11
38%Win42%
50%CT53%
46%T42%
52%Pistol37%
91%Conv93%
Map 3Cachedecider
Procyon50%0-0thinALKA50%3-3
Win50%
CT48%
T54%
Pistol58%
Conv86%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

ProcyonDust2ALKA
51%CT side53%
47%T side49%
50%Pistol44%
83%After win71%
20%After loss20%
ProcyonNukeALKA
50%CT side53%
46%T side42%
52%Pistol37%
91%After win93%
10%After loss17%
ProcyonCacheALKA
CT side48%
T side54%
Pistol58%
After win86%
After loss40%
Pistol rounds51% · 43% · Procyon win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol85% · 80% · Procyon keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol17% · 20% · both bounce back about the same

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Procyon vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapPROALK
AncientPRO ban57%4-345%9-11
AnubisALK ban57%4-30%0-6
Dust2PRO pick40%16-2456%15-12
NukeALK pick38%8-1342%8-11
MiragePRO ban36%8-1458%7-5
InfernoALK ban48%15-1667%8-4
Cachedecidern/a0g50%3-3
Each team's usual first ban: Procyon Ancient · ALKA Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Procyon

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i12/57 (21%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 57 maps they won, 12 (21%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 21% of their wins were comebacks, not 21% of all games.vs Red FeetAncientfrom 8 downvs LUNADust2from 6 downvs UNO MILLEOverpassfrom 6 downvs ShindeNDust2from 5 downvs GUARAMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i22/79 (28%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 79 maps they lost, 22 (28%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ALKAAncientled 8 · lost 5-13vs FOLHA AMARELADust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs IsurusInfernoled 6 · lost 13-16vs MAGICOSAnubisled 6 · lost 8-13vs GameHuntersNukeled 5 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Red FeetAncientfrom 8 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ALKAAncientled 8 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 11Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 11 went to overtime.vs BESTIA AcademyDust212-16vs ex-KRÜNuke19-15vs ShindeNDust214-16vs UNO MILLEDust217-19vs UNO MILLEInferno13-16

ALKA

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i19/51 (37%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 51 maps they won, 19 (37%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 37% of their wins were comebacks, not 37% of all games.vs paiN AcademyNukefrom 9 downvs ProcyonAncientfrom 8 downvs BORRACHEIROSNukefrom 7 downvs PugdesonestoAncientfrom 7 downvs Red FeetDust2from 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i13/52 (25%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 52 maps they lost, 13 (25%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ShindeNDust2led 8 · lost 11-13vs PugdesonestoAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 5 · lost 10-13vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs CrashersNukeled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 9 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs paiN AcademyNukefrom 9 down · won 16-13
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ShindeNDust2led 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi28% · 8Close maps (≤3) · OT28% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 8 went to overtime.vs GameHuntersCache13-16vs paiN AcademyNuke16-13vs paiN AcademyMirage19-16vs BORRACHEIROSNuke16-13vs BESTIAAncient15-19

Procyon vs ALKA FAQ

Who is favored to win Procyon vs ALKA?

ALKA are favored with a 56% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Procyon vs ALKA?

Match odds for Procyon vs ALKA aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Procyon and ALKA play?

Procyon vs ALKA is scheduled for 2026-09-22 21:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2.

Procyon vs ALKA Prediction & Odds · CS2 Match Preview · CS2OBSERVER