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Ground Zero vs Abyssal: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2

Ground Zero
World #119 · 38-30
VS
2026-09-23 09:00 UTC
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2 · Best of 3
Abyssal
World #145 · 21-19
ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2 · Best of 3
66%
Win probability
34%
The call

Ground Zero are favoured: our model gives them 66% against Abyssal. No odds yet. Form slightly favours Abyssal, firepower clearly favours Ground Zero, head-to-head slightly favours Ground Zero.

Likely mapsNuke · Mirage · Inferno

Firepower

roster ratings

Ground Zero · avg 1.15 · star gap +0.2iStar gap: the best player rates 0.2 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
sliimey★1.3485.776.8%57%1.35
hazr1.077874.1%64%1.21
apocdud0.9772.170.6%44%1.07
vision1.0171.469.9%60%1.06
Omichella0.9570.671.9%57%1.05

Abyssal · avg 1.13 · star gap +0.05iStar gap: the best player rates 0.05 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
blood★1.217772.2%38%1.18
dangeR1.1175.275.3%53%1.17
gump1.0477.773.2%54%1.14
vinhy0.9877.372.3%55%1.11
foggers0.9172.171.5%51%1.04

Recent form

Ground Zero

THUNDER dOWNUNDERStompStomp1-1320d ago0-2Arcade21d ago2-0THUNDER dOWNUNDER22d ago1-2RoosterPistolsPist3/4OvertimeOT24d ago2-0LFO 8PistolsPist3/4ComebackCB826d ago2-0AbyssalPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-11mo ago2-0Mindfreak1mo ago2-0AbyssalUpsetUpset1mo ago0-2Mindfreak1mo ago2-0AbyssalPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-02mo ago2-0Time WavesPistolsPist0/4OvertimeOT2mo ago2-0FlyQuest2mo ago0-2THUNDER dOWNUNDERUpsetUpsetPistolsPist5/62mo ago2-1Mindfreak2mo ago2-1THUNDER dOWNUNDERPistolsPist4/4Blew leadBL72mo ago0-2

Abyssal

5dadsPistolsPist3/410d ago2-0madlikewizardsPistolsPist3/410d ago2-0BGNS Orange17d ago2-1Ground ZeroStompStomp1-131mo ago0-2Ground ZeroUpsetUpset1mo ago2-0RoosterPistolsPist4/4StompStomp13-21mo ago2-0ArcadeOvertimeOT2mo ago2-0Ground ZeroStompStomp0-132mo ago0-2ArcadeComebackCB72mo ago2-1MindfreakUpsetUpset2mo ago1-2RoosterStompStomp2-132mo ago2-13MARKandLARRY3mo ago1-2Rooster3mo ago1-2MGLBROSPistolsPist3/4StompStomp13-24mo ago2-0Ground Zero5mo ago1-2

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
1mo ago Ground Zero2 : 0 Abyssal!
⚠ Different lineup
Abyssal
outdpr
indangeR
1mo ago Ground Zero0 : 2 Abyssal!
⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outtucks
inapocdud
Abyssal
outdpr
2mo ago Ground Zero2 : 0 Abyssal◆ same lineup5mo ago Ground Zero2 : 1 Abyssal!
⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outpz, tucks
inhazr, sliimey
Abyssal
outTRIPLUS, dpr
inblood, dangeR
6mo ago Ground Zero2 : 1 Abyssal!
⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outpz
inhazr
Abyssal
outKiyo
inblood
6mo ago Ground Zero2 : 1 Abyssal!
⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outpz
inhazr
Abyssal
outKiyo
inblood
6mo ago Ground Zero2 : 0 Abyssal!
⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outpz
inhazr
Abyssal
outKiyo
inblood
7mo ago Ground Zero0 : 2 Abyssal!
⚠ Different lineup
Ground Zero
outdamyo, pz
inhazr, sliimey
Abyssal
outKiyo
inblood
THUNDER dOWNUNDER#1218-251-4
Ground Zero vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Sep 1LDust28-13Inferno1-13Aug 30LNuke5-13Inferno13-11Anubis3-13Jul 18WDust28-13Anubis13-10Nuke16-14
+10 earlier meetings
Abyssal vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER
Apr 29LOverpass13-11Anubis7-13Inferno10-13Feb 25LNuke12-16Ancient5-13
Rooster#16017-65-8
Ground Zero vs Rooster
Aug 28WAnubis13-4Nuke19-15Jun 18LNuke13-2Anubis11-13Mirage11-13Jun 16WMirage13-10Dust216-13
+7 earlier meetings
Abyssal vs Rooster
Aug 10WMirage13-2Dust213-6Jul 17LInferno2-13Jun 9LOverpass13-6Nuke7-13Mirage11-13
+3 earlier meetings
Mindfreak#18416-74-10
Ground Zero vs Mindfreak
Aug 12WInferno13-6Dust213-6Aug 10WNuke13-10Anubis13-4Jul 18WInferno9-13Anubis13-9Nuke13-7
+6 earlier meetings
Abyssal vs Mindfreak
Jul 17LMirage13-6Inferno9-13Nuke6-13Apr 5WOverpass13-10Inferno13-16Nuke13-2Mar 16LOverpass17-19
+3 earlier meetings
Arcade#1975-38-5
Ground Zero vs Arcade
Aug 31WNuke13-3Jul 17WMirage10-13Dust213-6Nuke13-7Jul 17WDust213-7
+1 earlier meeting
Abyssal vs Arcade
Aug 7WMirage13-6Inferno16-14Aug 5WMirage13-10Nuke7-13Cache13-11Apr 11WOverpass13-10Nuke11-13Mirage13-7
+2 earlier meetings
Ding Cuts2-06-0
Ground Zero vs Ding Cuts
Jun 11WMirage13-9Nuke13-1
Abyssal vs Ding Cuts
Apr 30WMirage13-3Inferno13-10Apr 27WMirage13-2Nuke13-7Apr 19WMirage13-10Nuke13-10
MARKandLARRY4-01-2
Ground Zero vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 15WDust216-13Nuke13-4Apr 29WMirage13-3Nuke13-5
Abyssal vs MARKandLARRY
Jun 12LInferno13-7Overpass6-13Mirage8-13
Underground4-12-0
Ground Zero vs Underground
Feb 23WAnubis13-6Mirage10-13Nuke13-3Feb 18WMirage16-13Dust213-8
Abyssal vs Underground
Feb 26WMirage19-15Nuke13-8
Skele2-02-1
Ground Zero vs Skele
Apr 27WMirage13-6Inferno13-7
Abyssal vs Skele
Feb 19WMirage7-13Nuke13-10Ancient16-13

Map lab

Ground Zero64%to win the Bo3 · most likely Ground Zero 2-1
If the veto goes
Ground Zero 64%how the series ends36% Abyssal
23%2-020%
41%2-116%
Map 1NukeGround Zero pick
Ground Zero71%23-12vsAbyssal29%9-12
66%Win43%
61%CT52%
48%T51%
51%Pistol50%
86%Conv95%
Map 2MirageAbyssal pick
Ground Zero33%12-10vsAbyssal67%18-7
55%Win72%
54%CT59%
49%T55%
43%Pistol74%
78%Conv100%
Map 3Infernodecider
Ground Zero71%15-10vsAbyssal29%6-11
60%Win35%
50%CT48%
50%T43%
46%Pistol38%
83%Conv54%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

Ground ZeroNukeAbyssal
61%CT side52%
48%T side51%
51%Pistol50%
86%After win95%
18%After loss14%
Ground ZeroMirageAbyssal
54%CT side59%
49%T side55%
43%Pistol74%
78%After win100%
16%After loss25%
Ground ZeroInfernoAbyssal
50%CT side48%
50%T side43%
46%Pistol38%
83%After win54%
15%After loss43%
Pistol rounds48% · 56% · Abyssal win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol83% · 90% · Abyssal keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol16% · 28% · Abyssal fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Ground Zero vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapGROABY
AncientGRO ban50%2-267%4-2
Ground Zero on Ancient
WLFO 813–1026d agoWAbyssal13–11mo agoLAbyssal7–131mo agoLArcade9–136mo ago
Abyssal on Ancient
LGround Zero1–131mo agoWGround Zero13–71mo agoWDXA13–85mo agoWArcade13–106mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER5–137mo agoWSkele16–137mo ago
Dust2ABY ban42%14-1980%4-1
Ground Zero on Dust2
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER8–1320d agoWLFO 813–326d agoWMindfreak13–61mo agoLAbyssal9–131mo agoWAbyssal13–112mo agoLFlyQuest6–132mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER8–132mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER10–132mo ago
Abyssal on Dust2
W5dads13–610d agoWmadlikewizards13–610d agoWGround Zero13–91mo agoWRooster13–61mo agoLGround Zero11–132mo ago
NukeGRO pick66%23-1243%9-12
Ground Zero on Nuke
WArcade13–321d agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER5–1322d agoWRooster19–1524d agoWMindfreak13–101mo agoWTime Waves13–32mo agoWTHUNDER dOWNUNDER16–142mo agoWMindfreak13–72mo agoWArcade13–72mo ago
Abyssal on Nuke
WBGNS Orange13–617d agoLArcade7–132mo agoLMindfreak6–132mo agoLRooster7–133mo agoWMGLBROS13–94mo agoLGround Zero8–135mo agoWDing Cuts13–75mo agoWRooster13–55mo ago
MirageABY pick55%12-1072%18-7
Ground Zero on Mirage
WAbyssal13–02mo agoLArcade10–132mo agoLRooster11–133mo agoWRooster13–103mo agoWDing Cuts13–93mo agoWMasked Regime13–63mo agoLKaleido2–134mo agoLTYLOO4–134mo ago
Abyssal on Mirage
W5dads13–1010d agoWmadlikewizards13–910d agoWBGNS Orange13–917d agoWRooster13–21mo agoWArcade13–62mo agoLGround Zero0–132mo agoWArcade13–102mo agoWMindfreak13–62mo ago
CacheGRO bann/a0g100%1-0
Ground Zero on Cache
no recent maps
Abyssal on Cache
WArcade13–112mo ago
AnubisABY ban44%14-1817%1-5
Ground Zero on Anubis
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER3–1322d agoWRooster13–424d agoWAbyssal13–81mo agoWMindfreak13–41mo agoLFlyQuest5–132mo agoWTHUNDER dOWNUNDER13–102mo agoWMindfreak13–92mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER7–132mo ago
Abyssal on Anubis
LGround Zero8–131mo agoLTHUNDER dOWNUNDER7–135mo agoWGround Zero13–46mo agoLGround Zero7–136mo agoLMindfreak6–137mo agoLMindfreak9–137mo ago
Infernodecider60%15-1035%6-11
Ground Zero on Inferno
LTHUNDER dOWNUNDER1–1320d agoWTHUNDER dOWNUNDER13–1122d agoWMindfreak13–61mo agoWTime Waves19–172mo agoLMindfreak9–132mo agoLChinggis Warriors4–134mo agoLRare Atom3–134mo agoWAbyssal13–45mo ago
Abyssal on Inferno
LBGNS Orange5–1317d agoWArcade16–142mo agoLMindfreak9–132mo agoLRooster2–132mo agoWMARKandLARRY13–73mo agoWMGLBROS13–24mo agoLGround Zero4–135mo agoWDing Cuts13–105mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: Ground Zero Ancient · Abyssal Dust2.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

Ground Zero

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i28/81 (35%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 81 maps they won, 28 (35%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 35% of their wins were comebacks, not 35% of all games.vs ArcadeNukefrom 11 downvs 11minsDust2from 9 downvs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukefrom 8 downvs LFO 8Ancientfrom 8 downvs THUNDER dOWNUNDERAnubisfrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i15/73 (21%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 73 maps they lost, 15 (21%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AbyssalOverpassled 8 · lost 8-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERDust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukeled 5 · lost 20-22vs MindfreakInfernoled 4 · lost 7-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERInfernoled 4 · lost 6-13
Biggest comebackifrom 11 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs ArcadeNukefrom 11 down · won 13-3
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AbyssalOverpassled 8 · lost 8-13
Avg map margini6 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi25% · 14Close maps (≤3) · OT25% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 14 went to overtime.vs UndergroundMirage16-13vs MindfreakMirage19-15vs RoosterNuke16-14vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERAnubis19-16vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNuke20-22

Abyssal

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i20/50 (40%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 50 maps they won, 20 (40%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 40% of their wins were comebacks, not 40% of all games.vs Ground ZeroOverpassfrom 8 downvs THUNDER dOWNUNDEROverpassfrom 7 downvs MindfreakMiragefrom 7 downvs ArcadeCachefrom 7 downvs MGLBROSNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i16/44 (36%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 44 maps they lost, 16 (36%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukeled 8 · lost 12-16vs ArcadeNukeled 8 · lost 11-13vs RoosterMirageled 6 · lost 7-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERInfernoled 6 · lost 10-13vs MindfreakInfernoled 4 · lost 8-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs Ground ZeroOverpassfrom 8 down · won 13-8
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNukeled 8 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 9Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 9 went to overtime.vs SkeleAncient16-13vs THUNDER dOWNUNDERNuke12-16vs UndergroundMirage19-15vs MindfreakOverpass17-19vs ArcadeMirage13-16

Ground Zero vs Abyssal FAQ

Who is favored to win Ground Zero vs Abyssal?

Ground Zero are favored with a 66% model win probability.

What are the betting odds for Ground Zero vs Abyssal?

Match odds for Ground Zero vs Abyssal aren't available yet. Check back closer to the match.

When do Ground Zero and Abyssal play?

Ground Zero vs Abyssal is scheduled for 2026-09-23 09:00 UTC at ESL Challenger League Season 52 Oceania Cup 2.