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Bounty Hunters vs Turma do Pagode: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2

Bounty Hunters
World #95 · 56-46
VS
2026-09-23 21:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
Turma do Pagode
World #105 · 15-10
ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2 · Best of 3
56%
Win probability
44%
50%
1.851.85Market · 7 booksBookmakerBOUTURGranaWin1.821.821xBit1.851.851xbet1.851.85ColdBet1.851.85Spinbet1.851.85Vivatbet1.851.85betlabel1.851.85
50%
The call

Bounty Hunters are favoured: our model gives them 56% against Turma do Pagode. Bookmakers lean Bounty Hunters at 50%. Strength slightly favours Bounty Hunters, form slightly favours Bounty Hunters, firepower slightly favours Bounty Hunters, head-to-head clearly favours Turma do Pagode.

Likely mapsAncient · Cache · Dust2

Firepower

roster ratings

Bounty Hunters · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.07iStar gap: the best player rates 0.07 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
pepe★1.0777.973.7%59%1.16
KAISER1.1369.274.1%40%1.11
zock1.0475.872.4%50%1.11
ponter0.9770.671.3%57%1.06
urban00.9675.271%60%1.03

Turma do Pagode · avg 1.1 · star gap +0.15iStar gap: the best player rates 0.15 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
matios★1.2778.177.8%55%1.25
ksloks1.2578.574.8%53%1.2
Tuurtle1.097374.2%55%1.14
WOOD71.0266.572.9%33%0.98
danoco0.8372.670.7%49%0.95

Recent form

Bounty Hunters

Keyd Starstoday2-0DAMAJUANA1d ago2-0BESTIAOvertimeOT3d ago0-2FluxoUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT4d ago2-0GalorysPistolsPist3/45d ago2-1Yawara6d ago2-1Imperial6d ago1-2YawaraPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT6d ago2-0Back to BackStompStomp2-1316d ago0-2RED Canids AcademyPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-216d ago2-1GalorysStompStomp2-1317d ago0-2ImperialUpsetUpset17d ago2-1YawaraPistolsPist3/418d ago2-0Imperial18d ago0-2QUINTESSÊNCIAStompStomp2-1318d ago2-1

Turma do Pagode

paiNtoday0-2MEIA NOITEPistolsPist0/41d ago2-0ShindeNStompStomp1-134d ago1-2ALKAStompStomp13-1OvertimeOT7d ago2-0paiN7d ago0-2ALKA7d ago2-1ShindeNOvertimeOT13d ago1-2DENDELEOvertimeOT14d ago0-2IsurusPistolsPist3/4ComebackCB716d ago2-0YawaraOvertimeOT16d ago2-1your endPistolsPist5/618d ago2-1IsurusUpsetUpsetPistolsPist5/626d ago1-2Bounty HuntersComebackCB827d ago2-0ALKA28d ago2-1ex-MIBR AcademyUpsetUpset29d ago0-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
27d ago Bounty Hunters0 : 2 Turma do Pagode!
⚠ Different lineup
Turma do Pagode
outLucaozy, naitte
indanoco, matios
5mo ago Bounty Hunters1 : 2 Turma do Pagode!
⚠ Different lineup
Bounty Hunters
outfREQ
inurban0
Turma do Pagode
outfelps, naitte, pesadelo
inTuurtle, danoco, matios
5mo ago Bounty Hunters1 : 2 Turma do Pagode!
⚠ Different lineup
Bounty Hunters
outfREQ
inurban0
Turma do Pagode
outfelps, naitte, pesadelo
inTuurtle, danoco, matios
paiN#281-20-4
Bounty Hunters vs paiN
Mar 27LMirage13-11Nuke4-13Dust28-13
Turma do Pagode vs paiN
Sep 23LAnubis10-13Dust210-13Sep 16LDust211-13Anubis6-13
ShindeN#686-22-4
Bounty Hunters vs ShindeN
Jul 16WNuke13-5Mirage13-10May 1WAncient6-13Mirage13-5Nuke13-6Apr 2WMirage10-13Nuke13-4Dust213-9
Turma do Pagode vs ShindeN
Sep 19LAncient13-8Nuke11-13Dust21-13Sep 10LAncient9-13Dust216-13Nuke14-16
Galorys#889-92-1
Bounty Hunters vs Galorys
Sep 18WCache10-13Ancient13-11Sep 6LNuke2-13Ancient4-13Aug 26LCache8-13Ancient10-13
+5 earlier meetings
Turma do Pagode vs Galorys
May 11WDust213-9Nuke7-13Ancient13-7
LP#995-52-0
Bounty Hunters vs LP
Jul 28LNuke13-5Ancient10-13Cache10-13May 24WMirage13-6Overpass13-10Mar 4WDust26-13Ancient13-8Mirage13-9
+1 earlier meeting
Turma do Pagode vs LP
May 8WAncient13-4Dust213-5
QUINTESSÊNCIA#1322-11-0
Bounty Hunters vs QUINTESSÊNCIA
Sep 5WCache13-6Dust22-13Mirage13-4
Turma do Pagode vs QUINTESSÊNCIA
Apr 24WAncient13-11
Isurus#1585-33-4
Bounty Hunters vs Isurus
Apr 30WDust213-6Ancient13-6Apr 27LDust210-13Ancient13-10Mirage13-16Mar 24WAncient13-9Dust26-13Nuke13-2
Turma do Pagode vs Isurus
Sep 7WAncient13-11Inferno16-14Aug 28LInferno9-13Ancient13-6Dust24-13May 10LAncient11-13Inferno8-13
Yawara#16814-33-3
Bounty Hunters vs Yawara
Sep 17WAnubis9-13Cache13-10Mirage13-7Sep 17WCache16-13Anubis16-14Sep 5WDust213-9Cache13-8
+4 earlier meetings
Turma do Pagode vs Yawara
Sep 7WCache13-9Ancient14-16Dust213-7May 10LOverpass2-13Ancient13-10Dust211-13
Keyd Stars#18317-61-0
Bounty Hunters vs Keyd Stars
Sep 23WAncient13-5Mirage13-7Jul 15WAncient7-13Nuke13-11Mirage16-14Jul 11LAncient11-13Nuke13-8Mirage7-13
+7 earlier meetings
Turma do Pagode vs Keyd Stars
Apr 25WAnubis13-11

Map lab

Turma do Pagode64%to win the Bo3 · most likely Turma do Pagode 2-0
If the veto goes
Bounty Hunters 36%how the series ends64% Turma do Pagode
17%2-034%
19%2-131%
Map 1AncientBounty Hunters pick
Bounty Hunters35%25-20vsTurma do Pagode65%13-5
56%Win72%
56%CT64%
48%T48%
56%Pistol64%
84%Conv96%
Map 2CacheTurma do Pago… pick
Bounty Hunters49%12-8vsTurma do Pagode51%1-0
60%Win100%
49%CT58%
54%T60%
58%Pistol0%
70%Conv–
Map 3Dust2decider
Bounty Hunters38%20-27vsTurma do Pagode62%10-8
43%Win56%
49%CT54%
46%T50%
51%Pistol44%
73%Conv69%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Bounty HuntersAncientTurma do Pagode
56%CT side64%
48%T side48%
56%Pistol64%
84%After win96%
13%After loss23%
Bounty HuntersCacheTurma do Pagode
49%CT side58%
54%T side60%
58%Pistol0%
70%After win–
18%After loss0%
Bounty HuntersDust2Turma do Pagode
49%CT side54%
46%T side50%
51%Pistol44%
73%After win69%
13%After loss30%
Pistol rounds54% · 53% · level, no edge
After a won pistol77% · 85% · Turma do Pagode keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol14% · 26% · Turma do Pagode fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Bounty Hunters vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapBOUTUR
InfernoBOU bann/a0g40%2-3
Bounty Hunters on Inferno
no recent maps
Turma do Pagode on Inferno
WALKA13–57d agoWIsurus16–1416d agoLIsurus9–1326d agoLALKA10–1328d agoLIsurus8–135mo ago
MirageTUR ban57%30-2350%1-1
Bounty Hunters on Mirage
WKeyd Stars13–7todayWDAMAJUANA13–61d agoLBESTIA16–193d agoWYawara13–76d agoLImperial6–136d agoLImperial10–1317d agoWQUINTESSÊNCIA13–418d agoWMEIA NOITE13–820d ago
Turma do Pagode on Mirage
LDENDELE10–1314d agoWBounty Hunters13–427d ago
AncientBOU pick56%25-2072%13-5
Bounty Hunters on Ancient
WKeyd Stars13–5todayWGalorys13–115d agoWRED Canids Academy13–216d agoLGalorys4–1317d agoLTurma do Pagode11–1327d agoLGalorys10–1328d agoLLP10–132mo agoLKeyd Stars7–132mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Ancient
WShindeN13–84d agoWALKA16–127d agoWALKA13–107d agoLShindeN9–1313d agoLDENDELE12–1614d agoWIsurus13–1116d agoLYawara14–1616d agoWyour end13–418d ago
CacheTUR pick60%12-8100%1-0
Bounty Hunters on Cache
WDAMAJUANA13–101d agoLBESTIA14–163d agoWFluxo16–144d agoLGalorys10–135d agoWYawara13–106d agoWImperial13–86d agoWYawara16–136d agoLRED Canids Academy4–1316d ago
Turma do Pagode on Cache
WYawara13–916d ago
AnubisBOU ban47%7-840%2-3
Bounty Hunters on Anubis
WFluxo13–94d agoLYawara9–136d agoWYawara16–146d agoLImperial11–133mo agoWFluxo13–103mo agoWMIBR Academy13–93mo agoLVEXA9–134mo agoLTurma do Pagode9–135mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Anubis
LpaiN10–13todayLpaiN6–137d agoLyour end8–1318d agoWBounty Hunters13–95mo agoWKeyd Stars13–115mo ago
NukeTUR ban61%30-1917%1-5
Bounty Hunters on Nuke
LImperial4–136d agoLBack to Back2–1316d agoLGalorys2–1317d agoWImperial13–1117d agoLFluxo4–132mo agoWLP13–52mo agoLImperial4–132mo agoLFluxo4–132mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Nuke
WMEIA NOITE13–111d agoLShindeN11–134d agoLShindeN14–1613d agoLGalorys7–135mo agoLBounty Hunters6–135mo agoLBounty Hunters7–135mo ago
Dust2decider43%20-2756%10-8
Bounty Hunters on Dust2
LBack to Back10–1316d agoWImperial13–817d agoWYawara13–918d agoLImperial10–1318d agoLQUINTESSÊNCIA2–1318d agoWFluxo13–62mo agoLODDIK8–132mo agoLFluxo13–162mo ago
Turma do Pagode on Dust2
LpaiN10–13todayWMEIA NOITE13–111d agoLShindeN1–134d agoWALKA13–17d agoLpaiN11–137d agoLALKA11–137d agoWShindeN16–1313d agoWYawara13–716d ago
Each team's usual first ban: Bounty Hunters Inferno · Turma do Pagode Mirage.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Bounty Hunters

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i40/127 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 127 maps they won, 40 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs YawaraNukefrom 8 downvs MIBR AcademyNukefrom 6 downvs FOLHA AMARELANukefrom 5 downvs paiNMiragefrom 5 downvs Keyd StarsMiragefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i34/110 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 110 maps they lost, 34 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 8 · lost 11-13vs LPCacheled 7 · lost 10-13vs MIBRAnubisled 6 · lost 16-19vs MIBR AcademyAncientled 6 · lost 10-13vs Keyd StarsAncientled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs YawaraNukefrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs Turma do PagodeAncientled 8 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini5.8 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 21Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 21 went to overtime.vs VascoMirage13-16vs ImperialNuke19-17vs R2Nuke14-16vs YawaraMirage14-16vs CrashersAncient16-14

Turma do Pagode

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i9/32 (28%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 32 maps they won, 9 (28%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 28% of their wins were comebacks, not 28% of all games.vs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 downvs MEIA NOITEDust2from 8 downvs IsurusAncientfrom 7 downvs ALKAAncientfrom 5 downvs ALKAAncientfrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i8/26 (31%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 26 maps they lost, 8 (31%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs ALKADust2led 6 · lost 11-13vs DENDELEAncientled 5 · lost 12-16vs paiNAnubisled 5 · lost 10-13vs Bounty HuntersNukeled 4 · lost 7-13vs ex-MIBR AcademyAncientled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Bounty HuntersAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-11
Biggest lead blowni6 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs ALKADust2led 6 · lost 11-13
Avg map margini4.7 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi43% · 7Close maps (≤3) · OT43% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 7 went to overtime.vs METANOIA WolvesDust216-19vs YawaraAncient14-16vs IsurusInferno16-14vs DENDELEAncient12-16vs ShindeNDust216-13

Bounty Hunters vs Turma do Pagode FAQ

Who is favored to win Bounty Hunters vs Turma do Pagode?

Bounty Hunters are favored with a 56% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for Bounty Hunters vs Turma do Pagode?

Bookmakers price Bounty Hunters at 1.85 and Turma do Pagode at 1.85 (implied 50% vs 50%).

When do Bounty Hunters and Turma do Pagode play?

Bounty Hunters vs Turma do Pagode is scheduled for 2026-09-23 21:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 2.