Matches / Upcoming / Nemesis vs Rune Eaters
Nemesis vs Rune Eaters: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier
Nemesis
World #44 · 69-40
VS
2026-09-24 09:00 UTC
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
Rune Eaters
World #109 · 39-49
Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier · Best of 3
76%24%
77%
1.214Market · 23 books
23%The call · high confidence
Nemesis are favoured: our model gives them 76% against Rune Eaters. Bookmakers lean Nemesis at 77%. Strength clearly favours Nemesis, record slightly favours Nemesis, form slightly favours Nemesis, firepower clearly favours Nemesis.
Likely mapsAncient · Dust2 · Cache
Firepower
roster ratingsNemesis · avg 1.12 · star gap +0.06iStar gap: the best player rates 0.06 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
Rune Eaters · avg 1.09 · star gap +0.13iStar gap: the best player rates 0.13 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.
| Player | K-D | ADR | KAST | HS | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| demente★ | 1.16 | 80.5 | 75% | 53% | 1.22 |
| her1tage | 0.98 | 74.1 | 71.3% | 58% | 1.1 |
| noni | 1.1 | 69.9 | 70.9% | 38% | 1.09 |
| forkyz | 0.94 | 76.3 | 70.9% | 55% | 1.08 |
| dukefissura | 0.89 | 70.4 | 67.2% | 61% | 0.98 |
Recent form
Nemesis
Head-to-head
past meetings & common opponents
Inner Circle#222-00-2
Nemesis vs Inner Circle
Jan 27WMirage19-16Nuke13-11Rune Eaters vs Inner Circle
Mar 17LAncient3-13Dust211-13
HOTU#321-42-6
Nemiga#366-100-2
Nemesis vs Nemiga
Sep 16LMirage6-13Ancient8-13Cache19-17Dust217-19Sep 5LMirage1-13Ancient7-13Apr 1WOverpass4-13Nuke13-7Dust213-9+3 earlier meetings
Rune Eaters vs Nemiga
Mar 13LDust28-13Overpass4-13
K27#392-80-2
Nemesis vs K27
Mar 23LNuke21-25Dust214-16Mar 12LNuke4-13Dust213-9Mirage6-13Feb 10LAncient10-13Dust25-13+1 earlier meeting
Rune Eaters vs K27
Aug 23LDust210-13Ancient5-13
fnatic#422-00-4
Nemesis vs fnatic
Apr 29WInferno13-5Ancient13-8
SINNERS#473-40-2
Nemesis vs SINNERS
Sep 9LCache13-10Ancient9-13Mirage8-13Mar 7WAncient13-11Mirage19-16Jan 29LMirage8-13Ancient10-13Rune Eaters vs SINNERS
Jul 31LDust212-16Mirage5-13
Eternal Fire#480-22-4
Nemesis vs Eternal Fire
Mar 14LDust211-13Ancient4-13Rune Eaters vs Eternal Fire
May 19LDust213-11Ancient5-13Mirage7-13Mar 5LAncient13-7Mirage11-13Overpass13-16
Acend#572-31-2
Rune Eaters vs Acend
Mar 9LInferno9-13Dust213-11Ancient10-13Map lab
Nemesis69%to win the Bo3 · most likely Nemesis 2-0
If the veto goes
Nemesis 69%how the series ends31% Rune Eaters
40%2-013%
29%2-118%
Nemesis71%37-24vsRune Eaters29%18-29
61%Win38%
55%CT49%
52%T47%
55%Pistol49%
89%Conv91%
Nemesis56%29-20vsRune Eaters44%29-26
59%Win53%
53%CT53%
51%T52%
49%Pistol49%
81%Conv85%
Nemesis61%5-2vsRune Eaters39%2-2
71%Win50%
54%CT35%
56%T54%
57%Pistol38%
75%Conv100%
Pistol, eco & sides
who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team ownsCT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.
NemesisAncientRune Eaters
55%CT side49%
52%T side47%
55%Pistol49%
89%After win91%
35%After loss15%
NemesisDust2Rune Eaters
53%CT side53%
51%T side52%
49%Pistol49%
81%After win85%
20%After loss16%
NemesisCacheRune Eaters
54%CT side35%
56%T side54%
57%Pistol38%
75%After win100%
50%After loss20%
Pistol rounds53% · 49% · Nemesis win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol85% · 88% · both convert about the same
After a lost pistol29% · 16% · Nemesis fight back and win the next round more often
Projected veto
likely picks & bansihow this projection works
A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, Nemesis vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.
Neither side's habitual bans cleanly remove the other's best maps, so the veto could realistically go several ways.
MapNEMRUN
AnubisNEM ban0%0-170%7-3
NukeRUN ban70%35-1541%7-10
AncientNEM pick61%37-2438%18-29
Dust2RUN pick59%29-2053%29-26
MirageNEM ban59%23-1659%30-21
InfernoRUN ban56%20-1643%9-12
Cachedecider71%5-250%2-2
Each team's usual first ban: Nemesis Anubis · Rune Eaters Nuke.
Mentality & map flow
comebacks, blown leadsHover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.
Nemesis
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i45/157 (29%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 157 maps they won, 45 (29%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 29% of their wins were comebacks, not 29% of all games.vs OGAncientfrom 8 downvs GenOneDust2from 6 downvs Inner CircleMiragefrom 6 downvs ECSTATICMiragefrom 6 downvs INOX DivisionInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i24/98 (24%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 98 maps they lost, 24 (24%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BET-MDust2led 8 · lost 16-19vs NemigaDust2led 6 · lost 10-13vs 100 ThievesAncientled 6 · lost 14-16vs TDKOverpassled 6 · lost 9-13vs EYEBALLERSInfernoled 6 · lost 9-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs OGAncientfrom 8 down · won 22-20
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BET-MDust2led 8 · lost 16-19
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 27Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 27 went to overtime.vs EYEBALLERSInferno18-22vs BIG AcademyDust219-16vs GenOneDust216-13vs Inner CircleMirage19-16vs MUERTAInferno14-16
Rune Eaters
Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i33/103 (32%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 103 maps they won, 33 (32%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 32% of their wins were comebacks, not 32% of all games.vs G2 AresAncientfrom 8 downvs ex-MANAAncientfrom 7 downvs AcendDust2from 6 downvs OmegaInfernofrom 6 downvs HashirasDust2from 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i35/109 (32%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 109 maps they lost, 35 (32%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs BebopMirageled 8 · lost 14-16vs MASONICDust2led 8 · lost 12-16vs NOVAQMirageled 8 · lost 5-13vs BRUTEOverpassled 7 · lost 11-13vs LavkedAncientled 7 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 8 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs G2 AresAncientfrom 8 down · won 13-5
Biggest lead blowni8 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs BebopMirageled 8 · lost 14-16
Avg map margini5.3 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi30% · 31Close maps (≤3) · OT30% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 31 went to overtime.vs HashirasDust219-17vs zajezdzaczeInferno16-13vs Eternal FireOverpass13-16vs ex-Fingers CrossedNuke16-14vs The Last ResortAnubis16-14
Nemesis vs Rune Eaters FAQ
Who is favored to win Nemesis vs Rune Eaters?
Nemesis are favored with a 76% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.
What are the betting odds for Nemesis vs Rune Eaters?
Bookmakers price Nemesis at 1.21 and Rune Eaters at 4 (implied 77% vs 23%).
When do Nemesis and Rune Eaters play?
Nemesis vs Rune Eaters is scheduled for 2026-09-24 09:00 UTC at Stake Ranked Episode 5 Closed Qualifier.