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BIG vs The MongolZ: CS2 match prediction, odds and preview · Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7

BIG
World #37 · 53-28
VS
2026-10-22 11:00 UTC
Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · Best of 3 · ★
The MongolZ
World #20 · 29-25
Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7 · Best of 3 · ★
61%
Win probability
39%
48%
1.921.78Market · 8 booksBookmakerBIGTHEGranaWin1.871.771red1.921.78Epicbet1.921.78GGBet1.921.84Stake1.921.78Thunderpick Row1.921.78duelbits1.921.78Shuffle1.951.78
52%
The call

BIG are favoured: our model gives them 61% against The MongolZ. Bookmakers lean The MongolZ at 52%. Record slightly favours BIG, form slightly favours The MongolZ, head-to-head clearly favours BIG.

Likely mapsInferno · Mirage · Cache

Firepower

roster ratings

BIG · avg 1.14 · star gap +0.14iStar gap: the best player rates 0.14 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
blameF★1.3486.478.7%44%1.28
gr1ks1.2774.675.3%31%1.17
JDC1.0577.574.2%53%1.14
faveN1.0469.674.3%59%1.09
tabseN0.896873.4%50%1.02

The MongolZ · avg 1.05 · star gap +0.12iStar gap: the best player rates 0.12 above the team average. A big gap means the team leans on one star; a small one means the firepower is spread out.

PlayerK-DADRKASTHSRating
910★1.1976.171.9%38%1.17
cobrazera174.370%58%1.09
bLitz0.9175.769.8%48%1.02
nin9172.770.6%56%1.01
Techno0.8865.369.5%59%0.97

Recent form

BIG

PARIVISION1d ago0-2The MongolZ2d ago2-0PRIVATE3d ago2-0AstralisStompStomp1-1319d ago1-2LuminosityOvertimeOT20d ago1-2fnaticComebackCB621d ago2-1G21mo ago1-2BETBOOM1mo ago0-2magicOvertimeOT2mo ago0-2paiN2mo ago2-0NemigaUpsetUpsetOvertimeOT2mo ago1-2Spirit2mo ago1-2G2StompStomp1-13OvertimeOT2mo ago1-2AuroraUpsetUpsetPistolsPist0/22mo ago13-9Sashi2mo ago2-1

The MongolZ

PRIVATEPistolsPist3/41d ago2-0magicComebackCB61d ago2-0BIG2d ago0-2AlliancePistolsPist3/43d ago2-05starUpsetUpset1mo ago0-2MIBROvertimeOT1mo ago1-2Falcons2mo ago0-2paiNPistolsPist4/42mo ago2-0Natus Vincere2mo ago1-2magicPistolsPist0/22mo ago13-7FaZeBlew leadBL9OvertimeOT3mo ago1-2Wildcard3mo ago2-0HEROICOvertimeOT3mo ago2-19zComebackCB64mo ago0-2Monte4mo ago2-1

Head-to-head

past meetings & common opponents
2d ago BIG2 : 0 The MongolZ◆ same lineup
Spirit#11-22-2
BIG vs Spirit
Aug 15LCache13-9Dust210-13Mirage7-13
The MongolZ vs Spirit
May 10LDust211-13Ancient16-19Mar 23WNuke13-11
Aurora#51-02-4
BIG vs Aurora
Aug 12WCache13-9
The MongolZ vs Aurora
May 13LOverpass11-13Mirage10-13Mar 27LInferno6-13Mirage9-13Mar 7WDust213-9Mirage13-11
G2#82-62-2
BIG vs G2
Sep 9LCache13-8Mirage7-13Ancient10-13Aug 13LCache5-13Ancient16-13Inferno1-13Jun 8LInferno3-13Mirage8-13
The MongolZ vs G2
May 11WDust213-2Inferno19-15Jan 31LDust22-13Ancient11-13
MIBR#121-11-2
BIG vs MIBR
Jul 3LMirage2-13Jun 7WInferno13-8
The MongolZ vs MIBR
Sep 8LAncient13-5Mirage10-13Inferno12-16
PARIVISION#131-44-1
BIG vs PARIVISION
Oct 21LCache9-13Dust27-13Jul 10LCache19-15Mirage5-13Ancient9-13
The MongolZ vs PARIVISION
May 22WDust213-4Mirage13-11Apr 9WDust26-13Mirage13-8Ancient13-9
Astralis#161-20-2
BIG vs Astralis
Oct 3LCache5-13Inferno13-11Mirage1-13
The MongolZ vs Astralis
Apr 6LMirage4-13Ancient9-13
FaZe#172-11-2
BIG vs FaZe
Apr 5WDust23-13Overpass13-11Anubis13-3
The MongolZ vs FaZe
Jul 31LNuke12-16Mirage13-7Ancient8-13
B8#213-25-3
BIG vs B8
Jul 5WInferno16-13Ancient13-11Jun 9LAncient13-7Overpass6-13Dust28-13
The MongolZ vs B8
Jun 12WMirage16-14Overpass13-3May 20LAncient11-13Nuke13-11Mirage9-13Feb 16WAncient13-9Mirage7-13Nuke19-17

Map lab

BIG63%to win the Bo3 · most likely BIG 2-0
If the veto goes
BIG 63%how the series ends37% The MongolZ
37%2-014%
25%2-123%
Map 1InfernoBIG pick
BIG71%16-5vsThe MongolZ29%12-10
76%Win55%
55%CT54%
57%T50%
48%Pistol55%
80%Conv75%
Map 2MirageThe MongolZ pick
BIG53%16-14vsThe MongolZ47%17-17
53%Win50%
56%CT60%
42%T41%
42%Pistol56%
76%Conv84%
Map 3Cachedecider
BIG52%8-6vsThe MongolZ48%1-1
57%Win50%
46%CT57%
56%T43%
39%Pistol25%
73%Conv100%

Pistol, eco & sides

who wins pistols, what happens next, which side each team owns

CT side / T side rounds won on that side · Pistol opening pistol rounds won · After win won the round right after taking the pistol · After loss won the round right after losing it. Colour is the value against the league average on that map: above average below, and the tick marks the average.

BIGInfernoThe MongolZ
55%CT side54%
57%T side50%
48%Pistol55%
80%After win75%
27%After loss30%
BIGMirageThe MongolZ
56%CT side60%
42%T side41%
42%Pistol56%
76%After win84%
20%After loss30%
BIGCacheThe MongolZ
46%CT side57%
56%T side43%
39%Pistol25%
73%After win100%
18%After loss0%
Pistol rounds43% · 54% · The MongolZ win more of them, a small head start
After a won pistol77% · 81% · The MongolZ keep the momentum more often
After a lost pistol22% · 28% · The MongolZ fight back and win the next round more often

Projected veto

likely picks & bans
ihow this projection works

A hypothetical veto for this matchup, projected from how each team has picked and banned before (Bo3, BIG vetoes first). It's a guide to the likely map pool and each side's win% on those maps, not a guarantee: teams adapt to the opponent and the event.

The MongolZ habitually bans Anubis, BIG's strongest maps (Dust2, Ancient, Anubis, Overpass, Inferno, Nuke all ≥60%). That's a standing habit (Anubis 51/54), not an opponent read, so expect BIG to fight the veto for Overpass.
MapBIGTHE
NukeBIG ban63%10-655%11-9
BIG on Nuke
LBETBOOM9–131mo agoWNemiga13–112mo agoWz to forward13–13mo agoLNRG12–165mo agoWGaimin Gladiators13–15mo agoLLiquid10–135mo agoWQWENTRY13–57mo agoLBebop9–137mo ago
The MongolZ on Nuke
L5star11–131mo agoWpaiN13–102mo agoLFaZe12–163mo agoLHEROIC5–133mo agoLMonte9–134mo agoWNatus Vincere13–84mo agoLLegacy10–135mo agoWLiquid13–95mo ago
AnubisTHE ban67%6-3n/a0g
BIG on Anubis
WNinjas in Pyjamas13–114mo agoLNinjas in Pyjamas5–136mo agoWUrsa13–97mo agoWFaZe13–37mo agoLBetclic6–137mo agoLK278–137mo agoWCYBERSHOKE13–37mo agoWLeo16–148mo ago
The MongolZ on Anubis
no recent maps
InfernoBIG pick76%16-555%12-10
BIG on Inferno
WAstralis13–1119d agoWLuminosity13–920d agoWfnatic13–1121d agoLG21–132mo agoLSashi9–132mo agoWGenOne13–42mo agoWEternal Fire13–82mo agoWFluxo13–63mo ago
The MongolZ on Inferno
Wmagic13–91d agoWAlliance13–83d agoL5star9–131mo agoLMIBR12–161mo agoLFalcons3–132mo agoWpaiN13–42mo agoLNatus Vincere5–132mo agoWWildcard13–93mo ago
MirageTHE pick53%16-1450%17-17
BIG on Mirage
WThe MongolZ13–42d agoWPRIVATE13–103d agoLAstralis1–1319d agoLLuminosity13–1620d agoWfnatic13–921d agoLG27–131mo agoLNemiga11–132mo agoLSpirit7–132mo ago
The MongolZ on Mirage
WPRIVATE13–61d agoLBIG4–132d agoLMIBR10–131mo agoLNatus Vincere8–132mo agoWmagic13–72mo agoWFaZe13–73mo agoLNatus Vincere6–134mo agoWB816–144mo ago
Dust2BIG ban63%12-760%12-8
BIG on Dust2
LPARIVISION7–131d agoWpaiN13–62mo agoLSpirit10–132mo agoWGenOne13–112mo agoLB88–135mo agoWNRG13–55mo agoLHEROIC9–136mo agoW100 Thieves16–136mo ago
The MongolZ on Dust2
WAlliance13–113d agoLFalcons9–132mo agoWWildcard13–73mo agoWHEROIC19–163mo agoWMonte13–114mo agoWBetBoom13–114mo agoWPARIVISION13–45mo agoLFalcons8–135mo ago
AncientTHE ban63%24-1452%11-10
BIG on Ancient
Lfnatic11–1321d agoLG210–131mo agoLmagic5–132mo agoLNemiga13–162mo agoWG216–132mo agoWSashi13–82mo agoWz to forward13–13mo agoLPARIVISION9–133mo ago
The MongolZ on Ancient
WPRIVATE13–71d agoWmagic13–101d agoWMIBR13–51mo agoWNatus Vincere13–92mo agoLFaZe8–133mo agoLNatus Vincere13–164mo agoLBetBoom11–134mo agoLB811–135mo ago
Cachedecider57%8-650%1-1
BIG on Cache
LPARIVISION9–131d agoWThe MongolZ13–82d agoWPRIVATE13–53d agoLAstralis5–1319d agoLLuminosity5–1320d agoWG213–81mo agoLBETBOOM8–131mo agoLmagic17–192mo ago
The MongolZ on Cache
LBIG8–132d agoWHEROIC13–83mo ago
Each team's usual first ban: BIG Nuke · The MongolZ Anubis.

Mentality & map flow

comebacks, blown leads
Hover any ⓘ for the matches behind it.

BIG

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i34/110 (31%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 110 maps they won, 34 (31%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 31% of their wins were comebacks, not 31% of all games.vs NRGMiragefrom 12 downvs Gentle MatesAncientfrom 6 downvs magicOverpassfrom 6 downvs AMMiragefrom 5 downvs AMNukefrom 5 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i19/64 (30%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 64 maps they lost, 19 (30%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs AstralisCacheled 11 · lost 5-13vs HEROICDust2led 9 · lost 9-13vs G2Cacheled 8 · lost 5-13vs B8Dust2led 6 · lost 8-13vs SpiritDust2led 5 · lost 10-13
Biggest comebackifrom 12 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs NRGMiragefrom 12 down · won 16-12
Biggest lead blowni11 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs AstralisCacheled 11 · lost 5-13
Avg map margini5.4 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi31% · 19Close maps (≤3) · OT31% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 19 went to overtime.vs HYPERSPIRITOverpass17-19vs HAVUOverpass16-14vs LeoAnubis16-14vs AMNuke16-12vs NemesisMirage14-16

The MongolZ

Comebacks (won from 3+ down)i18/66 (27%)Comebacks (won from 3+ down)Of the 66 maps they won, 18 (27%) were won after trailing by 3+ rounds. So 27% of their wins were comebacks, not 27% of all games.vs magicMiragefrom 7 downvs PARIVISIONMiragefrom 7 downvs PRIVATEMiragefrom 7 downvs PARIVISIONAncientfrom 6 downvs magicInfernofrom 6 down
Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)i25/59 (42%)Leads blown (lost from 3+ up)Of the 59 maps they lost, 25 (42%) were lost after leading by 3+ rounds: leads they threw away.vs FaZeNukeled 9 · lost 12-16vs FURIADust2led 7 · lost 10-13vs FalconsMirageled 7 · lost 12-16vs AstralisAncientled 6 · lost 9-13vs LiquidMirageled 6 · lost 11-13
Biggest comebackifrom 7 downBiggest comebackLargest deficit erased to win a map.vs magicMiragefrom 7 down · won 25-23
Biggest lead blowni9 roundsBiggest lead blownLargest lead held and still lost.vs FaZeNukeled 9 · lost 12-16
Avg map margini5.2 roundsAvg map marginAverage round difference across maps.
Close maps (≤3) · OTi38% · 16Close maps (≤3) · OT38% of their maps were decided by ≤3 rounds (nailbiters); 16 went to overtime.vs FURIAInferno12-16vs B8Nuke19-17vs VitalityMirage13-16vs paiNNuke19-17vs VitalityOverpass13-16

BIG vs The MongolZ FAQ

Who is favored to win BIG vs The MongolZ?

BIG are favored with a 61% model win probability, and are the bookmakers' favorite too.

What are the betting odds for BIG vs The MongolZ?

Bookmakers price BIG at 1.92 and The MongolZ at 1.78 (implied 48% vs 52%).

When do BIG and The MongolZ play?

BIG vs The MongolZ is scheduled for 2026-10-22 11:00 UTC at Digital Crusade DraculaN Season 7.